TaiBai

vip
Active for: 2.6y
Peak Tier 3
No content yet
I feel that the semiconductor sector won’t be properly repaired for more than a few months, while the person at the top who bought storage doesn’t know how many years it will take to break even.
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Although there are many mistakes,
this is the most satisfying thing I’ve written.
I wrote it in one go—smooth and uninterrupted.
As expected, writing like Wang Xizhi requires a little bit of wine.
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
The whole world is falling.
Are Bitcoin’s situation and outcomes all trash?
BTC-0.45%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Insider: Boom boom boom
Special: Yes, sir, up up up
View Original
post-image
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
I just went back over it.
This time, the collapse of South Korea’s storage stocks
and the Luna collapse in the crypto world back then
—what do they have in common?
1️⃣ They’re all South Koreans (this is important 🤣)
2️⃣ The “unshakable” narrative leads to FOMO
3️⃣ Retail investors participate with high leverage
4️⃣ Once confidence breaks, it enters a downward spiral
5️⃣ High concentration leads to a “systemic” shock
#History won’t simply repeat itself, but it will play out again and again
LUNA-3.13%
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
How many short positions does Changxin really have?
Are you crazy?
The fee losses are driving me insane.
🥹
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
$NAS100
Nasdaq 4H
Due to being dragged down by the semiconductor sector
Currently, in a pullback with choppy weakness
Below are two potential support zones
Note: At the moment, there are no reversal signals
NAS100-2.34%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 1
  • Repost
  • Share
WindMu:
坚定HODL💎
Now that it’s come to this,
I still have to thank the country.
If it weren’t for blocking Futu and Changqiao for me,
I’d be like
the young people in South Korea now—
gone into the sea.
🥹
Now that it’s come to this,
go take a stroll around Seoul this weekend to clear your mind.
FUTU0.13%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
$NAS100
Nasdaq 4H
Due to being dragged down by the semiconductor sector
Currently consolidating and falling, in a pullback
The two support zones below
Note: At the moment, there is no reversal signal
NAS100-2.34%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Everyone, I’ll go first.
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
I trimmed the storage short positions this morning.
There’s only a little left—just a tiny hold.
Looks like we’re heading into a range-bound battle between longs and shorts.
I’m heading out first.
Longs and shorts, you go at it first—then we’ll talk after.
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Companies like Xiaomi
I’d call them the Eastern Little Apple
From now on, AI will be everywhere—
smart homes, smart appliances
smartphones, computers, tablets, watches
smart cars…
From a 1-year-old baby to a 98-year-old elderly person,
everyone can’t do without Xiaomi.
Such a great company—
shouldn’t it surpass those processing plants that only know how to make memory???
A value gap
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
If you carve the boat to seek the sword—
Based on my knowledge and experience from charting altcoins’ K-lines,
match it to the storage;
it’s probably going to play out like this in the future—
a long, drawn-out distribution,
devastation and suffering for all living beings.
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
If one day China successfully breaks through EUV lithography machines,
ASML will lose 90% of the mature process market
and face bankruptcy directly.
Don’t ask me how I know—
because I’m shorting.
Shorting means you have to spread FUD.
$ASML
ASML-2.04%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
The significance of KIMI 3 being open source
It’s not meant for you to run the big model yourself
Snotty, sarcastic idiots everywhere—pretending to know how much money it takes to buy the hardware needed to run KIMI 3
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
I’ll just ask you this:
A Changxin’s market cap—
equals the market caps of all the semiconductor companies below that much.
Is that right???
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Short essay on the thousand-character mark!
Changxin goes public
Why is it a stage bearish catalyst for the US-listed storage sector?
1. Industrial logic: Financing for expansion shocks the supply-demand pattern, compressing profit margins
Storage chips are highly cyclical and capital-intensive; profitability depends on supply discipline.
Changxin’s IPO fundraising will pour heavily into R&D and capacity expansion for advanced process nodes such as DDR5 and HBM, directly breaking the weak balance among Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron of “controlling utilization and protecting prices.”
MSCI0.61%
WDC-0.45%
MU-10.01%
SNDK-6.88%
SKHY-2.55%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Can you not keep blocking the rash?
Your original family just likes to keep blocking the rash.
They just love to snipe the bottom.
Isn’t 60k not enough to miss?
This is only down a little, and you’re already buying the dip.
If you keep sniping—go ahead and get wiped out.
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Since things have turned out like this, the most sorry thing is the family.
🥹
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
  • Pinned