My current probability assessment - #BTC LONG TERM.
65% - One final rally (possibly a marginal new ATH) before a larger decline.
35% - The cycle already topped and the ATH was the final high.
Targets are simply weighted probabilities, not predictions.
Two valid long-term counts remain.
Count A (preferred): One final advance before a larger C wave.
Count B: The ATH marked the cycle peak, and the current rally is only a correction.
The market will decide. Our job is to assign probabilities not certainties.

#MoonshotAIPreIPOsOpen
MOONSHOT AI PRE-IPOS OPEN: A NEW GATEWAY TO EARLY-STAGE AI INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
The intersection of artificial intelligence, private markets, and digital-asset infrastructure is becoming one of the most important themes in the evolving investment landscape. #MoonshotAIPreIPOsOpen highlights this trend by bringing attention to pre-IPO opportunities connected with AI-focused companies and giving eligible users a way to explore potential exposure before companies reach traditional public markets.
WHY AI PRE-IPOS ARE ATTRACTING ATTENTION
Artificial intelligence has move

【$SOL Signal】1H upper-band breakout, bullish strike
$SOL 1H RSI 73.79, with the price running along the upper Bollinger Band at 75.8874, while the 4H MACD histogram continues expanding at 0.2497. Order book depth imbalance is 5.21%, with buyers dominating. The 1H MACD histogram is contracting at 0.0955, momentum is temporarily pausing but the level remains intact. The funding rate is 0.01%, keeping the cost of long positions low. Currently at 75.53, the price is hugging the 1H upper Bollinger Band; a breakout above 75.8874 would open up further upside.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Limit order: 75.

$PI I want to tell everyone, this is reality.
I’m trapped.
Do you all think I’m trapped?
At least the market maker thinks I’m trapped.
I buy, it falls; I sell, it rises. The market maker’s system won’t increase the volume like this. I’ll find a way to deal with you, you bastard.

【$ETH Signal】Deep imbalance + bullish alignment, snipe a long
$ETH The depth imbalance is 62.21%, with buyers dominant, and the price is trading just above EMA20_1H. RSI 1H is 57.18 and 4H is 61.21; MACD is bullish on both timeframes, with the histogram contracting. The 4H Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the market-turn window is approaching.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Limit Order: 1914.9119 - 1919.5300
🛑Stop Loss: 1900.3347
🚀Target 1: 1948.3230
🚀Target 2: 1962.7194
🛡️Trade Management:
- Execution strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce the position by 50% and move the stop loss up to b

#NFPShockSpikesRateCutOdds
NFP Shock Spikes Rate Cut Odds as weak payroll print shifts Fed path view
Headline job gain misses street call by wide margin and prior months revised down and jobless rate ticks up and wage growth cools
Market flips from hold bias to cut bias in rapid move
What NFP print showed
Headline NFP well below consensus and private payroll soft and household survey weak
Labor force participation eases and hours worked flat and temp help falls which often leads broad payroll
Wage growth MoM cools and YoY slows which eases service cost pressure
Why market sees this as cut fue

#BTC - THE 21 EMA IS THE MACRO SIGNAL:
On the monthly timeframe, $BTC keeps repeating the same behavior.
👉Below the 21 EMA = deep bear-market conditions.
👉Reclaim the 21 EMA = the macro bull run starts waking up.
🟡Previous cycles followed the same sequence:
👉Peak → breakdown → trade below 21 EMA → bottoming → reclaim → expansion
✅2011
✅2015
✅2019
✅2023
👉Now $BTC is once again sitting near this critical monthly level.
🟡What I want to see: Monthly close above the 21 EMA
👉hold it as support
👉break the descending structure
👉macro trend shifts bullish
👉A wick above means nothing.
👉A

【$TUT Signal】Longs continue, strong 1H breakout
$TUT RSI 1H 93.55, price at 0.06882 is close to the upper Bollinger Band, with volume continuing to expand during the 1H advance. The 4H MACD histogram at 0.0035 continues to expand, with no sign of exhausted bullish momentum. The order book buy-side ratio is 1.51, with clear support from buy orders. OI is stable, and the funding rate is 0.005%, with no signs of overheating for now.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Limit Order: 0.0686135 - 0.0688200
🛑Stop Loss: 0.0653790
🚀Target 1: 0.0739815
🚀Target 2: 0.0765622
🛡️Trade Management:
- Execution strate

Why is SPCX rising: tokenized stock. SPCX represents SpaceX tokenized stock (bStocks), driven by traditional market expectations for SpaceX’s valuation and crypto market speculation on tokenized stocks.
$SPCX

It's a Saturday
In August
During a bear market
As $BTC chops in a 0.3% range
Please seek god instead of trading this

Institutional Money Could Be Bitcoin’s Next Big Catalyst
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan believes Bitcoin could eventually attract trillions of dollars in institutional capital.
His argument is simple: global pools of capital may control as much as $200 trillion, and even a 1% allocation toward Bitcoin would represent roughly $2 trillion in potential capital.
This doesn’t mean $2T is guaranteed to enter Bitcoin overnight. It highlights the much bigger opportunity if institutions continue increasing their exposure to digital assets.
As ETFs, regulation and institutional adoption mature, even small port

1.78$ entry and 3.79$ tp on #Beat $BEAT

#Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Model: Price Above S2F 📈
📝 The Stock-to-Flow Damped Model consistently anchors Bitcoin's long-term price, with the green line historically acting as a foundational support.
📍 $BTC currently trades at $64,212, which is above the S2F Damped Model's $57,382 valuation. This yields a Price/S2F ratio of 1.12x.
💡 This slight premium, alongside whale accumulation, suggests smart money is positioning. Expect future price action to continue respecting or exceeding this model.

Micron really got pumped like this over the weekend...

These projects belong to more than one crypto narrative. The overlaps are where the real theses live.
AI + L1:
$TAO
$NEAR
$ICP
$INJ
L1 + RWA:
$XLM
$AVAX
$OM
$ALGO
$XDC
RWA + L2:
$MNT
$PLUME
$POL
AI + RWA:
$RENDER
$AKT
$GRASS
$IO
$FIL
All four (AI + L1 + RWA + L2):
$LINK
Save this map. Which overlap are you most bullish on?

What would you do if you win this CryptoPunk that's backed by 300e?
Would you claim the Punk or would you walk away with the ETH?
0.0000061% Odds are insane though. It's like 1 in 16.4 million attempts. Let that sink in
Whoever put this Hoodie CP there is a genius and knows it's almost impossible anyone wins that.
The Profit being printed here is insane
@token_works
ethereum:0xa0df17b5ac76ababa36e1450e2cbcd18a620c845

Crypto is now the worst-performing major asset class since January 2025.
Meanwhile:
Silver: +107%
Copper: +66%
Gold: +60%
Nasdaq: +38%
Russell 2000: +31%
And crypto?
$BTC: -35%
$ETH: -47%
Altcoins: -57%
After such a wide performance gap, crypto is starting to look increasingly undervalued relative to other major asset classes.
The question is whether capital eventually rotates back into the sector.