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What Is Trading Expectancy? How Can Win Rate, Average Profit and Loss, and Trading Costs Help Determine Whether a Strategy Has a Long-Term Edge?

In cryptocurrency trading, making money with a strategy in the short term does not mean it will work over the long term. Catching one major market move by chance can mask problems with the strategy itself. Trading expectancy helps us evaluate a strategy from a broader perspective, rather than judging it based on just a few wins or losses.

First, what is trading expectancy?

Trading expectancy is the average profit a strategy may generate per trade w
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$USDT.D red box all in in ALTS
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Friday’s session: NFP takes the stage! A breakout as the floodgates open is expected to continue!

Wednesday’s ADP report came in at 8.6, above expectations and in line with the previous reading, showing strength and weighing on the market. But the market didn’t fall that day; instead, it rose. So keep a close eye out for a selloff during Thursday and Friday’s sessions—a pump to distribute, a bull-trap tactic!

Bitcoin surged to a high of 810, then continued moving lower. It is now testing support at 850, and a breakdown looks like only a matter of time. Focus on shorting in line with the tren
BTC-0.67%
XAU+0.38%
🔥【Nonfarm Preview】U.S. tech stocks take a beating. What’s next for BTC?

📌 Tonight at 20:00 (UTC+8), join us to discuss the markets ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report:
• With the midterm elections over, why have U.S. stocks and BTC plunged?
• A preview of the nonfarm data: Will Fed policy change?
• Which will bottom out first, tech stocks or BTC? What signals should we watch?

🎁 Join us for two lucky draws
100 USDT position experience vouchers ×3|Gate soccer balls ×3

🎙️ Special guests: @JoJo揪揪, @独领风骚必暴富, [@野狼独行](gt://
GateLiveChinese
🔥【Nonfarm Preview】U.S. tech stocks take a beating. What’s next for BTC?

📌 Tonight at 20:00 (UTC+8), join us to discuss the markets ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report:
• With the midterm elections over, why have U.S. stocks and BTC plunged?
• A preview of the nonfarm data: Will Fed policy change?
• Which will bottom out first, tech stocks or BTC? What signals should we watch?

🎁 Join us for two lucky draws
100 USDT position experience vouchers ×3|Gate soccer balls ×3

🎙️ Special guests: @JoJo揪揪, @独领风骚必暴富, @野狼独行
🔔 Book in advance. Livestream: https://www.gate.com/live/video/55b0ea48f9e5427dbdebee21a2f713af?type=live
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BTC-0.67%
Nasdaq 100 futures edged up 0.7% intraday, with investors remaining cautious#美股史诗级抛售
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BTC, PREDICTION MARKET UPDATE
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LIVE2,133
[ NEW STREAMER ] MARKET POSITION
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Old Ma just posted a CZ meme
On-chain, $GM and $RM both took off,
Who can keep it together? 🤣
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📡 Real-time Signal Card · BTCSOS Capture
Source: Crypto Boss Target: $BTC Long entry: 83050 Target: 83450 / 83700 / 84150 Stop-loss: 82500
Speaking of which, earlier today (11-06), I had just copied the Boss's $BTC trade, and now here comes another 👀
As usual: I only relay and sync the trades; whether to follow and how large a position to take are up to you. The market can go crazy, but risk management can't go crazy with it. Shared as a personal record, not investment advice. #Nasdaq100 index falls 6%
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The largest volume bar in 48 hours created a hole that has now been filled.
Yesterday at 23:00, $ZEC 3.3 million contracts were dumped to 1212.24.
It fell 10%, completing the move in 24 hours.
At midnight today, 2.15 million contracts had already pushed it back up to 1289.
At 8:00, it touched 1331 again, with volume down to just 1.21 million.
It took 3.3 million contracts to push it down, and 1.21 million to lift it. One-third the effort.
At 11:00 it turned lower, giving back 5.5% over six hours and bottoming out around 1258.
A full round trip in one day: the starting point was 1352.4, and it’
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$MSTU Down 21.67% in a day—this isn’t a pullback; someone just flipped the table.
Last night, the group was still shouting “to 33”; today, it hit a low of 23.69, with the price now at 25.63 and 24-hour trading volume at $11.1 million. What does that mean? It’s like the entire day’s sales of a medium-sized mall being crammed into this one coin, with everyone rushing for the exits. From a high of 33.02 to a low of 23.69, the range was nearly 40%. Anyone who chased the price higher this morning now has an account that feels like it’s on a drop tower ride.
In plain English: it’s like cabbage going
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【OpenSky · Daily Frontier Day 30】
OpenSky’s frontier coordinates for today: “Only good things deserve to be scrutinized again and again”
No one nitpicks one-off projects; only core infrastructure deserves to be examined under a microscope.
In 142 days since launch, OpenSky built 30,000 nodes and achieved several-hundred-fold growth, without a single outage or letting trust down once. These aren’t pie-in-the-sky promises; they’re the results of running day after day for 142 days.
Precisely because we’re stable, everyone takes it for granted that we “shouldn’t make mistakes.”
Precisely because w
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chainlink powers a new compliance framework for onchain bonds, aligning them with swift standards through ccip, ace, and data streams across multiple chains.
$LINK $RWA #GATE
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zcash activates nu7 on mainnet, bringing faster blocks, stronger shielded transaction protections, and a new mechanism for long-term network sustainability.

$ZEC $PRIVACY #GATE
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Last night’s US stock market selloff
Nearly tore away crypto’s last fig leaf
The Nasdaq plunged 5.52%
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index crashed 12%
Nvidia lost 9.3% overnight
Tech stocks wiped out $2.5 trillion in a day
The ones that went down with them
Were Bitcoin, which plunged straight through 76,000
And hit a low of 75,200
$1.254 billion was liquidated across the market in 24 hours
But there’s an extremely terrifying truth hidden in these figures
$1.11 billion in longs were liquidated
While shorts accounted for just $140 million
The long-to-short liquidation ratio was nearly 8 to 1
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Is the real show only just beginning? U.S. stocks have only just started falling—I can't even imagine 😭
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You can go from a $20 portfolio to $2k in minutes.
That's the beauty of trading meme coins.
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#xauusd #Altın A pullback is occurring after yesterday's rise. The pullback is forming a bullish Libra pattern.
The pattern's entry zone is the blue box at 3979-3928.
Stop: 3879. The first target is 4143, with the next targets at 4220 -4399. After that, as resistance levels are broken, the stop can be raised and the 4510- 4696- 4893-4995-5597 resistance levels can be monitored.
If the decline deepens and price stays below 3880, we can monitor the 3773-3701 zone and the 3431-3301 levels as support. A renewed attempt to rise may come if price holds at any of the support levels.
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XAUUSD-0.93%
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