$XAU If you haven’t gone long yet, hurry up and go long to get 4100

$SOXL Is this needle a pullback or a sign of an impending breakdown? In the past 24h it dropped from 149 to 115, then bounced back to 123. Trading volume of 2.3 billion suggests both bulls and bears are fighting it out—some are catching the dip, others are trying to escape.
Bullish reasons: 1. The semiconductor sector has seen a sharp drop of nearly 30%, and the technical oversold condition is severe. The daily RSI is around 22, and historically, at this level the rebound probability is over 70%. 2. The low of 115.6 lines up perfectly with the trendline since October last year, and intraday v

$SNXX Within 24 hours, it fell 33% to 10.31. This wave of panic directly broke the bottom of the “fear and greed index” over the past three months—what does the funding rate at -0.05% say about how crazy the shorts have gotten? Last year, the average rebound after similar data came out was 40%.
The current market sentiment is in an extreme value range. Historically, this type of oversold signal has only appeared twice: once at the end of September last year, and once after the policy crackdown in February. Both times triggered turning points. Now look—trading volume of 280 million is 3 times t

The current market focus remains on the US-Iran situation and expectations for Federal Reserve policy.
Trump said that the US is conducting in-depth negotiations with Iran, but there is very little time left for Iran. If the talks ultimately break down, the United States does not rule out resuming military action. For the market, once the US-Iran situation escalates again, it could push international oil prices higher and also boost risk-averse sentiment, putting some pressure on both US stocks and the crypto market.
As for the Federal Reserve, Citigroup believes that the market is currently u

🔥Crackling breaking news! BlackRock pours $12.55 billion into Meta data centers, snatching up a 7.5% ultra-high yield craze
First, let me ask everyone one question: if U.S. Treasury yields are just above 2%, and you’re offered a big-firm “stable” corporate bond with a 7.534% annualized yield, would you go for it?
Wall Street has just thrown out a major headline: asset-management giant BlackRock issued $12.55 billion of investment-grade bonds specifically for Meta’s AI data center in Texas. The final pricing yield was set right at 7.534%, nearly 290 basis points higher than the 10-year U.S. Tr

Feels good, feels good.
This round, I took 63u in subsidies.
The trading volume was just a few ten-thousand u.
Hedging positions cost $50 in fees/charges.
For swing trading too, I netted a few hundred dollars.

JUST IN: SK Hynix ADR dips below IPO price, fresh all-time low since listing. If sustained, this mirrors sector-wide pressure on semiconductors and could echo into broader tech equities. $SKHYY

Just finished lunch and started watching the chart, and the red on the screen suddenly began to turn into a single mass. That’s when it’s easiest to get overly excited, but the truly comfortable trading is often one that you wait for in advance.

Before the market fully woke up, I noticed that the suppression above $MAV never really loosened. Several rebounds were pushed back by sell orders, with insufficient bids to support the move—there was lift, but no volume. At that time, my view on MAV was simple: it’s not that it can’t run up; it’s that nobody is there to take it. The short-seller win

Strategy has gone 3 consecutive weeks without buying any additional BTC, only focusing on accumulating cash. Last night they just raised another $544.5M by selling MSTR shares, pushing their total USD reserve fund to $3.75B. This amount is more than enough to cover interest and dividends over the next 2.1 years. They have also just repurchased $25M STRC preferred shares.
Last week, Bitmine likewise only added another 9,946 ETH, about $20M, bringing its total holdings to 5.8 million ETH—around 4.8% of the total supply. The current average purchase price is $3,364 per ETH.
Tom Lee said recently

JUST IN: Citadel Securities expects a 25 bps Fed rate hike this Wednesday, signaling a potential hawkish pivot and shift away from forward guidance. $BTC chased by macro expectations as rates could move sooner than later.

The earlier market move is the easiest to fool people into it. On the surface it still looks like it’s holding up, but in reality every rebound lacks staying power. I started watching for a short from around 0.21896; the logic is simple: there were pull-up actions at the highs, but no real follow-through to provide genuine support.
At first it didn’t go smoothly. The price came back to around my entry a few times, and it definitely wears down your mindset. Back then, if you get emotional and keep adding, it’s easy to get shaken out by a single wick. I just waited for it to fail to push higher

$XAU 7.28 AM gold trading ideas
Yesterday’s strategy was to go from around 4120 to 4160, and it landed perfectly. Today, the overall direction continues to look bearish [箜].
From the 1-hour timeframe trend, the bearish structure is clear: every time price touches the upper band, it quickly falls back. Consecutive bearish candles have kept breaking through the middle band and short-term support levels. The MACD green histogram continues to expand. Intraday rebounds are weak, and bullish follow-through is clearly insufficient.
Trade reference: look bearish in the 4080-4090 range [箜], with target

【$SOXS Signal】Negative funding rate short squeeze + 4H Bollinger upper band breakout
$SOXS After the 4H Bollinger Bands tighten, the price breaks above the middle band and tests the upper band at 56.85. Funding rate is -0.0326% and stays negative, giving long positions a clear cost advantage. The MACD 4H histogram bars are still expanding, but the 1H red bars are shortening, indicating short-term profit-taking pressure. There are relatively thick limit orders near 55.78 below, forming short-term support. Current price is 56.35, within the entry range. The risk-reward ratio is 1.5. In a negativ

Korean stocks trigger another circuit breaker again, and tomorrow SK hynix will release its earnings report.
Everything is just right—so wonderful, so wonderful.
If nothing unexpected happens, tomorrow there will be a dead cat bounce. I’m preparing to go bargain-hunting on SK hynix’s common shares and SanDisk, betting on a rebound from tomorrow’s earnings report.
I won’t touch SK hynix ADR for now—I'll continue after the dead cat bounce from SK hynix is over 🈳 SK hynix ADR

7.28 Su Wan morning market analysis and trading ideas
There is already a certain amount of pressure above. And the strength of the rebound is also gradually weakening; it may face a second dip, while there is a need for some short-term correction. Keep the same approach—no need to blindly chase shorts. If it rebounds to resistance, continue to look for a pullback.
BTC: Short around 64,500-65,000, target around 63,800-63,300
ETH: Short around 1,940-1,970, target around 1,880-1,850 $BTC $SOL #ETH重返1900美元

Future generations will study the perfection of this PO3
$NEAR

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$BTC is EXTREMELY BEARISH for me if it continues to reject this weekly s/r pivot