$XAUT First target reached!

It hit just below my trendline. With bets on a rate hike, I didn’t dare enter.

Bitcoin Is Starting to Trade More Like Gold?
An interesting shift is showing up in the market.
Grayscale’s Zach Pandl recently pointed to Bitcoin’s rising correlation with gold, while its relationship with stocks has weakened.
The bigger idea is the so-called debasement trade where investors pay more attention to assets that may be viewed as scarce when concerns around currencies, debt and purchasing power increase.
But correlation is not a permanent relationship.
BTC, ETH and other digital assets can still behave very differently depending on liquidity, sentiment and market conditions.
For me

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#HYPEContinuesToHitAll-TimeHighs
HYPE $82 ATH + $1.2B Unlock: Why Absorption Capacity Matters More Than Deflation Narrative for Post-Unlock Survival
HYPE hit new highs (+220% YTD) driven by buyback-and-burn deflation. But a ~$1.2B token unlock looms on Aug 29. The real edge isn’t betting on burn vs. dump—it’s validating whether market liquidity can absorb the supply shock without breaking structure. Here’s my topology framework. 👇
🔍 Why Absorption Topology Determines Post-Unlock Reality (Not Just Hype)
• Unlock Size vs. Daily Volume Ratio Signals Shock Magnitude: $1.2B unlock represents X d

“Late-Night Hawk Alert! Fed Chair: Rate Hikes Still Possible”
📊8.28 Friday late night
Warsh’s debut at the annual meeting tonight came with three bombshell lines:
Inflation has not been brought under control, the top priority is prices, and another rate hike has not been ruled out.
The rate-cut dream is shattered, and the market is turning:
🟠Bitcoin 79,270, -1.2%. 78,000 is the lifeline; break it and watch for 76,000.
🔵Ethereum 2,504, clinging to 2,500, with 2,470 as the floor.
🟣SOL 106.5, giving back 2.3%; 104 is support, 100 the floor.
🟡Gold 4,565, -0.7%. 4,550 cannot break.
But semicon

True to Black Friday, the market is a complete mess again!
Although it broke through our defense a little, entering a short still offered nearly 99 points of profit!

warsh literally said nothing about markets yet but bitcoin is already dead

🔥@Friday Night Free Strategy Levels👇
🔥@Long Entry Levels (second entry levels, short entry levels, and take-profit levels can be found in the pinned subscription post; both long- and short-term spot setups are also in the pinned post)@E3@
===========
77800 long, 77500 long, Sun 76100
2485 long, 2465 long, stop 2420
#BTC重返81000美元

#WarshJacksonHolePreviewMarketsFocusOnRates
All eyes are turning toward Jackson Hole as Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh prepares to deliver his first major speech at the annual economic symposium, and markets are waiting for one thing above all else: clarity on the future path of U.S. interest rates.
Warsh's speech arrives at a critical moment for financial markets.
Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, Treasury yields have been elevated, and investors are trying to understand how the Fed will balance persistent price pressures against economic growth and financial-market

➥ 𝗦𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸-𝗽𝗮𝗶𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗺𝗲𝗺𝗲𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝗷𝘂𝘀𝘁 𝗽𝘂𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗻𝗲𝘄 𝗱𝗼𝗴 𝗼𝗻 𝗮 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁.
I'm using $AI as a case study here!
The structure is different.
Instead of pairing against $ETH or a stablecoin, the meme trades against a tokenized stock like $NVDA, $GME, or $TSLA.
So your dollar return is effectively driven by two things:
→ meme performance vs. the stock
→ the stock’s own move
You’re long the meme, while also getting exposure to the equity narrative underneath it.
That creates dynamics normal memecoins don’t have.
When the meme is

I only took one look at the chart, and it started performing—an Oscar-level performance. While everyone was still waiting and watching, I was wondering why this rebound was so weak. The rebound lacked strength; no one was catching it on the way up, and it was grinding around without going anywhere, clearly just selling the bulls false hope.

I decisively opened a short in the morning at 0.01052, and now it’s at 0.00708, +1570.16%. Feels great, brothers—I'm not feeling guilty at all about eating this chunk of meat.

Managing the position is simple too: close 70% first, and move the stop-loss

Brothers, today we’ll break down this textbook-grade trend at $SCRT .
On the 4-hour chart, SCRTUSDT completed a top formation around 0.02057. As the bearish momentum bars continued expanding, the fast and slow lines formed a death-cross resonance at high levels, with the trend structure weakening completely—this was a clear right-side entry signal.
We decisively opened a short position at 0.02057 after the death cross was confirmed, accurately catching the start of the plunge. The price has now fallen to 0.01220, perfectly reaching the first take-profit level.
$Lobster
With a precise 25x leve

This return has me feeling both thrilled and uneasy, worried that the market will come to its senses tomorrow and blacklist me. 😅
With the entire screen glowing green, $ETH actually held firm after retesting 2462.94. I immediately felt that something was off—clearly, someone was deliberately absorbing the selling. While everyone else was running, I instead wanted to make a move: open a long position and bet on a rebound. If it broke down, I’d exit without hesitation.
The price has now reached 2512, working out to +337.16%. With real money secured in hand, I can finally breathe easier. This mo

Combining #Bitcoin’s halving cycle, mature-cycle symmetry, Elliott Wave structure and macro/liquidity timing gives us the best possible forecasting framework, in my opinion.
Best timing estimates:
As shown in my pinned post, #BTC and #ALTs are highly correlated, so I am using Bitcoin as the primary timing proxy, though there may be a lag as ALTs outperform at the peak.
🔻 Next major Bitcoin low: late September to mid-November 2026
🔺 Next major all-time high: late September to late October 2029
These are probability-based timing windows and not precise predictions so they will be refined as th

🟢 $CHIP LONG
🎯 Entry: 0.04678 – 0.04692
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.04310
🎯 TP: 0.04834 - 0.05247 - 0.05509

Do you want to add to your SOL position at $104?
First, look at the surface: it surged and pulled back, and retail investors are starting to panic.
Yesterday it touched 110.6, then today it was slammed straight back to 105, forming a long upper wick on the daily chart. SOL rose from 70 to 110 in August, gaining 43%, with almost no meaningful pullback along the way. The candlesticks tell you this: RSI hit 80+ yesterday, seriously overbought, so today’s retracement was inevitable. Profit-taking is happening, but the trend is not broken.
First point: Can’t it break through 110? Look at how it got

Gold 1h
The champagne bottle was only halfway opened—a false breakout
A short video of a sleeping mat played through my mind
I'm already numb