At 11:30 a.m. Beijing time on October 16, Warsh held a fireside chat with Georgieva at the IMF Annual Meetings in Bangkok. This was the last public statement before the October 27-28 policy meeting quiet period. From today until the FOMC meeting, Fed officials will all remain silent—the market can only use “today’s speech” to price in October over the next two weeks.
My three adjustments:
First, reduce exposure to the October meeting. The market’s implied probability of an October rate hike has fallen from nearly 40% after the CPI release to below 15%. Rather than bet on the outcome, it’s bett

A gambler is going long on $BTC and $ETH with maximum leverage, holding a total position of $186.7M!
Positions:
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Liq. price: $80,637.87
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Liq. price: $2,406.08

If I could leave just one note for $TAO today, it would be: Don’t let +10.32% make the decision for you.
What’s really worth discussing is that after $TAO’s sharp 24-hour surge, momentum and continuation aren’t the same thing. $TAO is currently at 285.4, up +10.32% over 24 hours. The 1-hour support is 256.4, resistance is 289, and current volume is 1.06 times the average volume of nearly 20 recent candles.
The 1-hour trend is leaning bullish, with RSI at 74; the 4-hour trend is leaning bullish, with RSI at 56. This combination makes me provisionally accept this interpretation: I won’t extrapo

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🎙️🏦 Warsh’s IMF Speech Puts Financial Markets in Focus! 🌍📊
Global investors are watching closely as Kevin Warsh’s remarks at the IMF draw attention to monetary policy, inflation, and the future direction of the US economy. 🇺🇸💹
His views on interest rates, economic growth, and financial stability could shape market expectations as traders assess the outlook for stocks, bonds, the US dollar, and cryptocurrencies. 💵📈₿
With central bank policy remaining a major market driver, every key statement matters. Investors will be looking for fresh signals about what lies ahead for the global econ

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#BitcoinTops$82K
LETS BREAKDOWN THE $BTC ‌
1. Chart Analysis
Timeframes
· Higher timeframe (4H): Recovering from a sharp drop to 79,795. Currently forming a potential reversal structure after a strong green impulse candle. Price is testing the 30-period MA (82,803) as resistance.
· Mid timeframe (1H): Consolidating in a tight range between 82,000 and 82,630. Price is currently holding above the 30-period MA (81,722) and the 5/10 MAs are flattening, indicating a pause in volatility.
· Lower timeframe (15M): Showing a localized uptrend (higher lows from 81,692). Recently broke above the 82,200

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🚀 BTC REBOUNDS, NEAR SURGES NEARLY 10%! IS IT TIME TO BUY THE DIP?
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On October 16, Multiliquid, a tokenized asset settlement platform developed by Uniform Labs, raised a total of $8 million across Pre-Seed and Seed rounds. The latest Seed round was led by Polychain, with participation from Strobe Ventures, CMT Digital, Metalayer Ventures, Generative Ventures, and Circle Ventures. The amounts raised and valuations for each round were not disclosed. Multiliquid now operates on Ethereum and Solana, enabling institutions to execute two-way swaps between tokenized assets and stablecoins at net asset value in a single atomic transaction with simultaneous settlement.

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First, a word on behalf of those bullish on $CRCLB , then one for the bears.
Bulls need to prove there are buyers above 87.75; bears need to prove no one steps in after 75 breaks. $CRCLB is currently at 85.33, up 11.28% over 24 hours. Hourly support is 75, resistance is 87.75, and current volume is 0.03 times the average of the last 20 bars.
Until both sides have presented all their evidence, I’m more focused on the fact that after $CRCLB’s sharp 24-hour rally, momentum and continued gains aren’t the same thing. I won’t extrapolate the big move that has already happened into the next leg; firs

$STRK Just blindly go short and that's it.

#NEAR大涨近10% For now, this looks more like NEAR leading a localized rotation of capital, not yet a full-scale return to altcoins.
Broad market support is crucial: Bitcoin is still fluctuating around $82,000, while spot buying remains weak. Overall altcoin liquidity continues to weaken, with more than 80% still below the 200-day moving average.
NEAR itself is highly volatile: it is currently around $5.24, up 11.19% in 24 hours, but its intraday low was ¥30.42 and its high was ¥36.27, indicating that demand from buyers chasing the rally is unstable.
The gains are concentrated in coins with cataly

$ICNT Up 26% in 24 hours, but the real signal isn't in the candlestick chart—it's in last night's Fed minutes.
The minutes were hawkish, and the dot plot showed expected rate cuts this year falling from 3 to 1. Based on data from the past six months, BTC has a 30-day correlation of 0.72 with the Nasdaq and a negative correlation of -0.65 with the dollar index. That works out to an average 4-6% drawdown in total crypto market cap for every 25 bp fewer in Fed rate cuts. In other words, this $ICNT rally is pushing uphill against the macro tide.
A rally against the tide has only two possible outco

MSX Completes Dividend Distribution for Five U.S. Equity Tokens, Including LRCX and SUI, on October 14-16
MSX has completed the dividend distribution for five U.S. equity tokens, including LRCX and SUI, between October 14 and 16, 2026, according to an announcement from the platform. The distribution of dividends for tokenized equities represents a significant development in the tokenization of traditional financial assets, as it demonstrates that blockchain-based tokens can replicate the economic rights of traditional shares, including dividend payments. SUI gained 1.51%, while OXY fell 0.61%,

#USSeptemberPPIBeatsExpectations
#每周来晒
‍#USSeptemberPPIDataRelease
‍#美国9月PPI大超预期
Producer prices just posted their biggest monthly jump since March 2022, and the market’s first reaction was a shrug. That mismatch is the story, so here’s how I’m reading it.
1. The print
PPI rose 1.3% m/m against roughly 0.5–0.6% expected, and 6.3% y/y against about 5.3% (surveys varied), the highest annual rate since December 2022. Core was 0.7% m/m (0.3% expected) and 5.0% y/y (4.4% expected). Producer gasoline jumped 20.3% and energy 10.8%, but core wasn’t a gasoline story. My math: 1.3% annualizes to r