BTC_POWER_LA

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This is one of the key metrics on the SBI dashboard.
It tracks the long-term slope of Bitcoin's power-law growth and is one of the most stable parameters in the entire model. Since the beginning of the dataset, it has remained remarkably close to its structural value of approximately 5.8.
The colored dots represent the daily slope estimates. These fluctuate from day to day, as expected in any noisy real-world system, but over time they oscillate around the long-term structural trend.
The ⭐ marks the current value. At the moment, it sits slightly above the long-term average, indicating that whi
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This is the Monte Carlo page of the Scientific Bitcoin Institute dashboard.
The model operates on daily time scales and projects the range of possible Bitcoin price paths over the next two weeks.
The simulation uses the empirically observed distribution of daily slopes to generate thousands of possible future trajectories. The resulting prediction cone shows the range of prices that are statistically consistent with the historical distribution, together with their associated probabilities.
For example, based on the current distribution, a price of $74,000 has less than a 1% probability of occu
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I rolled some dice to decide where to eat and this is what I got. Not bad roll.
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I will soon publish a 3D-printable DIY project (with files and everything) on the SBI website. It consists of a box filled with dice that you shake to generate physical randomness. You provide the dice of your choosing for extra security.
A low-cost camera then reads the dice results, and our app converts them into a secure seed phrase.
Is that techy enough for you?
We may also print and assemble some units ourselves and give them to interested SBI members as part of the membership program.
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GateUser-0765df4f:
1000x Vibes 🤑
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And what about a variation of this?
Add an offline camera that deletes the image after it reads the dots on the dice.
It outputs the dice sequence, 99 dice instead of 25 (9 grid).
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Half joking, but one could imagine using a dice shaker with a built-in camera and machine-learning software that automatically recognizes the dots. After only a few shakes, the device could record many dice outcomes and convert them directly into a seed generated from physical randomness. Every shake could be verified by the human that approves the reading with the touch of a button.
Would this be better than rolling and recording the dice manually?
It could certainly be faster and more convenient, especially if the shaker contains many dice and the recognition software is reliable. It would
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Scale arguments are again very fundamental in understanding Bitcoin and here is an instance that goes beyond the power law scaling properties.
There are two separate problems here.
The first is generating randomness with sufficiently high entropy. The second is remaining in control of the process and understanding where that randomness comes from.
A properly designed dice-based method addresses both. It creates a very large search space, while also allowing the user to observe and verify the source of the entropy directly.
Human error is a much smaller issue than people often assume. Some erro
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This is not security theater. Physical randomness (via coin toss, card shuffling, dice rolls) that you generate is the highest standard of randomness you can create within the given constraints. Simple but powerful tech.
Let's do the math:
For the 99-roll (24-word) procedure: each roll has 6 outcomes, so the number of distinct roll sequences is 6⁹⁹ ≈ 1.09 × 10⁷⁷ — a 1 followed by 77 digits.
In bits, that's 99 × log₂6 ≈ 255.9 bits, which is why 99 rolls is the minimum to fill a 256-bit seed: the SHA-256 step then maps those sequences onto the 2²⁵⁶ ≈ 1.16 × 10⁷⁷ possible seeds, an almost exact
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I know some Bitcoiners may find the idea of rolling dice to secure a wallet ridiculous. But most people in the world still find Bitcoin itself ridiculous.
So do not dismiss the method simply because it looks unusual. Study the subject.
Properly collected physical randomness can provide entropy that is independent of a device’s internal pseudo-random number generator and directly observable by the user. Dice are inexpensive, transparent, and easy to audit: you can see every roll and verify exactly where the randomness came from.
Used correctly, this is a simple and powerful way to strengthen wa
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This is what is in the ZIP file.
I will add this to the page.
Let me know of other security issues.
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So I asked Claude whether we could design a physical random-number generator that uses signals from the device itself to produce entropy.
In principle, this sounds appealing. In practice, however, Claude still considers dice the better option because device-based noise introduces several problems: the source of randomness may be difficult to inspect, its quality may vary, and most importantly, you cannot verify it directly with your own eyes.
Dice are simple, cheap, transparent, and physically auditable.
You can see every roll, record the results yourself, and understand exactly where the en
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Official Seed Tool from the Scientific Bitcoin Institute. Please tell me what you think and feedback. We can improve together on this.
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This is a good set and it is not expensive. You don't need 99 dice. Just 9 rolled 11 times.
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Among the core roles of the Scientific Bitcoin Institute are education and service to the Bitcoin community.
To support those goals, I created a free, fully auditable tool for generating high-entropy seed material.
The process is transparent, so users can inspect and verify exactly how the entropy is produced rather than relying on a black box.
Please use it responsibly, with full awareness of the security assumptions involved and a clear understanding of proper seed generation, backup, and storage procedures.
Below, I show an estimate of how long even extremely powerful modern AI-assisted sy
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Is racist to say I cannot stand this?
People just sitting in the middle of the sidewalk doing nothing? They could have done nothing in their country.
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Free palestine useless messages, unbriddled migration, garbage, urine... all seem to correlate. You don't need to be a scientist to see it...
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The full screen view is gorgeous.
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The observatory looks amazing if full screen.
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