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ybaser

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Active for: 4.9y
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Market Analyst
The rule in cryptocurrencies is to research and analyze. In cryptocurrencies, those who are patient always win; those who are impatient always lose. I'm researching and sharing current market data for
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#中秋交易分享 + #Gate广场中秋团圆局
For me, the Mid-Autumn Festival is not just an occasion to share my portfolio, but also a great opportunity to review my recent trades and look ahead to future market scenarios.
One of the assets I have been tracking recently is SUI. I opened a long position on SUI at the $1.0046 level using 10x leverage.
My trading thesis is based on the idea that SUI could gather momentum in the $1.00 region and go on to test higher resistance levels.
Trade Summary
* Asset: SUI
* Position: Long
* Entry: $1.0046
* Leverage: 10x
* Reference price: $1.1354
* Price change since entry: ap
SUI-1.92%
DEEP+3.02%
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#GateMemeCarnival #SHIB
If we evaluate my previous outlook based on the September 30th close and the levels identified at that time, the result is quite clear: the main thesis was largely validated, though the upward breakout did not occur. SHIB currently remains in a decision zone.
1. What was my previous view?
The core thesis of that assessment was as follows:
* $0.000006–$0.0000061: main resistance / breakout zone
* Sustained trading above $0.0000061: potential for $0.0000067, or $0.0000072 with stronger momentum
* $0.0000055–$0.0000056: critical support
* Below $0.0000055: risk of a retre
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ybaser
#GateMemeCarnival #SHIB
SHIB failed to surpass the $0.000006 threshold despite its September recovery
Shiba Inu failed to break past the $0.000006 mark despite a recovery at the end of September.
$SHIB rose from levels below $0.000005 seen earlier in the month but remained below $0.0000061.
The burn rate dropped by more than 91%, yet the price remained relatively flat.
Dropping below $0.0000055 could undermine the September recovery.
As of September 30, Shiba Inu was trading around $0.00000576, having risen as high as $0.00000591 the previous day. Although the token—which dipped below $0.000005 at the start of the month—showed a notable recovery in recent weeks, it failed to establish itself above the $0.000006 level.
A critical zone for further gains
In the short-term outlook, the key threshold lies in the $0.000006 to $0.0000061 range. SHIB tested this zone several times over the past week but could not achieve a sustained breakout. Consequently, surpassing this range remains crucial for buyers to regain momentum.
The technical outlook suggests that if the $0.0000061 level is reclaimed, the price could head toward $0.0000067. Under stronger market sentiment, the $0.0000072 level could also come into play. However, at this stage, SHIB remains trapped just below this band.
The price held steady despite the sharp drop in the burn rate.
SHIB’s burn rate recently fell by more than 91%. Yet, the fact that the price remained relatively stable demonstrated that the narrative centered on supply reduction is not the sole determinant in the short term. Shiba Inu is known as a meme coin developed on the Ethereum network that stands out due to its broad investor base.
The sharp decline in the daily burn volume coincided with a period when the price was pulling back from the resistance zone. This scenario suggests that, while burn data attracts attention, factors such as liquidity conditions, demand for meme coins, and market structure can play a more significant role in short-term price movements.
The slowdown in the burn rate did not trigger a significant price collapse; liquidity and risk appetite remained the dominant forces driving short-term movements.
Key Scenarios
In a bullish scenario, SHIB needs to first hold above the $0.0000055–$0.0000056 range and then reclaim the $0.0000061 level. If this condition is met, $0.0000067 emerges as the next logical target.
In a more balanced scenario, the price could be expected to continue fluctuating within the $0.0000055–$0.0000061 range. This outlook indicates a lack of clear market direction.
The bearish scenario begins with a drop below the $0.0000055 level. In such a case, the $0.0000051–$0.0000052 band could come back into play, potentially erasing a significant portion of the gains seen during the September recovery.
‍$SHIB
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SHIB+0.03%
DOGE-0.42%
SPCX+6.27%
NVDA+1.45%
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#Share My Holding Returns#
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#ShareWeekly #HowToPositionForAPullback
‍#ETH
When I carry my previous ETH assessment—based on the outlook around September 30—forward to the present, the result resembles the SHIB analysis but with a key difference: the base scenario for ETH remains intact, yet the breakout above $2,800 has not yet been confirmed. New data points to a picture regarding ETFs that is strong but more volatile.
1. What was the essence of my previous view?
My previous analytical framework rested on three levels:
* $2,800: Main resistance
* $3,000–$3,050: The subsequent zone if the price sustains itself above $2
ybaser
‍‍#ShareWeekly #HowToPositionForAPullback
‍#ETH
Ethereum Could Head Toward the $3,000 Level If It Breaks the $2,800 Resistance
The $2,800 level stands out as a critical short-term resistance point for Ethereum ($ETH ).
US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of $287.5 million over the five trading days ending September 29.
If the price holds above $2,800, market focus could shift to the $3,000–$3,050 range.
Losing the $2,600 zone, accompanied by waning risk appetite, could increase selling pressure.
Ethereum experienced one of its strongest periods in recent years, gaining approximately 60% in value during the third quarter. According to market data, this performance ranks among ETH's notable quarterly gains. However, the inability to sustain a position above $2,800 remains the most critical factor in the short-term outlook.
Institutional interest is also cited as a factor supporting the price of Ethereum. Spot Ethereum ETFs trading on US exchanges recorded total net inflows of $287.5 million during the five trading days ending September 29. The total assets held by these funds reached approximately 5.91 million ETH, with a monetary value of $24.17 billion.
The net inflow of approximately $87 million observed on September 25 alone signaled a resurgence in demand following the sharp outflows seen earlier in the month. This chart demonstrates that institutional interest in Ethereum has not waned and that the ETF channel continues to serve as a significant source of price support.
The $2,800 level stands out.
Although Ethereum recently climbed above $2,800, it failed to sustain that level and subsequently pulled back. Consequently, the $2,800 mark has become the resistance level most closely watched by the market in the short term. If buyers can decisively break through this threshold, the $3,000–$3,050 range is viewed as the likely next major target.
At times when technical levels become critically important, it is increasingly vital for investors to monitor data flows and price movements simultaneously.
Three scenarios for the fourth quarter
In the bullish scenario, Ethereum is expected to first hold above the $2,650 level and subsequently surpass the $2,800 resistance level. If this structure holds, the price could gain momentum toward the $3,000 region.
A more balanced scenario envisions Ethereum trading within the $2,600 to $2,800 range. Such a trajectory could provide a period of consolidation and accumulation for the market following a strong third quarter.
In the bearish scenario, losing the $2,600 level is viewed as a critical risk. Should broader risk markets weaken, this breakdown could intensify selling pressure and render the short-term outlook more fragile.
‍$ETH
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ETH-0.85%
BTC-0.23%
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My Gate 2025 Year-End Summary is here! See how I performed this year.
Click the link to view your exclusive #2025GateYearEndSummary and claim a 20 USDT Position Voucher. https://www.gate.com/competition/your-year-in-review-2025?ref=UFRFAQ0M&ref_type=126&shareUid=UFdDUFpaBgO0O0OO0O0O
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#Share My Holding Returns#
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#BrentTops$106USTalksStall
The crude oil market is currently testing a zone of structural transition. Despite the temporary relief provided by the resumption of physical crude oil flows via Persian Gulf pipelines, a significant risk premium persists due to a severe supply crunch in refined products—driven by export halts in Asia and low distillate inventories.
Brent ($102.28) and WTI ($92.68) oil prices are hovering just below critical technical levels ($106 for Brent and $95 for WTI).
Technical Level Matrix
Brent Crude Oil $101.24 $103.61 – $106.00 $107.00 – $109.00 ($110.00 psychological) $9
XTIUSD-1.78%
XBRUSD-0.18%
XAUUSD-0.91%
NAS100+0.86%
XAGUSD-1.28%
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My One Gate Moment: Hold Anything. Witness Gate's biggest evolution in 13 years with me. One Gate, Everything Money. #Gate #OneGate #HoldAnything https://www.gate.com/activities/everything-money-ceremony?ref_type=165&ch=Direct&ref=UFRFAQ0M&utm_cmp=BIPdAc5p
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#BrentTops$106USTalksStall
The market's sharp reaction reflects a geopolitical risk premium that is rapidly rising as diplomatic channels become blocked. Key drivers across energy, safe-haven assets, and macroeconomic expectations point to critical areas that require monitoring:
Key Factors Behind the Surge
* Diplomatic Deadlock: The stalling of Qatar-mediated talks between Washington and Tehran has eliminated the "discount" (the optimism factor) previously priced in regarding the potential for de-escalation around the Strait of Hormuz.
* Elections and Military Timing: Signals suggesting
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XAUUSD-0.91%
XTIUSD-1.78%
XBRUSD-0.18%
NAS100+0.86%
XAGUSD-1.28%
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#Anthropic与SpaceX签署845亿美元算力协议
It is not just the $84.5 billion headline figure that is striking; what that number reveals about the leading edge of the AI ​​economy is also significant.
Anthropic’s filing indicates that its potential computing commitment—involving SpaceX—could reach up to $84.5 billion through 2029, compared to the previously disclosed figure of approximately $45 billion. However, a 90-day termination clause is key: the amount cited represents potential spending under the agreement, not necessarily a guaranteed $84.5 billion expenditure.
Several points stand out:
* Computin
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SPCX+6.27%
TSLA+4.96%
XAGUSD-1.28%
SUGAR+4.75%
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Deposit and Futures Trading Boost: Get 1% Deposit Cashback, Up to 10,000 USDT per User https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6499?ch=8124&ref=UFRFAQ0M&ref_type=132
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Featured#MarvellJumps4.5% #MU,
In my view, this appears to be a broad validation of the AI ​​infrastructure spending cycle rather than a move specific to Marvell.
Micron's results and outlook seem to be the strongest catalyst today. Micron reported that long-term supply commitments rose from $22 billion in June to $32 billion, and that demand for AI-related high-bandwidth memory is pushing orders beyond current capacity. Furthermore, the company anticipates tight supply-demand conditions through fiscal years 2027–2028.
This is significant across the entire hardware supply chain:
* Memory — MU, SK H
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MU-0.90%
SKHYNIX+0.71%
MRVL+1.76%
LITE+3.72%
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#Share My Futures Return#
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Featured‍‍#ShareWeekly #HowToPositionForAPullback
‍#ETH
Ethereum Could Head Toward the $3,000 Level If It Breaks the $2,800 Resistance
The $2,800 level stands out as a critical short-term resistance point for Ethereum ($ETH ).
US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of $287.5 million over the five trading days ending September 29.
If the price holds above $2,800, market focus could shift to the $3,000–$3,050 range.
Losing the $2,600 zone, accompanied by waning risk appetite, could increase selling pressure.
Ethereum experienced one of its strongest periods in recent years, gaining approximatel
post-image
ETH-0.85%
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#GateMemeCarnival #SHIB
SHIB failed to surpass the $0.000006 threshold despite its September recovery
Shiba Inu failed to break past the $0.000006 mark despite a recovery at the end of September.
$SHIB rose from levels below $0.000005 seen earlier in the month but remained below $0.0000061.
The burn rate dropped by more than 91%, yet the price remained relatively flat.
Dropping below $0.0000055 could undermine the September recovery.
As of September 30, Shiba Inu was trading around $0.00000576, having risen as high as $0.00000591 the previous day. Although the token—which dipped below $0.0000
SHIB+0.03%
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  • 2
Featured‍‍#ShareWeekly #HowToPositionForAPullback
‍#HYPE
Hyperliquid to unlock $856 million worth of HYPE on October 6
$HYPE accounts for the largest share of the $1.3 billion in token unlocks expected in the crypto market this October.
HYPE rose 1.85% in September, and investors are watching to see if this momentum carries over into October.
The impact of the significant supply increase on the price will depend on market demand in early October 2024.
Hyperliquid is gearing up for one of the crypto market's largest token unlocks this October. On October 6, it will release HYPE tokens worth $856 mill
HYPE+1.03%
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Featured#Top2Altcoinsfor2026
Top 2 Altcoins for 2026: Price Forecasts for Solana and NEAR as Bitcoin Holds the $83K Level
Bitcoin is establishing a strong foundation for the altcoin market by remaining above the $83,000 support level.
Solana has surged 68% in two months and is approaching the $124 resistance level ahead of the Alpenglow update.
NEAR is maintaining a strong outlook within the $4.90–$5.30 range following a resistance breakout.
Bitcoin continues to hold above the $83,000 zone as buyers defend a key market level following its rise toward $87,363. This move is significant because Bitcoin
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BTC-0.23%
SOL+0.70%
NEAR-1.46%
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#Share My Holding Returns#
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#Share My Holding Returns#
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My One Gate Moment: Hold Anything. Witness Gate's biggest evolution in 13 years with me. One Gate, Everything Money. #Gate #OneGate #HoldAnything https://www.gate.com/activities/everything-money-ceremony?ref_type=165&ch=Direct&ref=UFRFAQ0M&utm_cmp=BIPdAc5p
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