Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Sun Ge’s “family-inherited” $1 million has finally been brought out for real this time😂: he established a mathematics prize named after himself—the Justin Sun Prize. The maximum prize for a single problem is $1 million, with 70% awarded to the problem solver and 30% to the formal verifier; if one person completes both parts, they receive the entire prize. According to Sun Ge’s article, there are two points about this prize that I personally find particularly interesting:

If it goes well, this gold trade could make 10 points. For a position this large, making 10 points would be pretty damn impressive.

$97 SOL—do you dare open a position tonight?
Look at the surface first: panic is spreading, and longs are bleeding heavily.
Down 3-4% over 24 hours, plunging from 101.5 to 96.4, while the psychological 100 level broke just like that. Volume is expanding, moving averages are in a bearish alignment, and RSI has dropped to 39. The short-term bias is bearish—don't catch a falling knife.
First point: all the bullish catalysts have been realized, but the price isn't buying it.
Transaction V1 is live on mainnet, raising the per-transaction limit from 1232 bytes to 4096 bytes. Post-quantum security has made progress, with 250ms slots activating in two days. Tokenized stock trading is active, and spot SOL ETFs have seen cumulative net inflows of more than $1.3 billion.
All good news. And the result? A break below 100.
When good news comes out and the price doesn't rise, it means everyone who needed to buy has already bought. This is called “buy the rumor, sell the news.” The CLARITY Act's procedural vote failed 49-50, and expectations for regulatory clarity have evaporated.
Second point: tonight's FOMC is the real market maker.
The probability of a 25bp rate hike is 90%+. This would be the first rate hike since 2023. But the hike itself has already been priced in. The real bombs are these three:
The dot plot—how many more rate hikes will there be this year?
Warsh's press conference—will it be a one-off rate hike, or the start of a new tightening cycle?
The wording on growth and inflation
Hawkish: an instant break below 95, with the next stops at 90 or even 85. Dovish: a rebound window from 97-100, with a direct push to 103.
Third point: technically, SOL has reached a do-or-die level.
The daily chart is at the lower boundary of the descending channel, while also near the 38.2% retracement of 70 to 110—95 is a point of confluence for multiple technical signals.
After losing 100, it becomes the first resistance level. Daily RSI is near 50, so it isn't oversold yet. 4H RSI is 39; momentum is weak but approaching an extreme.
If 95 holds, this is a golden buying opportunity; if 95 breaks, this is the entrance to an abyss.
You can judge the bull-bear battle yourself.
On one side:
Transaction V1 is live on mainnet—a tangible technical upgrade
Cumulative ETF inflows of $1.3 billion+, with institutional access still intact
Stablecoin balances at $15-16 billion, with active addresses recovering
Tokenized RWA stocks are growing rapidly, and the ecosystem hasn't broken down
On the other side:
The psychological 100 level has broken, marking a technical breakdown
The CLARITY Act failed, eliminating a regulatory catalyst
BTC broke below 76k, triggering deleveraging across the market
Pump fun is still selling SOL, and retail funds are fleeing
Overhead resistance: 98-99 → 100-101 (former support turned resistance) → 103 → 106-107
Downside support: 96.4 → 95 (channel lower boundary + Fib, tonight's line in the sand) → 94.3 → 90 → 85
Trading strategy
Scenario A: Defend 95-96.4 (wait for confirmation)
Primarily stay on the sidelines. After the FOMC decision, if the 4H candle closes above 96 and reclaims 98, cautiously test a long position with a small amount, with a stop-loss below 94.5. Targets: 99.5-101, then 103. Reduce the position at 100-101; don't fantasize about recovering to 110 in one move.
Scenario B: Daily close below 95 (danger)
The next stop is 90, or 85 in a worse case. A rebound to 96-97 is a window to reduce positions or test shorts, with a stop-loss above 98.5-99 and targets at 94 → 90.
Scenario C: FOMC unexpectedly turns dovish, quickly pushing SOL back above 100
Only chase after a break above 101 and a firm 4H hold; don't chase a rally at 97. Targets: 103-107.
For long positions trapped above 100, reducing exposure on a rebound to 98-100 is more reasonable than adding.
The price is still falling despite all the bullish news being realized, which means everyone who needed to flee in the short term has already fled. But nothing is broken on-chain; sentiment is what's broken.
SOL at 97 and SOL at 110 are on the same chain. What has changed isn't TPS, but your leverage multiple.
Don't bet on direction with high leverage tonight. Liquidation is more common than getting the direction wrong.
On-chain fundamentals support Solana staying healthy, but the pricing power at 97 tonight lies with the Federal Reserve.
Survive the volatility first, then talk about the trend.
For tonight's FOMC, are you bullish or bearish?$BTC $ETH $SOL #Gate广场中秋团圆局 #每周来晒 #美联储加息会议

Gold at $4,350—are you panicking?
First, the surface view: gold has fallen so badly this year that even its mother wouldn’t recognize it.
From the January high of 5600, it plunged to 4275, a decline of more than 23%. Lower highs have appeared one after another on the daily chart, and retail traders have long been cursing, “Gold is finished. Might as well buy BTC.” But today, gold rebounded nearly 1.5% intraday, with the low of 4275-4280 precisely holding the 50-day moving average and forming a long lower wick.
First point: Rate-hike expectations are fully priced in, and the actual decision may not necessarily be bearish.
CME FedWatch shows that the market is pricing in a probability of more than 90% for a 25-basis-point rate hike. This means the bearish news has already been priced in by the market.
From 5600 down to 4275, gold has fallen more than $1,300, fully digesting the words “rate hike” long ago. The question now is not “Will they hike?” but “What will they say after hiking?”
Second point: Central banks are still buying, geopolitical tensions are still burning, and retail traders do not decide where gold bottoms.
You only see gold falling from 5600 to 4275, but what you don’t see is this: Global central banks are still continuously buying gold, geopolitical risks in the Middle East have not eased at all, and energy prices are still threatening inflation.
U.S. CPI remains at 3.4% year over year, while core inflation is significantly above the 2% target. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is near 5%, and the dollar remains strong—these are direct factors weighing on gold, no doubt.
Inflation hasn’t fully died down, geopolitical tensions haven’t subsided, and central banks haven’t stopped buying. Has gold’s long-term thesis broken?
No. What has deteriorated is short-term liquidity, not the underlying narrative.
Third point: A signal has emerged on the technical side that must be taken seriously.
Today’s rebound with a long lower wick saw the low of 4275-4280 land precisely in the 50-day moving average confluence zone, a typical defense signal from a demand zone. Resistance at 4355-4366 has been tested but not decisively broken.
Structurally, this is a rebound within a corrective wave, and a trend reversal has not yet been confirmed. Only after breaking through and holding above 4366-4400 will the bulls be qualified to discuss continuation; a break below 4250 would restore the bears’ structural advantage.
Support: 4320-4300 → 4280 → 4250-4260 (key demand zone; a loss of this level would accelerate the decline toward 4230-4200)
Resistance: 4355-4366 (today’s high) → 4400-4440
The bulls and bears face off—you decide
On one side:
Rate-hike expectations are fully priced in, increasing the likelihood that the bearish news is exhausted
Central-bank gold buying + geopolitical safe-haven demand + inflation hedging; the long-term thesis remains intact
4275-4280 precisely held the 50-day moving average, followed by a rebound with a long lower wick
If the decision is dovish, gold could surge to 4400-4440
On the other side:
Waller is hawkish; if he emphasizes another hike this year, the dollar and real interest rates could deliver a double blow
With the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield near 5%, the opportunity cost of holding gold is high
The daily lower-high structure remains unchanged, and the medium-term bearish trend has not been fully reversed
A break below 4250 would accelerate the decline toward 4230-4200
After the decision:
Hawkish → Short on a rebound to 4350-4366 or on a break below 4300, targeting 4280→4250
Dovish → Go long on a pullback after holding above 4366, targeting 4400-4440
Unexpectedly no rate hike → A short-term surge, but the probability is low; beware of a false breakout
Trading strategy
Short-term traders:
Keep positions light or stay on the sidelines before the decision. If you can’t resist, lightly short at 4355-4366, with a stop-loss at 4380-4400 and a target of 4320-4300.
Swing traders:
Wait until the direction is clear after the decision before acting. Consider a medium-term long only after the daily close holds above 4400; consider a medium-term short only after a confirmed break below 4250.
Long-term believers:
Begin building positions in batches below 4250, split into 3-4 batches. The logic of central-bank gold buying + geopolitical risks + long-term inflation hedging has not changed. Hold for 1-2 years, with a target of returning to 5000+.
With rate-hike expectations fully priced in and gold down 23%—when the bearish news is exhausted is often when nobody dares to buy.
You chased gold at 5600 but don’t dare touch it at 4350—so when in your life will you ever dare?
Gold at 4350 is the same thing as gold at 5600. What has changed is not its value, but your fear.
After the decision, will you get on board?$BTC $XAU $XAUT #Gate广场中秋团圆局 #每周来晒 #美联储加息会议

WTI crude oil has reached 98.5, and inflationary pressures are rising again. Prediction markets now put the odds of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 bp in September at 89%.
Adding to that, progress on the CLARITY Act has been blocked: CLARITY received 49 votes in favor and 50 against in a Senate procedural vote, leaving it 11 votes short of the 60-vote threshold needed to advance.
After the news broke, risk assets quickly pulled back:
$BTC plunged from around $79,600 to approximately $76,200;
$ETH also fell from around $2,615 to $2,416.
More notably, fund flows weakened: on September 15, U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw approximately $450 million in net outflows, while ETH ETFs saw approximately $142 million in net outflows.
In the short term, the negative factors are indeed concentrated.
However, I personally tend to view this move as a concentrated release of sentiment and fund-flow pressure, rather than a complete breakdown in the trend.
With crude oil, rate expectations, regulatory news, and ETF outflows all hitting at once, it is not surprising that the market sold off first.
What really needs to be watched is whether liquidity and fund flows can recover in the coming period.
Stay steady and we can win!

The CLARITY Act failing to pass is a short-term setback for the crypto market.
But I wouldn’t change the bigger picture based on one legislative outcome.
Regulatory clarity remains one of the key catalysts for institutional adoption.
If clearer rules eventually emerge:
• #Bitcoin could benefit from stronger institutional access
• #Ethereum could gain from greater clarity around its market structure
•#Altcoins could see increased capital rotation as regulatory uncertainty declines
The timeline may have shifted.
The thesis hasn’t.
Crypto doesn’t need perfect regulation. It needs clear rules.

AKE at $0.029—would you dare chase it?
Look at the surface first: surging against the trend, with retail FOMO at an extreme.
BTC is facing resistance at $75,000, the CLARITY Act has made no progress, and U.S. Treasury yields are rising—but AKE has still surged from $0.015 to $0.029, with a 24-hour high of $0.0293 and trading volume exploding to nearly $100 million. The parabolic rise, surging volume, soaring OI, and positive funding rates all point to long-side overcrowding. A pullback could be triggered at any time.
First: Is OK's perpetual launch bullish, or an “exit liquidity channel”?
At 07:00 UTC today, OK officially launched the AKE/USDT perpetual contract, with up to 20x leverage.
When an exchange launches derivatives, it appears to offer a “liquidity premium,” but in essence it gives market manipulators a tool for shorting and distribution. Retail traders see “listed on a major exchange” and rush in; institutions see “there is finally a counterparty.”
Second: On September 21, 2.1 billion tokens will be unlocked—the countdown is on.
Approximately 2.1 billion AKE will be unlocked in five days, accounting for 2.1% of the total supply and estimated at $30-60 million based on the current price. The release is a mix of investor, insider, and community allocations.
The current 24-hour trading volume ranges from tens of millions to nearly $100 million, while the unlock amount is equivalent to an entire half-day of buying pressure.
Selling pressure front-running the unlock is one of the most certain patterns in crypto. It is not that the price “might fall”; it is “highly likely that someone will run first.”
Third: Tonight’s FOMC will determine the fate of high-beta small-cap coins.
The FOMC decision is due tonight, with the market pricing in a 25 bp rate hike to 3.75%-4.00%. Any hawkish wording in the dot plot or the chair’s press conference could send BTC down another leg.
AKE’s ability to rise against the trend today is because the listing event has outweighed macro bearishness. But the sustainability of this kind of “independent token rally” is extremely limited. Once the macro stance turns hawkish and BTC weakens, high-beta small-cap coins can give back gains three times faster than the broader market.
The bulls and bears are facing off—you decide
On one side:
OK perpetual launch, liquidity premium
Platform relaunch, closed loop of AI-generation tools
Up 190% in one month, with strong momentum
Fee-burn mechanism creating deflationary expectations
On the other side:
2.1 billion tokens unlocked on September 21, creating a clear supply shock
FOMC tonight, with macro risks still unresolved
Positive funding rates, crowded longs, and high risk of cascading liquidations
Price has deviated significantly from the medium- and long-term moving averages, with clear overbought conditions
After already pulling back once from the ATH of $0.0338, the previous high presents major resistance
Resistance above: $0.0293-$0.030 → $0.0338 (previous high)
Support below: $0.025-$0.0237 → $0.020-$0.021
Invalidation level: A decisive break below $0.023 on increased volume would weaken the short-term bullish structure
Trading strategy
For those already holding long positions:
Take profits in batches. Reduce part of the position at $0.0295-$0.031 to lock in profits, and set a trailing take-profit or stop-loss below $0.025 for the remainder. Do not bet all your profits on tonight’s Fed decision and the unlock in five days.
For those currently flat and looking to go long:
Wait for a pullback to $0.025-$0.0235, then consider a small long position after volume contracts and the price stabilizes. Set a stop-loss below $0.0225, with a target of $0.030-$0.032.
For those looking to short/hedge:
Aggressive traders can try a small short position at $0.0293-$0.0305, with a stop-loss above $0.0315-$0.032 and a target of a pullback to $0.025.
Reduce exposure before the unlock (September 19-21)
The exchange launching perpetuals is not giving you free money; it is giving market manipulators counterparties.
In five days, 2.1 billion tokens will be unlocked. Do you think retail traders will run first, or insiders?
AKE at $0.029 is the same project as AKE at $0.015. What has changed is not the value, but the part of you afraid of missing out.
At $0.029, would you dare chase it? $BTC $ETH $AKE #Gate广场中秋团圆局 #每周来晒 #美联储加息会议

People with children at home really need to be especially careful when asking relatives or friends to help care for them!
Nicole Wierzbi is a 31-year-old psychology PhD student.
She had previously visited a friend in Pennsylvania and gone to see the friend’s twin baby boys, who were just over a month old.
Unexpectedly, that visit turned into a tragedy.
One day, while Nicole was changing one of the babies’ diapers, she deliberately scratched the baby’s private area, causing the child to bleed.
But she did not tell the parents what had happened. Instead, she told them that the baby had suddenly started bleeding for no apparent reason.
The parents were terrified when they heard this and immediately rushed the child to the hospital.
Nicole stayed at home and continued caring for the other twin.
But as soon as the parents left, she attacked the other baby who remained at home.
She violently shook the infant multiple times and even slammed the child down hard several times.
In the end, the twin baby boy, who had been born just over a month earlier, died from the severity of his injuries.
After the incident came to light, Nicole was quickly arrested by police.
Only after her arrest did she admit that she had experienced urges to harm children since childhood.
Nicole has been held in a Pennsylvania prison since 2024.
But so far, she still refuses to plead guilty.
The two sides are currently engaged in plea negotiations, while prosecutors are seeking the death penalty.
The judicial process in U.S. courts can sometimes be very lengthy.
More than two years have passed since this tragedy, yet as of now, the case still has no final verdict.

Awesome! Blon is pushing BNB Chain another big step forward! From now on, BNB Chain is no longer just a public ledger. Tapekit lets websites live directly inside L1 containers, with no DNS, no cloud, and no single point of shutdown. For the first time, the frontend and smart contracts share the same trust layer, making phishing and domain hijacking ineffective against tape://. BNB now has continuous mainnet settlement (opening containers, updating sites, launching) BEM

For those without an overseas bank card, Starryblu is here as the best alternative to an international card. If you frequently subscribe to overseas AI tools or want to sign up for international services like ChatGPT and Cursor, there are really only a few options available. Making a special trip to Hong Kong to get a card takes time and effort, and the journey can be quite a hassle.

ZEC at $1,205—are you panicking?
First, the surface: FOMC rate-hike pressure, a 20% pullback from the highs, and retail investors panicking and shouting “top is in.”
Over the past week, it fell from 1298 to 1070, a decline of nearly 18%. Today, it rebounded from 1102 to 1205 on heavy volume, up 5-8% intraday. With a market cap of $20 billion, it ranks among the top 10, and 24-hour trading is active. The 1100-1077 support zone has held multiple times. RSI has retreated from overbought to 63, neutral to strong. The major weekly and monthly uptrend channels remain intact—an oversold rebound, with the trend still alive.
First: the first U.S. spot ETF for a privacy coin has opened the institutional gateway.
The Grayscale ZCSH spot ETF listed on August 25, and its AUM has exceeded $500 million. This is the first U.S. spot ETF for a privacy coin—do you understand? Institutions previously wanted to buy ZEC but compliance rules prevented it; now the door is open.
Second: the NU7 voting results are out, and the community has voted with its feet.
Around September 14, holders overwhelmingly supported shortening block times from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, keeping the issuance schedule unchanged, maintaining Bitcoin-style halvings, and delaying part of the reissuance.
ZEC is getting faster, but its scarcity remains unchanged. There is a hard cap of 21 million coins, with only 16.87 million in circulation. Mining difficulty has reached a new high, and industrial-scale mining pools are entering—the miners are voting with real money.
Shielded-pool usage has risen to 25-29%. The Orchard vulnerability was fixed in July.
Third: a signal has appeared on the technical chart that must be taken seriously.
Today’s volume-driven surge from 1102 shows a typical four-hour oversold rebound structure. 1200-1220 is a densely traded area around the previous highs. Holding above 1220 would set the next target at 1250-1290; a rejection and pullback would bring support at 1165-1170 and 1110.
But don’t forget—FOMC tonight. The market is pricing in an 80-92% probability of a 25bp rate hike, the first hike since 2023. The hike itself is already priced in; the real variable is how hawkish or dovish the dot plot will be.
If the FOMC is dovish or delivers a “one-time hike,” ZEC could surge straight to 1250+; if it is more hawkish than expected, it could first be driven down to 1100-1077—that would be an opportunity to get on board, not a reason to run for your life.
The bulls and bears are fighting; you decide
On one side:
The first U.S. spot ETF for a privacy coin, with AUM above $500 million and the institutional gateway open
NU7 overwhelmingly passed, shortening block times to 25 seconds while keeping halvings unchanged
A hard cap of 21 million, only 16.87 million in circulation, and mining difficulty at a new high
The major weekly and monthly uptrend channels remain intact
The privacy narrative will strengthen over the long term in the era of AI regulation
On the other side:
The FOMC is hiking rates tonight, putting short-term pressure on risk assets
A 20% pullback from 1298, with sentiment fragile after leverage was flushed out
Strong resistance at 1256-1298, which it has failed to break three times
Privacy coins are extremely volatile—they rise fast and fall fast
Overhead resistance: 1220 → 1256 → 1298 (previous high)
Downside support: 1165-1170 → 1110-1077 (strong support) → 1050
Trading strategy
For short-term traders:
After the FOMC decision: if it is dovish and price holds above 1220, cautiously go long with a light position, targeting 1250-1290 and using 1170 as the stop-loss. If a hawkish sell-off hits, wait to buy the dip at 1110-1077, targeting 1200+
For swing traders:
If price retests the 1100-1050 zone without breaking below 1077 on the daily chart, build a long position in batches, targeting 1298 and then 1500+, with a stop-loss below 1000.
For long-term believers:
Treat ZEC as “the privacy version of BTC.” The ETF gateway has just opened, NU7 has just been implemented, and the privacy narrative is only beginning. Dollar-cost average below 1100 with your eyes closed, hold for 1-2 years, and target 1500-2000.
You are afraid of the FOMC; institutions are afraid of not having enough coins.
You chased at 1298, panicked at 1205, and sold at 1070—so what money are you actually making?
Privacy is not a crime; it is the last freedom in the AI era. ZEC is not an altcoin; it is the only compliant gateway to privacy.
The ZEC at 1205 is the same thing as the ZEC at 1298. What changed is not its value, but your emotions.
After the FOMC decision, will you dare to get on board?$BTC $ETH $ZEC #Gate广场中秋团圆局 #每周来晒 #美联储加息会议

Even if rates are raised tonight, at this price level and timing, can you still bring yourself to chase shorts?$BTC

Even if interest rates are raised tonight, would you still have the heart to chase short positions at this price level and timing?

While the market bleeds, $ZIG is quietly holding up. 👀
The 4H chart shows a bounce from $0.03738 → $0.04124, with buyers stepping back in.
And the fundamentals are getting stronger:
• $100M DFSA-regulated ZM1 Fund
• Nomura’s Laser Digital invested in ZIGChain
• Concrete + WLFI using ZIGChain rails
• Revenue-funded $ZIG buybacks ongoing
Price + fundamentals starting to align.

You only need to launch one coin with a 30m market cap, and everyone will come to worship.
Robinhood hasn’t even been figured out yet, and now Arc has arrived. Hunting for chains is like rowing upstream: if you don’t move forward, you fall behind.
$CRCL Build this chain around stablecoin settlement and use USDC as Gas. Will this evolve into the next speculative mecca with extremely high capital efficiency?

ETH at $2,390—would you dare bet tonight?
First, the chart: The current price is 2,390, holding above last night’s low of 2,358, while all the short-term moving averages are pressing down from above. The daily MACD has formed a death cross, and RSI is 33-50—not at extreme oversold levels, but not strong enough to buy blindly either. The short term leans bearish, while the medium term is still intact. Tonight is the variable.
First: The bill failed to pass, burying $570 million in longs.
On September 15, the CLARITY Act failed to advance in a 49-50 vote. The market voted with its feet, dumping ETH from above 2,500 to 2,358, liquidating $570 million in longs.
Regulatory expectations fell short; it was leverage, not conviction, that got liquidated.
On the same day, the ETH spot ETF still recorded net inflows.
Second: The fundamentals have not collapsed—your emotions have.
The on-chain data is right there:
Q2 average TPS was approximately 25.9, a record high
The staking ratio is 32%-34%, while exchange balances continue to decline
BitMine’s holdings are approaching 4.9% of the circulating supply, about 5.96 million ETH, and it is still accumulating and staking
The Glamsterdam upgrade and higher gas limit remain medium-term positives
ETH is still ETH: DeFi, RWA, and the stablecoin settlement layer are all still there.
Third: The technicals are telling you that now is not the time to go all in.
Daily chart: The move up to 2,667 failed, followed by a high-volume break below 2,500 and the lower boundary of the ascending channel. The 5/10/20-day moving averages are bearishly aligned, the MACD has formed a death cross, and momentum has turned bearish.
4H: 2,390 is stuck in the 2,358-2,408 range, with resistance at 2,420-2,465 above and support at 2,358-2,380 below.
Support: 2,358-2,380 → 2,340 → 2,300 → 2,250-2,274 (EMA50)
Resistance: 2,420-2,465 → 2,500 → 2,540-2,567 → 2,600-2,667
2,358 is last night’s low, and also your psychological line in the sand.
Tonight’s FOMC is the real weapon.
The market is pricing in an 85%-93% chance of a 25bp rate hike, which is largely priced in already. What could deliver another leg down is a rate hike + hawkish dot plot + Warsh press conference.
If it is just a rate hike with neutral wording → the bearish news may be fully priced in, potentially leading to a quick reclaim of 2,460
If there is a rate hike + hawkish guidance → 2,358 will likely break, with the next stop at 2,300 or even 2,250
If there is an unexpected hold → a direct explosive rally, but the probability is extremely low
You are not waiting for the FOMC; you are waiting for a reason—either to convince yourself to add to your position or to convince yourself to cut your losses.
The long-short showdown—you decide
On one side:
ETH ETFs are still seeing net inflows; institutions have not withdrawn
BitMine has accumulated 4.9% of the circulating supply, locked in staking
The staking rate is 32%-34%, and exchange balances are declining
2,358-2,380 is strong support and has held through multiple tests
On the other side:
The CLARITY Act failed, cooling regulatory expectations
The probability of an FOMC rate hike is 90%, creating macro pressure
The MACD has formed a death cross, and the short-term moving averages are bearishly aligned
BTC is weakening in the 75,000-77,000 range, with risk appetite contracting
Trading strategy
Scenario A (highest probability): Range-bound movement or a dip
If a rebound to 2,460-2,500 lacks momentum (upper wick, high-volume stagnation) → try a small short, with a stop-loss at 2,540-2,560 and targets at 2,380 → 2,300.
If 2,350 breaks and cannot be reclaimed → follow the trend with a small short, with a stop-loss at 2,390-2,410 and targets at 2,300/2,250.
Scenario B: 2,358-2,380 holds, followed by a rapid rally after the decision
Open small long positions in batches at 2,360-2,390, with a stop-loss below 2,330.
The first target is 2,460-2,480, and the second target is 2,540. Trim your position at 2,460; don’t fantasize about an immediate return to 2,667.
Scenario C: Rate hike + hawkish dot plot
There could be a sharp wick. Do not add to your position to average down; wait for the 15-minute/1-hour candle close before deciding.
If the daily candle closes below 2,300, the short-term trend will clearly shift into a down wave. Short first, then reassess after a rebound.
Medium-term view: As long as the weekly chart does not break below 2,200-2,250, this is still considered a shakeout within a bull-market correction. But to look at 3,000 again, ETH must first reclaim 2,560-2,667 and hold above it.
The $570 million in longs were buried not because they got the direction wrong, but because they bet on the wrong timing.
Institutions are picking up coins below 2,400, while you are asking above 2,400, “Should I cut my losses?”
Rate hikes are not scary; what is scary is being fully invested while waiting for a rate hike.
Tonight’s FOMC: Are you watching from the sidelines, or have you already bet on a direction?$BTC $ETH $SOL #Gate广场中秋团圆局 #每周来晒 #美联储加息会议

C8’s Stock Trading Mindset:
1. Stop always thinking you’ll get rich overnight this month.
2. Choose 3 to 5 assets and absolutely do not touch anything else.
3. Do your homework and mark key price levels every Sunday, without exception.
4. Delete all the miscellaneous technical indicators cluttering your charts.
5. Before opening every position, size it as if the money could go to zero.
6. After calculating it, cut the position size in half.
7. Don’t stare obsessively at unrealized profit and loss while trading.
8. Decide where your stop-loss will be before entering, instead of regretting it afterward.
9. Never average down or add to a losing position against the trend.
10. When you’re overly excited or not in the right emotional state, stop immediately.
11. When you feel the urge to revenge trade, stop placing orders immediately.
12. When you’re bored, never place trades just to seek excitement.
13. Learn to sit on your hands for several consecutive days.
14. Stay calm even when you miss a major market move, without batting an eye.
15. Admit that FOMO is self-harm.
16. After a winning streak, never blindly increase your position size.
17. After a losing streak, absolutely do not make emotional bets with oversized positions.
18. Review and record every trade, whether it wins or loses.
19. Identify the triggers most likely to make you blow yourself up, and eliminate them at the root.
20. Get up early every day without skipping a day.
21. Meditate quietly for a while before the market opens.
22. Exercise regularly and get at least 7 hours of sleep every night.
23. Completely detach your personal worth from your account’s profit and loss.
24. Let go of the obsession with “I must be right.”
25. Hold profitable trades according to your plan and let your profits run.
26. Don’t micromanage or repeatedly alter orders that are already in progress.
27. Prove that you can achieve consistent profitability before considering scaling up your capital.
28. Increase your position size gradually; never add to it on impulse.
29. Focus on the trading process and execution, not the result of any single trade.
30. Grade your own “execution” every week instead of looking at how much money you made that week.
31. Fix only one bad trading habit at a time.
32. Never change your trading strategy frequently.
33. Never try one indicator today and switch to another tomorrow.
34. Never blindly copy trades or someone else’s homework.
35. Whenever possible, trade during the first hour after the open, when volatility is highest.
36. Practice and master one trading setup thoroughly.
37. Clearly define the situations in which you absolutely will not trade.
38. After two consecutive failed trades, immediately close the software, shut down your computer, and walk away.
39. Analyze losing trades ten times more deeply than profitable trades.
40. Figure out whether you always fail to hold profitable trades and sell too early.
41. Figure out whether you always stubbornly hold on to losing trades.
42. Protect your principal as if your life depended on it.
43. Build the habit of withdrawing funds regularly every week.
44. Completely abandon the all-in mindset.
45. Stop always thinking, “This trade will definitely turn things around or make me a huge profit.”
46. Build greater psychological tolerance for drawdowns.
47. Accept months when you neither make nor lose money and your account remains flat.
48. Accept that slow is fast, and accept gradual growth.
49. Accept that trading is boring and that boredom is the ultimate goal.
50. Never place a trade just to “make back what you lost.”
51. Never place a trade just to prove yourself to others.
52. Never place a trade just to escape the realities of life.
53. Trade only to execute your system. That’s all.
54. Keep your position sizes small until the process becomes muscle memory.
55. Put survival first instead of pursuing the fastest possible profits.
56. Build strong psychological resilience before increasing your position size.
57. Measure your time horizon in “years,” not “months.”
58. Stay at this poker table long enough, and compounding will naturally take effect.
How boring are the trades that really make big money...

Is a Crash Just Free Money? Oracle’s Selloff Creates a Golden Basin:
1. Oracle $ORCL
Don’t chase the price in the short term; it’s a gem for the long term. The chart is currently being suppressed by the moving averages and has entered a pullback. If it breaks below the 137 support level, it will likely slide all the way down to 113 - 122, or even near 105. However, the long-term fundamentals are extremely strong. Over the next few years, quarterly revenue could surge from the current $19 billion to $25 - 30 billion. The strategy is not to rush into an all-in position in the short term. Keep cash on hand, buy in batches as the price falls, and hold for the long term after purchasing.
2. Nebius $NBIS
has a relatively weak trend and has already lost support from the 100-day moving average. Don’t rush to catch a falling knife. Patiently wait for it to pull back to around the 200-day moving average, or continue falling to around 140. That would be the safest area to enter and buy the dip.
3. IREN $IREN
The chart looks quite ugly. It failed to break higher after forming a double top near the 100-day moving average and was slammed lower. It remains weak, and will likely continue falling. Consider taking action only after it pulls back to the 30 - 32 dollar range.
4. CoreWeave $CRWV
With the broader market environment tense, oil prices surging, and uncertainty surrounding interest rate policy, there is no need to be overly aggressive. The ideal area for a heavy CoreWeave position is around 65 - 70 dollars. It is not too late to buy the dip once it reaches this range.
5. Nasdaq 100 ETF $QQQ and the semiconductor sector $SMH
Technology stocks and semiconductors are generally weak in the short term. QQQ has already fallen below the 100-day moving average, and the broader market is leaning bearish. If the macroeconomic environment deteriorates, the market could suffer another sharp selloff. The overall approach for now is not to blindly turn bearish, but to remain conservative when buying and wait for the broader market to carve out a deep bottom before building a long-term position in batches.
Don’t let a short-term grind lower scare you away!

BTC at $75,800—are you planning to go long or short?
Look at the surface first: negative news is bombarding the market, but the price has not collapsed.
BTC fell from $126,000 to $75,000, a 40% retracement, and is down 13% this year. On September 15, a large bearish candle erased the rebound from the previous days and broke below $78,000. Today, it is fluctuating narrowly between $75,400 and $76,100, with the RSI at 47, neutral to weak. The direction is undecided; tonight will reveal all.
First: The regulatory bill failed, but the real bomb will go off tonight.
The CLARITY Act’s procedural vote in the Senate failed 49-50, falling short of the 60-vote threshold and failing outright. The market waited 11 months, hoping it would break the deadlock, but instead got a bucket of cold water. BTC quickly fell from its intraday high, with long liquidations reaching hundreds of millions of dollars.
This news is a “known negative catalyst.” The market has already fallen 40%, and the bill’s failure had been partially priced in. The real bomb is tonight’s FOMC meeting.
Second: The probability of a rate hike tonight is 87%-92.5%, the first such hike since 2023.
The Federal Reserve is shifting from a rate-cutting cycle to a rate-hiking cycle, raising the target rate from 3.50%-3.75% to 3.75%-4.00%. August CPI rose 0.4% month over month, core inflation remains above 2%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly exceeded 5%.
Borrowing has become more expensive, draining liquidity from risk assets.
The market has already partially priced in a rate hike, but the dot plot and Powell’s tone are the real weapons.
“Rate hike delivered but dovish” → short-term rebound; “rate hike + more hawkish” → test lower support.
Third: Technically, the market has reached a point where a choice must be made.
The daily MACD is bearish, short-term moving averages are in a bearish alignment, but there has been an attempt at a rebound after the Bollinger Bands touched the lower band. $75,000-$75,400 is a dense zone of recent lows and a psychological threshold, and it has held for a day.
But don’t forget—$76,500-$77,100 is short-term moving-average resistance, while $78,000 is the weekly line in the sand. If $78,000 cannot be reclaimed and held, the price will probe lower.
The bulls and bears face off; you decide.
On one side:
Long-term holders’ positions remain at elevated levels, with concentrated holdings at $62,000-$65,000 and $83,000-$86,000.
Cumulative ETF net inflows exceed $55 billion, with AUM of approximately $100 billion.
MARA added 1,292 BTC, worth approximately $98.6 million.
Supply remains rigid after the halving, while institutional access channels remain in place.
On the other side:
The CLARITY Act failed, leaving no short-term regulatory solution.
The probability of a rate hike tonight exceeds 87%, the first such hike since 2023.
Long leverage is elevated, amplifying liquidation risks.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is above 5%, while real rates are weighing on the market.
Overhead resistance: $76,500-$77,100 → $78,000-$79,500
Downside support: $75,400-$75,000 → $73,200-$74,000
Trading strategy
Base case (rate hike delivered, neutral to hawkish):
The price may first dip to $75,400-$75,000 before rebounding. Try a small long position near $75,500, with a stop-loss below $74,800 and a target of $76,800-$77,200. Alternatively, wait 30-60 minutes after the decision before entering.
Bearish case (rate hike + more hawkish path):
After a confirmed break below $75,400, short on rebounds, targeting $73,500-$74,000, with a stop-loss above $76,200.
Bullish case (rate hike but dovish, or “sell the expectations, buy the fact”):
If $76,800 is firmly reclaimed on increased volume, chase a small long position, targeting $78,000-$79,500, with a stop-loss near $75,800.
In the medium to long term, positions can be built in batches around $75,000, but if real rates continue rising, wait for a lower-cost zone.
You fear the rate hike; institutions are waiting for the opportunities after the hike.
After a 40% plunge, the most expensive thing is not the coins—it is patience.
Those who survive tonight will be the ones qualified to talk about buying the dip.
If $78,000 cannot hold, don’t talk about a bull market. If $75,400 cannot hold, don’t talk about a rebound.
FOMC tonight—are you going long, going short, or staying flat and watching the show? $BTC $ETH $SOL #Gate广场中秋团圆局 #每周来晒 #美联储加息会议

$Meme The comparable coin is $boner . Both coins are paired with U.S. stocks on the long platform, and both have been mentioned by the CEOs of the respective U.S. stocks. The difference is that $boner ’s stock CEO is supportive of Robin chain’s coin-stock project and interacts with Vlad. For $Boner ’s paired stock, an approving reply from the CEO is a top-tier assist, which was immediately reflected on the candlestick chart, like an erection. In contrast, $meme ’s CEO toward Vlad