🌈 #GateLiveStreamingInspiration - Sep.17
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Today's Topic Recommendations:
🔹The Fed Hikes Rates for the First Time in Three Years! Warsh says “inflation is the problem” as markets price in more hikes ahead. How will U.S. stocks and Crypto trade this new tightening cycle?
🔹BTC Stages a Sharp V-Shaped Rebound! Bitcoin briefly erases its post-hike losses and quickly reclaims $76,000.
🔹KOL View: Jiang Zhuoer Says $75,000 Was the Bottom for BTC This Cycle! With his next target at $80,000–$84,000, how much upside is left in Bitcoin’s rebound?
🔹Arc Ecosystem Cools Off Across the Board! LONG plunges over 70% in nearly 12 hours. Are popular platform tokens and Meme coins still worth playing?
🔹All Three Major U.S. Stock Indexes Close Lower, but SpaceX Jumps 5%! With the rate hike cycle restarting, which U.S. stocks can still break away from the broader market?
🔹Foreign Treasury Holdings Fall to a 9-Month Low! Even yields near 5% are struggling to attract buyers. What’s going on in the U.S. Treasury market?
🔹Warsh Sends a Hawkish Signal! Analysts say his stance could help ease the rise in long-term Treasury yields. Could rate hikes actually cool the bond market?
🔹Less Than 24 Hours After the CLARITY Act Setback, a Crypto Tax Reform Bill Is Moving Forward! Is U.S. Crypto regulation finding a new path to break through?
🔹The Fed Just Hiked, and the Odds of Another 25bp Hike in October Have Already Risen to 49.8%! As expectations for consecutive hikes grow, how long can risk assets hold up?

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9.17$BTC Today's Silk Road
Market outlook: Rose to 76749 before coming under pressure and retreating; 76465 is the short-term bull-bear dividing line. After bottoming and rebounding, it entered a pullback adjustment, with key support at 75543
Entry: Go long once it stabilizes around 75600 on the pullback
Stop loss: 75300
First target: 76200
Second target: 76500
#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点

#GateSquareMidAutumnReunion
#FedAnnounceRateDecisionSoon
The FOMC rate decision is due at 2:00 PM ET, followed by the Summary of Economic Projections and Chair Warsh's press conference at 2:30 PM ET. Markets are pricing an 87%-95% probability of a 25 basis point hike, which would lift the federal funds target range to 3.75%-4.00% — the first increase since July 2023. With the hike almost fully priced in, the real variable is the dot plot. A median rate projection of 4.375% or higher would signal additional hikes. A median at 4.125% or below would read as a one-and-done tightening.
Clarity Act Fails in Senate
Yesterday, the Senate voted 49-50 against advancing the Clarity Act, falling short of the 60 votes needed to proceed. The bill would have established a comprehensive federal framework for digital assets. Key negotiators cited ethics concerns related to President Trump's crypto holdings as a primary reason for opposition.
Reactions from the industry were direct. Michael Saylor stated, "The only clarity that is needed is Bitcoin." Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said, "This one stings. A post mortem needs to be done on why this failed." White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt called the vote a "major disappointment" and warned the outcome increases the risk that global financial standards will be set by Brussels or Beijing rather than Washington and New York. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong expressed disappointment and expects the SEC and CFTC to take steps to clarify crypto regulations.
BTC Price Action
BTC fell from around $77,800 to as low as $74,902 following the vote, a drop of roughly 3.7%. Nearly $300 million in bullish bets were liquidated in the hour before the vote, accelerating the flush-out of leveraged long positions. Coinbase stock fell 10%, and Circle dropped 11%.
On the 4-hour chart, BTC is trading near $75,514. The price is below the MA5 at $75,756, MA10 at $76,484, and MA30 at $77,108. MACD is at -206.4, with DIF at -507.1 and DEA at -300.6, indicating negative momentum. OBV is at -83.1K.
Key Levels to Watch
The $76,000 level, which previously acted as support, has now flipped into resistance. The immediate support is the 24-hour low at $74,900. If that level fails, the next area to watch is the $73,000–$74,000 zone. On the upside, BTC needs to reclaim $76,000 to ease immediate selling pressure, with the next resistance around $78,000–$79,000.
What to Watch
The dot plot and Warsh's tone at the press conference will determine whether the market reads this as a single hike or the start of a broader tightening cycle. A hawkish dot plot alongside the Clarity Act failure would leave risk assets facing pressure from both regulatory uncertainty and higher-for-longer rate expectations. The immediate focus is whether BTC can hold above $74,900; a break below that level would open the door for further downside.
$BTC ‌