When I saw this post about breaking above the previous high, I lowered my shoulders first
Not because I’m relaxing, but because I know I waited for nothing again
11-12 21:00: A 1.08-million-contract volume bar
Drove $HYPE down to 69.422, then closed at 70.284
That long lower wick really does look like a bottom when you zoom out
Today at 12:00, the second test of 69.888 had only 1.41x the volume
I’m still not buying the claim that the bottom is in
Eight hourly candles in a row with rising lows, from 70 to 73.797
At 19:00, a 1.91x-volume candle pushed to 73.846
At 20:00, it pierced the old high

We're finally starting to see some serious $BTC liquidations come in. Open interest remains really high though.
When are these shorts going to cover... Can they even cover without getting burnt? 🤔

$ETH Currently trading at 1950.87, down 4.788% over 24H. Both the 1H and 4H are weak, with price below EMA20 and RSI at 30.8/24.8, indicating downside alignment across both short-term timeframes. The 1H volume ratio is 0.47, suggesting low participation; a single break needs confirmation. Resistance is at 2046.48, and support is at 1895.95. Watch: A recovery is only worth considering if price holds above 2046.48; if it breaks below 1895.95 and fails to reclaim it, weakness will persist. In the follow-up review, focus on whether price can hold above resistance; if it breaks below support and fa

Why do so many people keep losing money in choppy markets?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people like trending markets because they can go long when prices rise and go short when they fall, making the direction relatively easy to judge.

But what often causes many traders to keep losing money is choppy markets.

Why?

First, choppy markets are most likely to produce false breakouts. BTC may just have broken through an important resistance level, making people think an uptrend is about to begin, but the price soon falls back into its previous range. Traders who chased the rally get trapped, w

$ERA $ERA Large Long: ERA is approaching a key support zone around $0.0760, where buyers may try to spark a bounce. A successful bounce could trigger a bullish reversal—if buyers drive the next leg up, there could be substantial profits ahead. Long $ERA Entry: 0.0762–0.0770 Stop-loss: 0.0735 Take-profit 1: 0.0790 Take-profit 2: 0.0820 Take-profit 3: 0.0838 Take-profit 4: 0.0890 Trade here $ERA : 👇

#Share My Holding Returns#
A position in the red...

Over the past 24 hours, the entire crypto derivatives market underwent a sharp round of deleveraging. $BTC Liquidations totaled $1.65 billion, forcing 187,000 traders to close their positions. Longs accounted for 87.9% (about $1.45 billion), while shorts accounted for just $199 million. Looking at BTC alone, liquidations totaled $920 million, or 55.7% of the market total; longs accounted for $872 million, or 94.9%.
The bulk of liquidations occurred in a 12-hour window: $1.08 billion, including $947 million in longs. In the past 4 hours, liquidations totaled just $31.2 million, with shorts at

Many traders see BTC trading volume suddenly surge and assume the market is about to reverse. In reality, a surge in trading volume does not mean a trend reversal. It more often indicates that market participation is increasing and that disagreement between buyers and sellers may be intensifying.

So, how should we interpret a sudden surge in trading volume?

First, rising volume in an uptrend. If prices continue to rise while trading volume keeps increasing, it indicates strong market participation and possibly new capital entering the market. But if prices become increasingly difficult to pu

How to Find Support and Resistance Levels? Practical Methods for Identifying Key BTC Buying and Selling Zones

In BTC trading, many people study candlesticks every day but often run into the same question: Where might the price encounter resistance as it rises? At what level might support emerge if it falls?

In fact, support and resistance levels are fundamental tools in technical analysis.

First, look at historical highs and lows. If BTC has repeatedly stopped falling and rebounded in a certain price area, that area may form support. Conversely, if the price has risen to a certain level mul

November 13 $BTC Evening Analysis
The longs have taken a hit too, right? The main source of pressure right now is the Fed’s shift in monetary policy. U.S. inflation data has proven more persistent than expected, and the market-implied probability of a rate hike in December has risen above 72%. Some officials have even warned that a 50-basis-point hike may be necessary. This means the market’s previous “rate-cut expectations” have been completely disproven. Rising real-rate expectations are directly weighing on yieldless assets like Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield has broken abo

🚨 JANE STREET BOOSTS FIDELITY BITCOIN ETF HOLDINGS NEARLY 8X IN Q3!
Meanwhile, it cut its @BlackRock IBIT shares by 19%.
Big shift in institutional Bitcoin ETF exposure!

BTC plunged straight below 70,000 today, trading at 69,326 as of 18:54 after touching a daily low of 67,568. The entire market saw $1.64 billion in liquidations over 24 hours—this weekend is shaping up to be anything but restful. #周末话题

Tonight at 21:30, the U.S. October PPI will be released. The market expects a month-over-month increase of +0.4%, a year-over-year increase of +6.6%, and a core month-over-month increase of +0.3%. September’s month-over-month increase of +1.3% sent inflation expectations soaring, and a December rate hike is now priced in at nearly 90%—tonight’s figure will be

this is really bad.
$16.1B of stablecoins just left crypto in 30 days. the 2nd biggest drop ever. only the luna collapse was worse.
usdt: -$8.6B
usdc: -$3.8B
usd1 (world liberty): -25%
usds (sky): -23%
-$4.8B in the last 7 days alone.
ethereum, where funds and exchanges keep their dollars: -$12.3B (-8.5%)
tron, where people use usdt to pay each other: -$1.2B (-1.3%)
77% of the drop happened on ethereum. the big money left. everyday users mostly stayed.

‍#黄仁勋辞职 #每周来晒 #WCTCS9
NVIDIA has also become “decentralized.” Will its stock keep falling?
Jensen Huang’s departure sent NVIDIA’s stock tumbling, turning the company from a “founder-led company” into a “platform company.” The former can command a 30x PE ratio; the latter is worth only 10 to 12x. The market made that switch in a single day. But what changed was the “premium,” not the “business.”

I. What changed: the thing called the “founder premium”
NVIDIA’s valuation over the past decade has always included something you can’t see in its financial statements, but that everyone buying the s

What Is the Funding Rate, and How Does It Affect Trading?

In crypto futures trading, many people focus only on BTC price movements every day and overlook an important metric: the funding rate.

Sometimes, BTC keeps rising, yet traders who are long have to keep paying funding fees. How does that work?

First, the funding rate is a fee periodically paid between longs and shorts in perpetual futures markets. Its main purpose is to help keep futures prices close to spot prices.

When the funding rate is positive, it usually means the perpetual futures price is relatively high, and longs pay fundi

More and more traders are starting to use AI and quantitative models to predict cryptocurrency market movements. Some models can even assign an 80% probability of prices rising. But there’s an interesting phenomenon: even when trading signals seem highly accurate, many people still end up losing money.

Why is that?

First, a probability forecast is not a guarantee of profit. An 80% probability of prices rising means the model estimates that prices are more likely to rise under certain conditions; it does not mean the next trade is guaranteed to make money.

Second, the market can change at an

U.S. stocks fall, Bitcoin falls.
U.S. stocks rise, Bitcoin falls.
What cardinal sin did Bitcoin commit?
The market’s fallen so hard that no one even wants to talk on X anymore.🤣

$UNI Currently at 5.773, down 6.90% over 24H, with clear short-term weakness. The 1H outlook is weak, with price below the EMA20 at 5.909 and RSI at 31.8. The 4H outlook is even weaker, with an EMA20 of 6.270 and RSI of 13.6, showing a downward confluence across both time frames. The volume ratio is only 0.04x, indicating very low participation. Watch: recovery is only worth discussing if price holds above the 6.197 resistance level; if it breaks below the 5.637 support level and fails to reclaim it, weakness will persist. In the follow-up review, focus on whether price can hold above 6.197 an