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I made two mistakes before Warsh’s speech and am writing them down as a reminder to myself

Before Warsh’s speech, I did two things that, in hindsight, were both mistakes.

First mistake: I moved my BTC stop-loss from 80,800 to 80,200 ahead of time. I thought, “Warsh might sound hawkish, so I’ll give the market a little more room.” In the end, Warsh said nothing, and BTC didn’t move sharply. But by lowering my stop-loss, if the market had actually fallen, I would have lost an extra $600. I made this change because “I think the market might be volatile,” not because of any supporting data or
BTC+0.23%
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Gato
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Dear leaders,
Can we get above 7,000 today?
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XAUT-0.10%
$ETHFI IS SETTING UP FOR A POTENTIAL BULLISH REVERSAL. 👀
ETHFI is forming a falling wedge, with price approaching a key descending resistance that could determine its next move.
A clean breakout followed by a successful retest would strengthen the bullish setup and open the door for a potential move toward the $0.80 zone.
Until resistance breaks, confirmation is still missing. I’m watching price action closely before considering a long opportunity.
Patience first. Confirmation over speculation.
#USSeptemberPPIBeatsExpectations #GateWCTCS9GlobalTradingCompetition #GateBTCAndETHFuturesVolumeRa
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ETHFI-2.95%
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Ethereum Sets October 26 for Hoodi’s 200 Million Gas Test
Hoodi’s Glamsterdam test schedules a 200 million gas target, while the mainnet activation date remains undecided.
Quick Take
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.
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ETH-0.46%
Why does this feel so familiar?😂
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261018 Bitcoin is following weekly trend 2. Hold long-term positions with good entry points; use a stop loss for those with poor entry points. Set a stop loss on short-term trades! BTC resistance levels: 82958/84425/85566. BTC support levels: 80024/78557/77416. ETH resistance levels: 2445/2488/2522. ETH support levels: 2359/2316/2282. Place the stop loss slightly beyond the third price level. Intraday trades should not exceed 5% of your position. I livestream in the afternoons and evenings; follow my profile to find me.#沃什IMF讲话
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BTC+0.29%
#沃什IMF讲话 #每周来晒 The core of Warsh’s IMF remarks wasn’t that he was dovish or hawkish, but that he refused to signal either direction. Markets interpreted them in the short term as meaning “the probability of an October rate hike has fallen,” but the real impact is that the Fed’s rate path will be harder to predict going forward.
To be clear about the context: this was a fireside chat at the IMF/World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok on October 16. Warsh repeatedly emphasized that he wouldn’t prejudge rate decisions or say in advance what the Fed would do at the remaining meetings this year. The
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What exactly is the probability of a rate hike in October? I looked at three data sources and found a huge discrepancy
Before Warsh's speech, I spent an hour comparing how different data sources priced the probability of a rate hike in October, and found the differences were unbelievably large.
CME FedWatch shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in October jumped from around 21% before the CPI release to 43.7%, while the probability of rates remaining unchanged fell from 78.3% to 56.3%. Another source shows that the market sees the probability of a rate hike this month as close to
AAPL+0.43%
Ether ETFs Lose $320M, Overtaking Bitcoin's Weekly Outflows
Five crypto ETF groups tracked by Farside lost $610.7 million during Oct. 12–16, while bitcoin withdrawals slowed 66% from the preceding week.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.
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BTC-0.96%
market update
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#美国9月PPI大超预期 The “data vacuum” is approaching. How will gold and silver prices move?
Recently, gold and silver prices rebounded somewhat after a downturn, showing signs of stabilizing. Wang Weimang, an analyst at Zhonghui Futures, told Futures Daily that the rebound in gold and silver prices was driven by interest rates and safe-haven demand.
“The rapid decline in long-term U.S. Treasury yields was the direct driver of the rebound in gold and silver prices,” Wang Weimang said. Against the backdrop of U.S. September inflation data exceeding expectations, AI technology stocks faced a global sell
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$EIGEN Current price: 0.2509. The first resistance above is 0.2558 (MA20), while the lower Bollinger Band at 0.2416 is the key short-term support level. A break below 0.2416 would open up further downside, and only holding above 0.2558 would signal a recovery.
At the broader market level, the Fear and Greed Index is at 53, in neutral territory. Sentiment is neither hot nor cold, and capital has no systemic risk appetite. BTC is currently at 81914.8, with MA5 crossing above MA20, the MACD histogram holding bullish at +68.02, and RSI at 58.6. The trend is relatively strong, but the upper Bollin
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BTC+0.29%
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solana:9KDhovVA2kdjngkFooqEn5FoKkuZeDMYiQtVk7Lbm9up is a verified coin and this falling wedge will result in a violent 4x pump vertical line
9KDhovVA2kdjngkFooqEn5FoKkuZeDMYiQtVk7Lbm9up
#crypto $sol
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SOL-1.03%
$BTW Just asking, are the longs panicking? One wick straight down this afternoon
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BTW+19.06%
Is the economy recovering?
How did Róu Zu get so expensive?!!! It’s almost 200!
Last week I was still getting Róu Zu for 99. I can’t find it anywhere this week.
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