The current market-implied probability of a rate hike in September is 58.6%.
But personally, I lean toward the Fed ultimately not raising rates in September.
The reason is simple.
Although August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations, strong employment data does not necessarily mean inflation will spiral out of control again.
What will truly determine the Fed's September decision is still the PPI and CPI data.
If inflation continues to cool in the coming months, the current 58.6% rate-hike expectation could very likely be revised downward by the market.
For Bitcoin, this is the key point.

I originally wanted to cut my losses and sacrifice to the heavens, but the sacrifice never happened—the meat roasted itself. This move is indeed interesting. While everyone was still watching from the sidelines, I saw something was off in the market. When it pulled back to a key level, it didn’t hesitate at all and held firm, with volume picking up as well. With buying pressure this strong, what else could it be planning to do? I followed in with a position at 2.158. I honestly didn’t expect it to go very far, but this morning it gave me a huge surprise.
The price has now reached 3.013, with t

【$ZEC Signal】Long: 4H momentum continues + 1H momentum remains intact
$ZEC RSI 4H 81.95, 4H MACD histogram expanding, 1H MACD histogram narrowing but remaining positive. Funding rate 0.0091%, OI flat, and short-term fuel is not yet exhausted. Price at 1225.08 is hugging the 4H Bollinger upper band, while the 1H upper band at 1254.90 is also opening upward. Continuous buying emerged in the 1215-1222 range, with the price recovering within an hour after the sharp drop. The order book has relatively thick sell orders but has not formed one-sided suppression.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/limit order:

I was quite comfortable holding this BTC long position. The reason for entering was that a strong bullish candle appeared on the hourly chart and directly broke through the upper boundary of the previous consolidation range. I judged at the time that this was not simply a wick spike, but genuine capital entering the market, so I decisively followed up with a long position after the pullback confirmation.

After entering, the market did not put me through much of a grind and basically moved upward along the moving averages. I closed 70% of the position around +594.43%, and left the rest with a

#晒出我的持仓收益#
Weekly Long-Term Analysis Report
The market’s current movement is in line with expectations, so the content is basically the same as last week’s report.
BTC has been ranging between $77k and $82k for several weeks, during which a large amount of long and short positions has accumulated.
Both sides seem determined to win, while also preparing sufficient fuel for the upcoming market movement.
Once BTC breaks through the $83k resistance level, the next target will be $87k. Conversely, with key inflation data such as this week’s PPI and CPI releases ahead, if the results are bearish, BT

#RedBullTradingTourSeason6 🏎️
THE MARKET HAS A STARTING GRID — ARE YOU READY TO RACE?
Crypto never waits.
One second the market is calm, and the next, Bitcoin can move thousands of dollars, altcoins can explode, and volatility can completely change the trading landscape.
That is exactly what makes the Red Bull Trading Tour Season 6 so interesting.
Running from August 31 to September 28, 2026, Season 6 brings the adrenaline of racing into the world of crypto trading, giving traders a chance to compete while testing their strategy, execution and consistency.
And with a potential prize pool of u

This long trade was actually rather uncomfortable. Right after entering, I got hit by a false-breakout wick, which nearly swept my stop-loss at a key level. I didn’t cut the position at that level because volume hadn’t expanded; instead, it looked more like a shakeout. The chart then saw a series of consecutive small bullish candles, and the battle between bulls and bears quickly shifted in favor of the bulls. When the price reached around 1282.02, I took profit on 70% of the position and moved the stop-loss on the remaining position above breakeven. The profit is currently at +710.41%, and th

Everyone’s long ZEC while the 4h chart screams distribution—who’s right?

$ZEC /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1215.39 – 1231.17
SL: 1321.75
TP1: 1149.43
TP2: 1100.20
TP3: 1026.35

Why this setup?
- 1D trend is bullish, but the 4h setup says otherwise: SHORT bias at 84 confidence.
- Price is pinned at 1223.28 with RSI(15m) at 52—no momentum, just chop before the drop.
- ATR(1h) of 31.5 means we’re primed for a 2.5%+ move; targets sit at 1149 (TP1) and 1100 (TP2).
- Why now? The “waiting” status means the trap is set—either we sweep 1231 or dump.

Debate:
Are you fading this bullish

#Gate用户突破6000万，来 用户突破6000万，来 Gate Reaches 60 Million Users Worldwide!
60 million users is not just a number — it represents millions of trading journeys, unforgettable moments, lessons, profits, losses, and memories created along the way.
Do you remember when you first joined Gate?
Do you still remember your first trade?
Maybe it was a perfect entry… or maybe the market taught you an unforgettable lesson!
For me, every trade tells a story. Some bring excitement, some bring valuable lessons, and some become memories that we can laugh about years later.
Now Gate is inviting its community to

24 hours ago I was talking shit about Zcash and now it’s up another 20% in a day.
It can’t keep this up, right? 😅
(I don’t own this trash)

【$DOOD Signal】Long 1H Momentum Continuation
$DOOD RSI 1H 75.56, with the price holding around 0.00195, the 4H MACD histogram continuing to expand, and the 1H histogram beginning to shrink. The best bid-ask spread is 7.98%, and long orders are substantial.
🎯Direction: Long
⚡Entry/Limit Order: 0.00194714 - 0.00195300
🛑Stop-Loss: 0.00193347
🚀Target 1: 0.00198230
🚀Target 2: 0.00199694
🛡️Trade Management:
- Execution Strategy: Reduce the position by 50% after reaching Target 1 and move the stop-loss up to breakeven. If the price falls back to the entry level, exit automatically to protect the

JUST IN: NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang lauds OpenAI GPT-6 Astra, saying AGI has arrived and noting 100,000+ Grace accelerators powered the build. Could be a tailwind for AI chip makers and AI infrastructure sentiment. $NVDA

During the $PI crisis, two trades. Too difficult.

Everyone’s watching ADA’s 4h chart, but the real trap is hiding in the 15m RSI.

$ADA /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.2215 – 0.2227
SL: 0.2278
TP1: 0.2179
TP2: 0.2150
TP3: 0.2108

Why this setup?
- ADA/USDT is pinned at 0.2221 with a weak SHORT bias (55% confidence) – not a conviction call, just a pressure test.
- 1D trend is *range*, so this isn’t a breakout – it’s a squeeze. The 4h structure says sellers control the 0.2227 ceiling.
- 15m RSI at 59.5 is the tell: buyers are tired, but not dead. That’s why entry zone 0.2215–0.2227 is a knife’s edge.
- TP1 at 0.2179 is a 1.9% drop

JUST IN: White hats reportedly moved 4,000 BTC from Liquid’s sidechain amid a major security breach. ETFs enjoy their best three weeks of inflows in 2026. $BTC $ETH

#Gate用户突破6000万
🎉 Make a post for a chance to win 6,000 USDT!
Gate's global user base has officially surpassed 60 million!
This time, we're not just celebrating—we're giving away rewards directly 👇
🍀 1 person will exclusively win a 6,000 USDT futures position trial voucher
🎁 Plus, 60 more people will be drawn to receive a 60 USDT futures position trial voucher each
💙 More rewards for quality content: 1 $GT / Gate merchandise blind box
It's simple to participate:
Post on Gate Square with #Gate用户突破6000万 for a chance to become the 6,000U super lucky winner!
Don't know what to post? Just tal

My hand trembled slightly as I set the stop-loss a few days ago, only to discover this morning that the filial piety was unnecessary. This $LINK move was simply meant to be mine. The last thing I saw before bed was it pulling back to the key level and holding firmly, with the signs of buyers stepping in at the bottom impossible to miss. At the time, I thought that even if I was wrong, I would only lose a small stop-loss by sticking to the plan. I never expected to get rich overnight, but then it started putting on a show all by itself.

When I opened the chart this morning, the price had alre