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DannyMarque

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I don't own shares of $OPEN (yet) but I can't lie that it's really interesting to see it "lose" the support its held since February and dip right into a massive institutional order block
Buying on the perceived weakness as the market thinks a rate hike is on the horizon makes me think that this is a good contrarian idea
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The market and its "economists" are currently pricing in a >50% chance of a 25bps rate hike at the September FOMC meeting. Don't let them fool you.
US 10yr is currently in a distribution type pattern at a 24 year resistance with overlapping price action since 2022.
Anyone thinking US is going to hike rates when the country is in the middle of its largest infrastructure rebuild in history to be the world's leading country in AI has 0 idea what they're talking about
As long as bond yields remain slightly elevated and strait of hormuz issue isn't resolved, higher for longer should be your exp
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I've been tracking the $MARA / bitcoin:native pair for a while. It's one of the most telling charts in the market.
The pair spent 5 years in a falling wedge pattern and reversed and found a bottom at origin of the first impulse back in 2020....
These breakouts take time as they can match the duration of the patterns that preceded it.
What does this mean? Well from what the pattern suggests, MARA could outperform Bitcoin by a factor of 6x between now and 2030
MARA-4.34%
BTC-1.02%
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Tesla $TSLA has been in an accumulation triangle for 5 years. In that time, price has seen massive fluctuations from $400s back to $100s back to . This is the nature of a consolidation and this stock.
It's actually very difficult, almost improbable, for a move like today to "break" the structure of a multi-year pattern unless there is a massive bear case that we are not seeing
In those 5 years, they've engineered one of the most sophisticated real-world hardware applications of AI with FSD and robotaxis. The market is not yet giving them any credit for their buildout in robotics with Optimus.
TSLA-3.45%
MU-7.92%
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Tesla $TSLA
Things look scary since price will open today right at this 4 year trendline. Closing the week and month below it opens the door for a bit more downside to sweep the lows from April 2025. This wouldn't be a bad thing at all it would give the stock much more energy and a stronger base for higher prices long-term
TSLA-3.45%
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$NUAI with alot of volume again now +70% in less than a week since Friday.
Wouldn't be surprised that it's caught the eye of a few momentum focused HFs . That said, price rejected right at resistance where you'd expect. For continuation I'd expect a weekly close and breakout above the trendline.
Keep in mind it did leave a large gap at $4.20 and in this market and in last few months all high beta names have filled their gaps
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One of the easiest ways to identify and underwrite quality public AI infrastructure stocks is to look at:
1) Management team's track record
2) Have they operated in this space longer than the duration of how long market has spent understanding this emerging asset class
3) Do they have a history of checking ego at the door, knowing they're not the smartest in the room, and assembling world-class teams
4) Have they executed large-scale commercial deals with strategic financing partners
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$NUAI now +57% since the low on Friday and with very impressive volume relative to peers in the AI infrastructure space like $IREN $CLSK $APLD
$86M in liquidity traded today, +14% of its entire market cap and more than 2x the average of its peer group. Incredible
For context,
$MARA 23%
$IREN 12.4%
$APLD 7%
$WULF 5.5%
IREN-7.36%
CLSK-6.05%
APLD-9.35%
MARA-4.34%
WULF-6.45%
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Archer Aviation $ACHR yesterday had a strong reversal exactly where it needed to happen. It briefly lost the trendline and recovered so could've been a deviation. Have overlayed the fractals from prior bottoms as an example
Partnership with Anduril is great but it's a company in a sector that needs loosening of current restrictive financial conditions
ACHR-4.79%
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Digital energy infrastructure on a tear today with the broader sector up ~9% and led by $NUAI $SLNH $IREN
SLNH-4.52%
IREN-7.36%
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Why you wouldn't buy Bitcoin bitcoin:native here ensuring you have a position when a 3-4x between now and 2029 is staring at you in the face is beyond me
But sure keep waiting for the consensus October pullback
BTC-1.02%
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Did you buy stocks today or was the fear too much for you this week as companies crashed back into support
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Meta $META has structurally shown a lot of strength during the market-wide AI correction of the last few weeks, which is a great sign
Since 2024, it's formed a series of higher lows within a triangle compression pattern. During its recent selloff it wasn't even able to pullback to the 50 EMA at $506 (notice how in 2019 and 2020 they were buyable pullbacks)
To remove any mid-term doubt that it can break the triangle to the downside, price should break past the current resistance, or the 1.414 at $696
Strength indicators are bottoming too. Looks good
META-1.03%
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You will look back on this week and say wow i can’t believe i didn’t buy more AI infrastructure / data center developer stocks
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If I were looking to invest in the data center and power development space today, I would not be screening for the companies with the largest MW pipelines. I’d look for the platforms that appear cheapest relative to the quality and probability of commercialization
That means looking for developers with several layers of de-risking already in place
- credible management with experience delivering large infrastructure projects
- proven operating and development partners
- control of power in energy-rich regions
- realistic interconnection and permitting timelines
- access to fiber
- a financing
HIVE-6.57%
DGXX-6.92%
IREN-7.36%
CIFR-8.56%
GLXY-5.87%
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If I were looking to invest in the data center and power development space today, I would not be screening for the companies with the largest MW pipelines. I’d look for the platforms that appear cheapest relative to the quality and probability of commercialization
That means looking for developers with several layers of de-risking already in place
- credible management with experience delivering large infrastructure projects
- proven operating and development partners
- control of power in energy-rich regions
- realistic interconnection and permitting timelines
- access to fiber
- a financing
HIVE-6.57%
DGXX-6.92%
IREN-7.36%
CIFR-8.56%
GLXY-5.87%
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Anchored VWAP on $IREN since IPO sits at $31.98
The low $30s have served as support for 8 months so I'd expect a reaction around this area again. But, as I've said before this chopsolidation is normal price action to frustrate late investors who thought this was going to $100 in a short timeframe. If you missed out on the 10x from 2025 that's fine, but the market needs time to digest that move. It rarely if ever replays and gives you another opportunity to see that asymmetry
Market doesn't care about what price you bought at. You have to ask yourself is the business better or worse off today
IREN-7.36%
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$HOOD - Robinhood
Make no mistake this is a $200+ stock and a company to hold in a long-term portfolio. That said, here's my assessment:
At $60-70 it was an obvious buy for long-term and if you were in it for a swing, it's been a great trade now up +70%. -We have price doing what appears to be a bearish backtest of the ichimoku cloud while strength indicators topping again on weekly, and price attempting to hold above the diagonal resistance. The red box is to illustrate that if price fails to break past these levels then the path I've outlined becomes more realistic. It could make an equal
HOOD-6.85%
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I've been buying $100 of Bitcoin bitcoin:native every day since the October crash with much larger purchases on meaningful pullbacks and recently begun scaling into Solana solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112, $300-500 here and there every other week
The SOL/BTC pair has been the tell to favor Solana in short-term and if ever crypto spirits come alive again (they will) it has much more upside.
I care about making money not what the chain does.
In short-term I expect at least +40% outperformance vs BTC. FYI - my BTC outweighs SOL by factor of more than 10x
BTC-1.02%
SOL-2.32%
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