Macro Policy Guidance × Crypto Resonance: Next Week’s Key Tug-of-War Between LPR and Global Liquidity for ETH (2026.07.20-07.26)
【Macro News Snapshot】
Domestic Monetary Policy: LPR quotations will be released on Monday, July 20. The market expects the 1-year rate to remain unchanged at 3.00% and the 5-year and above rate to remain unchanged at 3.50% for the 14th consecutive month. The PBoC previously conducted a 1.4 trillion yuan, 6-month maturity buyout-style reverse repo, with a net injection of 500 billion yuan, keeping liquidity at “moderately loose + counter-cyclical adjustment.”
Overseas

Is this the last wild celebration for ETH bulls? The shorts are already lurking at 1,864.

$ETH /USDT - SHORT to short

Trading plan:
Entry: 1862.67 – 1866.79
SL: 1884.46
TP1: 1849.93
TP2: 1840.07
TP3: 1825.27

Why focus on this structure?
- 4H timeframe bearish signal confirmed, entry 1864.73, stop-loss is only 1%.
- RSI on 15M is only 54.88, not overbought, with plenty of downside room.
- Targets: TP1 1849.93, TP2 1840.07, risk/reward ratio above 2:1.
- Why now? The daily consolidation range hasn’t been broken yet, shorts are building up.

Discussion:
Will this short hit TP2 first, or wi

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$AAVE For the long direction, continue to look for an upside breakout.
The bulls are holding very steadily right now and could break upward to challenge the resistance at 90.42 at any time. If you want to look for an opportunity, keep an eye on the range of 88.44 to 89.97. If it can move up smoothly, the upside targets first look at 92.95, then 95.95.
Also, $ZEC you can continue to watch the upward trend.
But in terms of trading, you must pay attention to risk: if AAVE breaks below the 89.80 support, it may pull back to a lower level on the 15-minute timeframe. For a defensive position, you

Whale 0x66f8 continues to go long on $BTC , with the position now reaching 1,660 $BTC $107.36M).
Liquidation price: $63,123

$BTC 4H
Potential channel boundaries
It’s back at the line between life and death—longs and shorts’ final push
Breakout OR NOT breakout
This is a problem
Probably we’ll see results tonight

Listen... $TRUMP is showing strength, but don't chase the pump. 👀🔥
Retail buys after the move.
Smart money waits for confirmation.
TRUMP bounced strongly from the lows and is now holding above 1.64. Momentum is improving, but resistance is still sitting overhead.
My Plan 📈 🟢 Long: Above 1.66 after a confirmed breakout.
🎯 TP1: 1.70
🎯 TP2: 1.75
🛑 SL: 1.61
No breakout? Stay patient.
Market makers love impatient traders. Don't become their liquidity. 😮‍💨
Are you following the breakout... or buying the top? 🚀💰
This is a trade idea based on the chart shown, not financial advice. Always ma

$PI Whose short positions have been liquidated again?

$CL /USDT Short signals have already been armed—an imminent 4-hour reversal?

$CL /USDT - SHORT

Trading plan:
Entry: 83.40 – 83.62
SL: 84.94
TP1: 82.44
TP2: 81.72
TP3: 80.65

Why focus on this structure?
- Direction: SHORT, confidence 77. Trend on 1D is in a range, and the 4-hour EMA suggests a resistance level.
- Current price 83.51 is near short-term resistance. RSI on 15m is 48.62, neutral-to-slightly weak, with insufficient rebound momentum.
- Why now? ATR on 1h is only 0.458. After volatility contraction, breakouts often follow. Entry reference 83.51 with stop loss 84.94, risk-reward

$BR The contract position is set to be closed, and the net is coming in. This round has already secured the expected profit—$770 is pocketed and done. Once it reaches this level, you should withdraw decisively. Also, $BULLA and $AKE can continue to watch the price action. Everyone, when trading in your day-to-day, mind the risks. If you hit your target, you may need to exit promptly—don’t go in too aggressively.

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Full breakdown of this round’s rapid ETH surge (2026.7.19)
1. Key direct upside catalysts (mainly geopolitical positives)
1. Easing between the US and Iran becomes reality (core driver)
Switzerland’s mediation released clear information: delegations from both the US and Iran will arrive in Zurich next week to begin technical-level talks, and Israel also announced a temporary ceasefire on the Lebanon front.
Market read: The Middle East conflict cools in the near term; oil prices fall quickly; upside inflation risks are removed; the market bets that the Fed’s rate-cut timeline will not be delaye

This match is… who could have thought it
Honest mutual score-boosting

Is silver at this level—are the shorts quietly laying out?
$XAG /USDT - SHORT
Trading plan:
Entry: 56.05 – 56.09
SL: 56.25
TP1: 55.93
TP2: 55.84
TP3: 55.71
Why pay attention to this structure?
- On the 4-hour timeframe, the direction is clearly SHORT, with confidence at 55.4—this isn’t a random guess.
- The 15-minute RSI is 57.15, still some distance from the overbought zone, but the 1-hour EMA has already shown a pressure signal.
- Now the entry is 56.07, with TP1 at 55.93 and TP2 at 55.84—there isn’t a huge move, but the rhythm is tight.
- Why now? Because the 1D trend is ranging, but

ETH 4-hour short signal—don’t rush to be the bag-holder!
$ETH /USDT - SHORT
Trading plan:
Entry: 1869.14 – 1873.22
SL: 1890.81
TP1: 1856.46
TP2: 1846.65
TP3: 1831.93
Why focus on this setup?
- 15-minute RSI 67.23: short-term overbought, with heavy pullback pressure.
- 4-hour EMA bearish alignment, the trend is relatively weak.
- Enter SHORT now: target TP1 1856.46, stop-loss 1890.81, with a reasonable risk-reward ratio.
- Why now? RSI is at high levels + bearish trend confluence—waiting for confirmation.
Discussion:
Will this wave hit TP2 1846.65 first, or is it a bear-trap bounce?

$HOME
It seems to have stabilized and is consolidating, gathering momentum… Don’t buy! The more people buy, the heavier the car will be! The worse it is for the car to move…

Gulfstream Notes
ETH looks for a pullback opportunity. Last week, whether driven by news flow or market sentiment, all price action is reflected in the K-line charts. No matter how much it drops, the 4-hour chart still remains arranged in a bullish order. Next, try placing a limit order near the resistance level around 1892 to enter, catch a wave of the pullback, with a target around 1826. Switch to the daily chart: three consecutive pushes up have already been completed. The key now is whether the next daily K-line can test the previous high and form an SB or 2B—meaning a test of the prior ex

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