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Mainstream prediction market expectation: The CLARITY Act is unlikely to secure broad support in the Senate.
Even for the relatively lowest threshold of more than 55 votes, the probability is only 10%; for the key thresholds of 60 and 64 votes, the market assigns probabilities of around 10% as well.
Market pricing reflects the view that the bill has a very low chance of receiving broad Senate support and faces considerable obstacles to advancing.
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After $ARB surged to 0.22346, I instead took 70% off first. It’s not that I’m bearish; this level is right at a key prior-high resistance, making further chasing less attractive. The move up from 0.13354 has formed a breakout–pullback–breakout structure, with each pullback holding at a higher key level, while volume expanded on the breakouts.
The key levels are clear now: the prior high is the first key level. After the breakout, a low-volume pullback that holds the upper boundary would establish a new entry setup; if it simply surges above and then falls back, it could be a false breakout. I’
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ARB+37.78%
SOL+5.10%
SNDK+5.69%
Exchange inflow/outflow data for secondary-market speculative tokens over the past 3/7/30 days
LSK is still continuously unloading tokens onto exchanges, having sent $10 million to exchanges over the past 7 days
LSK-10.93%
Brother Tong's 9.18 ETH outlook
Enter short around $ETH 2460-2490, stop-loss at 2510, first target 2430, second target 2400.
Current price: 2456. Yesterday, ETH was clearly stronger than BTC, reaching as high as 2484. After pulling back, it did not immediately break through, showing that buyers are still waiting below. But strong as it is, the resistance above 2480 has not truly been cleared.
Wait for a rebound to 2460-2490 and see whether it can hold after breaking upward. If it fails to break through, re-enter the short; if it genuinely holds above 2510 with increased volume, reassess the sh
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ETH+1.99%
Watching the market nonstop gets annoying; turning it off actually makes things clearer. When my eyes aren’t glued to it, my heart doesn’t panic either.
Right after lunch, while I was checking the market, $ETH started reacting. Funds quietly entered the market, and price consolidated at the bottom. I suggested following with a small long position and exiting after a breakdown.
Being out of a position isn’t a sin; opening positions recklessly is the mistake.
From 1883.20 to 2468.93, floating profit +5409.2%. Those who got the rhythm right should be waking up laughing. Bank most of the gains fi
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ETH+1.99%
DOGE+4.23%
ZEC+10.63%
9.18 BTC lightly shorted around 77000, targeting 76000/75000.
Those looking to go long can lightly long around 75200, with defense at 74500 and targets of 76000/77000.
BTC dropped from 80536 all the way to 74909 on the 1H chart and is currently rebounding around 76720. 77000-77500 remains resistance, and before it firmly breaks above that range, I still expect a pullback.
A hawkish Fed + the BoJ decision + conflict breaking out in the Middle East—the news today is more intense than the last, and another accelerated move could come at any time.
After 9 years of trading, what really matters isn'
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BTC+1.34%
BTC UPDATES
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LIVE1,067
The market broadly underwent a high-level consolidation and adjustment this week.
During the period, two separate news developments affected the short-term trend, so from the candlestick perspective, the market broke upward twice in succession, but neither move ultimately formed a sustained continuation.
After the rate hike news was announced yesterday, the market found support as a 4H low signal appeared. However, after a day of rebound, BTC still failed to reclaim 7.7, so for now this can only be viewed as a rebound, and it is not yet possible to confirm that a reversal has been complete
BTC+1.34%
DASH+3.29%
ZEC+10.58%
HYPE+9.54%
UNI+27.91%
$ZEC ‌ ‌Zcash Surpasses $1,500: Privacy Rally Reaches New Peak
Zcash (ZEC) reached a new all-time high of $1,521 on the morning of September 18, 2026. Gaining 10.25% in the last 24 hours, the asset has shown an increase of over 2,900% year-to-date. This rise indicates growing interest in privacy-focused cryptocurrencies.
NU7 Governance Vote
The Zcash community overwhelmingly approved the NU7 scope, the network's next major upgrade. With approximately 2.4 million ZEC participating, the reduction of block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds received 99.9% support. Furthermore, 99.3% of participa
ZEC+10.58%
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The CPU sector erupts across the board! Intel rises 10 and AMD gains over 7—can chip stocks continue
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LIVE1,564
9/18/BTC‖Crown Prince's view‖
After a dip early in the morning, the price bottomed out and rebounded, returning above the Bollinger middle band. Support below held, and the short-term trend has shifted from weak to range-bound with a stronger bias. However, major resistance remains overhead, making this a rebound and recovery move.
Key levels
- Downside support: around 7.63, an important defensive level in this move. As long as it does not break, the rebound structure remains intact
​- Upside resistance: 76920‑77167, the upper band + previous high; this is today's key threshold
Without furthe
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BTC+1.35%
#BOJHikesTo1.25%31YearHigh
I have been watching the BOJ setup closely because this is one of those macro events where the headline number may look simple, but the reaction underneath it can be much bigger.
The Bank of Japan is expected to raise its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% today, September 18, 2026. If delivered as expected, it would take Japanese rates to their highest level since 1995, roughly 31 years ago. More importantly, this would be another 25 basis-point move only three months after the previous hike in June. That makes the pace of tightening much faster than the BOJ’s earlier
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#ZECKeepsRisingBreaking1500
Honestly, ZEC is becoming difficult to ignore.
I have been watching this move for weeks, and what started as a strong privacy-coin rotation has now turned into something much bigger. Zcash briefly broke above $1,500 on September 17, setting another all-time high. The latest verified daily data shows ZEC reaching $1,506.51 before closing around $1,476.56, with a roughly 10.5% gain on the day. That came after an even stronger 20.4% jump on September 16.
What makes this move interesting is not just the new ATH.
ZEC is now moving while the broader market is still deali
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ZEC+10.63%
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Arc mainnet surpassed one million addresses two days after launch
However, after the team showed their faces, it turned out they were all Indian men, sparking panic in the community
Arc DEX trading volume also fell from over $410 million on the first day to $130 million
Daily network fees fell from approximately $280k on the first day to approximately $50k
Data:
ARC-4.70%
$DOGE 9 September 18: September 18 Incident Memorial Day
The September 18 Incident (also known as the Mukden Incident) occurred on September 18, 1931. - Event: The Japanese Kwantung Army deliberately provoked an incident, launched a surprise attack on Beidaying, a station of the Chinese Northeast Army, and then quickly occupied Shenyang, subsequently seizing large swathes of northeastern China. ​- Significance: This marked the beginning of Japanese imperialist aggression against China and the starting point of the Chinese nation's fourteen-year arduous War of Resistance. ​- Today: Every Septem
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9.18 BTC Analysis
On the one-hour BTC timeframe, after rapidly dipping to establish a low at 74887, BTC staged a technical rebound. The current price is consolidating around the Bollinger middle band, while the Bollinger Bands continue to narrow and volatility remains compressed, forming a typical bearish continuation consolidation pattern. Buying pressure in the order book has a slight edge, but no incremental capital has entered the market, with only existing funds competing, so the rebound’s sustainability is questionable. Combined with potential negative pressure from external policy event
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BTC+1.34%
The reason I like $HYPE is not only that the project itself is high quality, but also that it has ushered in genuine value investing in Web3
What were Web3 projects like before? Blockchain games, Web3 social platforms, decentralized AI, and all sorts of bizarre things that nobody actually used. After fabricating a pile of fake data, they would list on exchanges and then dump on retail investors—just tools for market makers to fleece retail
Web3 projects now have clear applications and revenue, which is used to buy back tokens. Project teams want to make money? No problem—as long as they build
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HYPE+9.64%
Members-Only Subscription|Long-Position Setup Strategy

【Members-Only Strategy】
Core Assessment: As long as the market holds the 2330 support level, the bullish outlook remains unchanged.
Setup Principle: Enter at precise levels, uphold the trading principle of being bold yet meticulous, and maintain a stable trading mindset.
Practical Framework: Execute using the fourth set of trading techniques, seize this round of market movement, and strive to capture the gains from this market wave.
Trading Reminder: Strictly follow trading discipline and manage position sizes properly.
The market is currently calm overall, stuck in range-bound trading. The rebound from the lows has temporarily stalled, with neither bulls nor bears gaining momentum, and no new direction has emerged. This recovery is still defined as a corrective rebound after the decline, not yet a reversal. After all, it’s Friday—respect the market!
At this stage, don’t rush to enter during the range-bound consolidation. Try to wait until price approaches the edge of the range before taking action; for the rebound, look directly for shorts.
Operations
Short near 77000 on the rebound, with the first target at
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BTC+1.34%
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