#加密市场观察 Oil market outlook: multiple parties’ interests converge—only one path remains to break the deadlock downward
Oil has rapidly fallen back from above $94, and is currently ranging around the $80 level and looks increasingly unstable—validating the earlier judgment: the uptrend in oil prices driven by Middle East geopolitical conflict can no longer be sustained, and rapid pullbacks have become the market’s choice.
From a global perspective, the current standoff over shipping lanes has reached a predicament where all sides lose: continued lane deterrence and de facto navigation being obst

July 29, 2026 (Wednesday), ETH contract technical analysis shows extreme weakness, with a breakdown-and-downward pattern. The price has already effectively fallen below the key bullish-to-bearish boundary line, and bearish momentum is much stronger than BTC and SOL—making ETH the weakest-performing asset today.
📉 Trend and Pattern (Key Breakdown)
· Long-term trend broken: The price has fallen below the long-term uptrend line since Nov 2025 (currently around 3,033), showing clear technical bear-market characteristics.
· Moving averages in bearish alignment: All major daily EMAs (20/50/100/20

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🔹 U.S.–Iran ceasefire collapses again! Oil prices surge, U.S. stocks close mixed, while the storage sector stages a V-shaped reversal
🔹 Korean chip stocks rebound strongly! SK hynix rises 4% and Samsung gains nearly 6%—is the AI memory rally returning?
🔹 Grayscale turns bullish on HYPE! Says the token remains undervalued, with forward P/E estimated at only 15–18x—has a valuation opportunity emerged?
🔹 Multicoin unstake HY

BREAKING: Tether signs MoU with Nairobi Securities Exchange to explore digital asset education and tokenization in Kenya.

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#SEC主席乐观预期CLARITY法案通关 SEC Chair Paul Atkins said he is optimistic about the CLARITY Act passing through Congress, adding that the SEC is providing technical support to help advance the legislation. He believes the law can establish long-lasting regulatory rules; if Congress fails to complete the legislation, the SEC is also prepared to issue its own rules to address a range of issues related to the crypto market structure. SEC Chair Paul Atkins is optimistic about the CLARITY Act clearing the hurdle, mainly for the following reasons:
1 Legislative progress
The bill has already passed the Sena

Ionic Digital jumps 26% on Nasdaq debut, closing at $62.90 and a roughly $2.8B market cap. Potential signal of renewed investor appetite for Bitcoin miners and AI infrastructure plays. $ICD

What caught my attention was the detail where things started to change. The price is still hovering near a high level, but after multiple breakouts, the move hasn’t followed through; selling pressure has gradually become apparent. This kind of condition is often more worth watching than a simple drop.

After confirming that the momentum has weakened, I executed a long at 65034.0—I didn’t chase the trade into key levels. Now the price is back at 63695.1, which corresponds to +359.17%, and it has also validated my earlier judgment.

I’ve always put a high value on patience in short positions:

The end-of-month market is also pretty good—three quick wins in a row this morning! Took down 1500🔪$XAU

7.29 SOL order book analysis

Direction: The high point meets resistance with choppy consolidation and a pullback. The short-term trend is weak. Use rallies to place positions while controlling risk.
Control: Around 73.60-73.85. Stop-loss above 74.10. Targets: 72.90 / 72.40.

After SOL pushed up and hit the 74.55 high, the breakout momentum gradually ran out. The price then moved into a downward oscillation. Current price is 73.26. Repeated tests of the upper high fail to break through. In the near term, the moving averages have turned downward, forming resistance. Attempts to push higher re

If you only look at the final result, it’s easy to overlook the changes beforehand. When $AIA stayed at high levels, each rebound had less force than the last, and the price never managed to hold steady again—at that time, I had already started waiting for the shorts to confirm.
As the momentum weakened further, I opened a long position around 0.07316, and during the process I didn’t rush to change my plan just because of a brief spike. As the price moved to 0.06417, the +306.69% result came along with it as well.
I’d rather treat this as feedback earned through patience, not just chasing vola

PREVIOUS CYCLE TOP IS THE BOTTOM OF THIS CYCLE.
BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO GO PARABOLIC SOON 🚀

Bank of America calls it “unprecedented,” while Deutsche Bank bets on “two votes against”—this evening’s Fed, with the market pricing an “out-of-rules” decision
What does a 30.5% rate-hike probability mean?
Based on the script from the past 30 years—it means it’s “impossible.”
Bank of America combed through all data since 1994 and reached a conclusion: the Fed has never raised rates when the market-implied probability of a rate hike was below 60%.
60% is that invisible red line. 30.5%? Not even half the line.
But tonight, the entire market is taking this 30.5% seriously.
Citi says this is “the

【$SOON Signal】Going long on the 4H trend if it hasn’t broken; pull back on the 1H and go long.
$SOON The 4H MACD histogram narrows to 0.0062. Bullish momentum slows, but the signal line is still above. The 1H RSI is 60.64, having moved out of the overbought zone; the bid/ask ratio 0.52 is slightly in favor. Order book depth imbalance is -1.12%; sell orders are a bit thicker but no pressuring order forms. Current price is 0.2772, trading just above the 1H EMA20 of 0.2673. Personally, I think the probability of a short-term shakeout is relatively high, but the 4H bullish structure is intact, and

Tongge 7.29 BTC outlook
$BTC Enter around 640-645, set stop at 650, first target 630, second target 625.
Last night’s early-morning long bearish candle smashed through the dreams of the chasers, sliding from around 660 down to 63,000—3,000 points vanished in the blink of an eye.
Today it didn’t keep accelerating downward, which suggests there are temporarily buyers near 63,000. But don’t see the “brake” and shout about drifting—someone bids on the way down doesn’t mean someone will hold on the way up.
64,000-64,500 is the first short-term resistance zone. If it can’t break through, the bounce