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A Brief Analysis of BTC’s Short-Term Trend from Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationships, Order Flow, and Price Action (Strategy Suggestions)
综合研判
Dow Theory shows the LH sequence remains intact, but lows are rising, indicating convergence and deadlock
Chan Theory’s central pivot ② [76,400, 76,700] has contracted to 300 points, with a breakout move imminent
Elliott Wave Theory suggests a relatively high probability that ④-b has ended at the 50% retracement level
Volume-price relationships show four consecutive days of declining volume + fading Delta momentum, fo
BTC+0.78%
With the Fear & Greed Index at 56 and in the greed zone, can FIL’s current rally still be chased? My answer: participation is possible, but only wait for a pullback—do not chase higher.
$FI Current price: 0.8453, up 5.02% in 24h, with a trading volume of 11.3M USDT. The moving-average structure is clearly bullish: MA5=0.83202 has crossed above and remains higher than MA20=0.815445, indicating that the medium-term trend has turned bullish. The issue is short-term overheating—RSI has reached 69.7, approaching the overbought threshold, while the price of 0.8453 has already moved above the Bollin
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FIL+7.92%
BTC+0.78%
SOL+3.56%
CAKE+7.26%
SOLV-10.22%
JUST IN: BOJ rate decision eyed as institutions largely expect hikes with 1.5%+ by next year; hawkish guidance could pressure the yen. $JPY
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Important Notice · Risk Reminder

Historical review: In 2021 and 2022, the market experienced extreme surges and plunges, with intense volatility. Market conditions of a similar magnitude may recur in the future.

Please practice proper risk management and strictly control your position size.
Abandon the gambling mindset and wishful thinking, and never stubbornly hold positions against the trend. The market is unpredictable; respect market movements.
⚠️Risk warning: Cryptocurrency futures trading carries extremely high risks, and market volatility is significant. The strategies below are for
Less Than 24 Hours After the CLARITY Act Setback, a Crypto Tax Reform Bill Is Moving Forward! Is U.S
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LIVE1,682
JUST IN: US sanctions BitBank, a sanctioned Iranian CEX tied to Babak Zanjani, for processing payments tied to Hormuz tolls and IRGC funding. Could signal heightened crypto sanctions risk for brokers tied to sanctioned regimes. $BTC $ETH
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BTC+0.78%
ETH+1.47%
🌈 Gate Live Livestream Inspiration - September 18
Hot Topic Recommendations:
🔹Rate hike implemented and U.S. stocks rebound strongly! Chip stocks lead the gains—why is BTC still hovering at the bottom?
🔹South Korean stocks rebound strongly! KOSPI opens up 2.54%, with SK Hynix and Samsung leading the gains—how should you trade Korean stocks?
🔹The CPU sector erupts across the board! Intel rises 10% and AMD gains over 7%—can chip stocks continue their rally?
🔹ZEC continues to surge! Whales withdrew $46 million over two days—are large funds still betting on new highs?
🔹UNI breaks above $7.3!
GateLiveChinese
🌈 Gate Live Livestream Inspiration - September 18
Hot Topic Recommendations:
🔹Rate hike implemented and U.S. stocks rebound strongly! Chip stocks lead the gains—why is BTC still hovering at the bottom?
🔹South Korean stocks rebound strongly! KOSPI opens up 2.54%, with SK Hynix and Samsung leading the gains—how should you trade Korean stocks?
🔹The CPU sector erupts across the board! Intel rises 10% and AMD gains over 7%—can chip stocks continue their rally?
🔹ZEC continues to surge! Whales withdrew $46 million over two days—are large funds still betting on new highs?
🔹UNI breaks above $7.3! Uniswap targets on-chain U.S. stocks—will UNI see a new growth narrative?🔹SEC's new policies ignite the on-chain U.S. stocks concept! UNI surges over 18% in a single day—will tokenized stocks become the new leading narrative?
🔹NEAR breaks above $3.1, up over 16% in 24 hours! The market embraces its transformation narrative—can NEAR forge an independent rally?
🔹Rate hikes cannot suppress long-term bullish expectations for gold! Goldman Sachs still sees $5,400—has the logic behind the gold bull market changed?
🔹The Fed's rate hikes may not be over! There is a 37.2% probability of another 50 basis point hike this year—how will risk assets perform?
Go live on any topic for a chance to be featured on the official website's homepage!
🔥 More topic inspiration and tips: https://www.gate.com/help/community-center/live_chat/49345.
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BTC+0.78%
ZEC+8.95%
UNI+18.93%
SK Hynix+4.35%
INTC+7.66%
AAVE’s upward channel on the 15-minute timeframe is looking very strong, and there are currently few signs of weakening in the bullish trend. AAVE currently favors buying on dips. $AAVE
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AAVE+8.71%
Gold rose to around 4381 yesterday before pulling back, with the low reaching around 4339. The four-hour and daily charts both show some upper wicks; bullish momentum weakened noticeably after the surge, with clear resistance above.
From the weekly and daily time frames, the downward trend remains intact. The current move is more of a brief rebound during the decline, and no strong reversal has emerged. Stay alert for a pullback after gold rises.
Focus intraday on the breakout of the 4380 and 4400 resistance levels above; intraday positioning will primarily favor shorting at higher levels.
Tra
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GLDX+1.31%
PAXG+1.36%
With such a good doji close, you didn’t miss the short, did you? BTC’s wick was a bit weaker, so the limit order wasn’t filled. The ETH entry was perfectly timed and is currently in floating profit. Let’s wait for a break above 2400 first!
BTC+0.75%
ETH+1.47%
  • 1
Layout for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin
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9.18 Erbing Morning Outlook
Pullback to 2465-2480
First target: 2440
Second target: 2400
The current rebound has pushed indicators into a high range, while bullish momentum is gradually weakening and selling pressure is beginning to emerge.
Wait for the price to rebound and face resistance before entering a short position, betting on a decline after the rebound ends.
If the market continues strengthening and breaks through the resistance above, the short thesis is immediately invalidated. Control position size in futures trading, strictly set stop-losses, and do not stubbornly hold
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ETH+1.47%
I had already complained to my friends about this week's market, but now I have to take it back—kind of awkward. While it was grinding out a bottom intraday, $ACE 's rebounds lacked momentum every time they pushed higher; volume failed to follow, and sell orders were still pressing overhead.
I warned at the time: don't be fooled by the rebound. Support was insufficient, so the short position could be held. While others were still waiting for a breakout, I was watching the overhead resistance first.
Later, it was pushed down from 0.1748 to 0.1523, securing +315.64%. The wait wasn't in vain.
Don
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ACE+0.13%
ZEC+8.89%
BNB+3.15%
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BTC+0.78%
ETH+1.47%
TSLA+1.57%
Place a limit order. Brothers, gold is still at yesterday’s level.
GLDX+1.31%
PAXG+1.36%
How high will it go?
In yesterday’s video, I discussed going long at 2441, and I also made an intraday trade last night. Today, I continued going long around 2440, and I’ll make another intraday trade tonight. This is how the market has been moving these days: consolidating within a range, so take it slowly.
Why am I willing to be bullish at such a high level?
Because the impact of the rate hike has already passed. Its bearish impact had already been priced in before the announcement. I said as early as Monday that the market would fall for the few days before the rate hike. Do you believe me
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ETH+1.47%
I had already finished complaining to my friends about this week’s market, but now I have to take it all back. A little awkward.

A few days ago, I took a look at $HEMI before going to bed. HEMI was bottoming and moving sideways around 0.005583, forming a base without breaking down. It felt like funds were quietly entering. Without thinking much, I opened a long and casually posted a long-entry alert.

When I opened the chart in the morning, it was at 0.006512, up +326.81%. I was bullish—the movement beforehand was truly sluggish, but the result feels great.

The market specializes in humbl
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HEMI+3.46%
XRP+0.67%
DOGE+2.24%
Zhanan’s live trade on SKHY Hynix
The current price is already very close to the 1330 take-profit level.
1330 is near the upper boundary of this range. Tonight, we need to see whether it can break out of the range again; if it pulls back, 1240 is still worth watching.
SKHY+4.61%
ZEC: Catching falling knives bare-handed—no position has hit stop-loss!
ZEC+8.89%
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