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$BTC - Max Fuckery Is In Play
Longs are getting squeezed now, while shorts are piling in on the upside.
This is a bear-trap as long as $BTC stays above $74K.
BTC-1.14%
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How are you positioned going into next week?
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The institutional ownership in $IREN is telling a story.
IREN-9.27%
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It’s time for an in-depth weekend update on $BTC and $ETH.
❤️ this post if you have notis on. ✅👀
BTC-1.13%
ETH-1.83%
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Before you panic sell your $BTC, take a look at what’s happening:
Over the last couple of days, the price has been going down slightly, while the open interest has climbed up.
But things become interesting if we correlate this with Funding Rates, which have flipped negative.
This shows us that bears are DOUBLING DOWN right now and betting on a breakdown.
It also shows that even though the market structure remains intact, bears are shorting as if a breakdown already happened.
That’s generally how bear-traps are formed.
BTC-1.14%
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Right now, there are a tremendous number of good buying opportunities in the market right now.
Because of this, I see very little reason to chase the sectors and stocks that have already had large moves to the upside.
In my view, the better approach is to spread capital across multiple industries that are still trading inside high-timeframe accumulation ranges and are less directly correlated to the S&P 500, such as Chinese equities and more defensive sectors.
I also expect risk assets to perform well in the coming months as liquidity gradually rotates from traditional assets into higher-beta
US50020-1.4%
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$MSTR - I like the market structure here a lot.
The price has bounced from the high-timeframe support range marked in green around $105, which acted as the main bottoming formation throughout 2024.
More importantly, the stock has now broken above the lost high-timeframe support range marked in blue around $170, which served as the key resistance zone during the 2024 consolidation.
Because of this, I believe that as long as the price continues to hold above this range in the coming days and weeks, the most likely outcome remains further upside.
The next key POI I’m tracking is the resistance ra
MSTR-5.23%
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Bitcoin proxies are likely to perform well in the coming months because they offer leveraged exposure to both Bitcoin and broader risk appetite.
These stocks are generally perceived as high-beta investments, which means they tend to outperform when the risk-appetite of investors is elevated.
My view is that, as profits begin to be taken in parts of the S&P 500, a portion of that liquidity will rotate into higher-beta opportunities such as Bitcoin and Bitcoin-linked equities.
Because many of these companies also have strong fundamental growth stories, they can perform exceptionally well during
BTC-1.13%
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$UBER - This is an interesting setup because there are two main scenarios that could play out on the mid-term, both of which would shape the longer-term outlook.
The main POI I’m tracking right now is the support range marked in blue around $72, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
If the price breaks below this support zone, it would open the door for a deeper pullback toward the high-timeframe support range marked in green, which aligns with the 2024 bottoming formation.
On the other hand, if the price manages to break above the lost high-timeframe support range marked in purple arou
UBER0.32%
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$HIMS - I have a particularly interesting story with Hims.
For months, while the stock was trading around much higher levels, I was waiting for a proper entry but never received the bullish confirmation I needed to begin building a position.
That finally changed when the price tested the high-timeframe support range marked in green around $14.
The first major bullish signal came when the stock reclaimed the lost high-timeframe support range marked in blue around $23, which shifted the long-term outlook back to bullish.
Because of this, despite the volatility we may see along the way, I believe
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$UNH - This is one of my favorite setups right now in the healthcare sector.
A few months ago, the price bounced from the high-timeframe support range marked in green around $250, which is where I had been accumulating over the prior year.
Since then, the stock has moved higher and is now consolidating around an important resistance range.
I believe this consolidation is part of a larger re-accumulation phase before a continuation to the upside.
My 12-month target is around $850, which aligns with the high-timeframe resistance zone marked in red and the 1.414 to 1.618 Fibonacci extension level
UNH-3.56%
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I’ve always liked having exposure to healthcare, as I believe it remains one of the best sectors for portfolio diversification.
Beyond the defensive purpose, I also believe there is significant upside potential across a number of healthcare stocks.
In my view, one of the main catalysts for the sector would be a broader rotation within the S&P 500 away from the most crowded areas of the market, like semis or tech, and toward sectors that have spent a long time consolidating.
There are several healthcare stocks I’ve been tracking closely and gradually building positions in, as many of them are s
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$ETH - Over the last two years, the price has been consolidating inside a broad high-timeframe accumulation range, repeatedly finding support around $1.5K.
That is the zone where I’ve consistently added to my position whenever the price retested it.
In my view, the next major move is a durable reversal to the upside. There will likely be volatility along the way, as Ethereum still needs to reclaim several important resistance ranges, but I believe new all-time highs are the most likely outcome.
Because of this, my 12-month target remains around $6K, which would imply roughly 150% upside from c
ETH-1.83%
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LuckyCatCatCatCatCatCat:
CoinMarketCap's Altcoin Season Index rises to 42, up slightly from yesterday. According to NS3, the index tracks whether the top 100 cryptocurrencies (excluding stablecoins and wrapped tokens) have outperformed Bitcoin over the past 90 days.
$BTC - This is the asset most of you know me for.
I expect Bitcoin to perform very well in the coming months, driven by higher risk appetite and a potential rotation of profits from traditional markets into crypto.
There are still several important high-timeframe resistance levels that need to be reclaimed in the coming weeks, but the broader market structure remains very constructive.
Because of this, my 12-month target remains $150K, which aligns with the high-timeframe resistance zone marked in red and the 2.414 to 2.618 Fibonacci extension levels.
BTC-1.13%
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Lions_Lionish:
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The main reason I believe crypto is likely to perform well in the coming months is the ongoing rotation of liquidity from traditional assets into risk assets.
For this environment to persist, markets need stability, and most of that stability comes from monetary policy. Right now, the Fed is not expected to hike or cut rates in the near term, which creates a more predictable macro backdrop.
And when investors have predictability, their risk appetite tends to increase.
That is why I continue to believe that Bitcoin and Ethereum remain attractive relative to many other asset classes.
Personally,
BTC-1.13%
ETH-1.83%
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$GRAB - I really like the market structure here, as price is still trading inside the high-timeframe support range marked in green around $3.7.
This zone previously acted as the main resistance throughout the bear market, which makes the current setup constructive on the mid-term.
The nearest important resistance range is around $5.5, which represents roughly 55% upside from current levels.
If price manages to break above that range and successfully turns it into support, I believe the path opens toward the next major high-timeframe resistance zone marked in red, aligning with the golden pock
GRAB-0.83%
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$BIDU - From a technical perspective, this is no longer such a good buy on the mid-term, as the price is currently testing 4 year resistance range.
However, on the high-timeframes, this remains a re-accumulation zone between the purple range sitting at $150, and the green range sitting at $100 that will eventually break to the upside.
Because of this, I believe that in the coming weeks, this will be a good buying opportunity if the price dips once again in the high-timeframe support range marked in green, which has been a bounce zone for over a decade.
This setup easily has a 3x potential in
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WE ARE LIVING THROUGH THE NEXT AMERICAN DREAM
The Roaring 20s will create a massive gap between those who understand what is happening and those who do not.
Some people will be crushed by inflation and poor decisions.
Others will build generational wealth.
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THE FED JUST ADDED $20 BILLION OF LIQUIDITY
The Fed’s balance sheet expanded by nearly $20 billion this week.
If this marks a reversal, it could be an early signal that liquidity is starting to turn higher again.
And when liquidity rises, risk assets EXPLODE.
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$IREN IS TESTING THE CEILING.
IREN is testing a major level, which is the 0.618 Fibonacci POI that has been a strong reversal spot over the past months.
I’m expecting a short-term period of consolidation here before a breakout toward the next high-timeframe target.
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