njs_btc

A brief weekend summary
With the market falling further in the morning session, BTC has erased all its gains in 2026. It is basically flat for the year, having achieved nothing;
The current price is also within 80% of the trading range for all of 2024, which means the market has made no progress over the past 3 years. Although new all-time highs were reached, virtually all gains over the past 3 years have been erased;
At this point, BTC will either form a bottom for the next 2-3 years, or we’ll return to the panic of late May and June, when people feared BTC would plunge again to $40,000-$50,000 or even lower!
Altcoins are even worse: over the past 3 years, aside from a few that rebounded along with BTC, 95% of them have been heading toward zero;
Since late October, there have been gains and losses, but overall profits have still drawn down sharply. Although I don’t hold many altcoins, I’ve held spot BTC, ETH, and exchange tokens for 3 years already, and with the positions I opened recently, the drawdown has indeed been painful;
The only thing we can do is manage our position size and adjust our mindset;
The market has reached another make-or-break moment. Hang in there. Add to spot positions in stages as appropriate. While others are selling at any cost, we can gradually add to our spot positions—but remember, don’t go all in on the first buy;
BTC support/resistance levels: 75475/67135/59800
One long position from last night was stopped out. I’ll pause futures trading for the time being this weekend. At the current spot price around 66800, you can build up to a 40% position;
ETH support/resistance levels: 2010/1910/1835/1775
You can build up to a 60% spot position; below 1500, prepare to go all in;
These trading suggestions do not constitute any basis for investment: no moves in gold or U.S. stocks this weekend; first, let’s pick up cheap tokens in our usual market!
#Dr.Han牛津辩论社演讲

2026.11.9 BTC/ETH/XAU/SNDK Analysis
Markets surged and plunged in early Monday trading, with $1.015 billion wiped out in liquidations over the past 24 hours and 149020 people wiped out;
The long-to-short liquidation ratio reached 10:1, putting an end to last week's call—the bulls were practically wiped out!
XAU is moving independently, surging $100 in early trading; keep watching the 3970-4000 level: if it doesn't break below decisively, that points to a potential short- to medium-term bottoming attempt. No need to hold on too long; take a small position near the bottom of each swing and move your stop to protect it;
BTC
A high-volume early-morning wick down to 73333; it's now consolidating around 75200. Spot buyers can start building a position below 75000, entering with 10%-20%;
ETH
Support: 2010
Resistance: 2403
The wick hit 2060, and the second spot entry level at 2100 has been hit; 40% of the ETH spot position is now in;
The key levels now are 2095 and 2155. Let's see which way the market moves today before deciding whether to enter contracts;
SNDK fluctuated within a $50 range in both directions, nothing out of the ordinary. It didn't hit 800, so the weekend's first spot entry at 800 wasn't filled. The SNDK approach remains the same as over the weekend;
Trading advice does not constitute any basis for investment: liquidity is extremely low, and the whole industry is shifting toward hoarding cash, so we also need to stay cautious. Spot can be accumulated in batches; trade contracts with a stop loss, but don't trade without one. You can take a loss, but don't get liquidated. It's time to start building a spot position in batches for the medium to long term!
#美国10月CPI即将公布

A quick weekend chat
Another week has flown by, and it was yet another brutal week for the market. Countless traders were liquidated, and the losses, along with the hack and the midterm-election whipsaw, were staggering!
I couldn't livestream consistently this week because of the flu. I streamed for the last three days despite severe throat pain, but didn't enter any trades until last night, when I traded SNDK. I hit the first take-profit in less than ten minutes and have already exited at break-even!
My recent win rate has been average, with a few stop-losses. With good position sizing, a 10-20% drawdown is reasonable; anything over 30% definitely means your position sizing is off!
BTC
Keep watching to see whether 75000-75500 holds as effective support or breaks decisively; this will directly determine the next move!
ETH
Support: 2150/2095/2010
Resistance: 2403
Watch the key levels of 2215 for ETH and 75500 for BTC for a potential trading setup;
XAU: Last night's nonfarm payrolls data far exceeded expectations, increasing the odds of a Fed rate hike at the December 10 3:00 rate decision. This is a major headwind for XAU, but prices are holding up well for now. The bearish news may already be priced in; XAU has fallen for two months, and many expectations have already been priced in. Next week, focus on how well the 3900/3970-4000 levels hold as support;
SNDK's indicators recovered slightly at Friday's close, and it didn't continue its violent drop. Strictly speaking, there's definitely money to be made at 800; if it falls to 500-700, that's a bargain. The stock will split after the close on the 19th; however, the downside from here is already quite limited;
These trading suggestions are not investment advice: If you're afraid of missing out on SNDK, you can buy some spot at 800; if it falls to 500-700, buy in batches; if it falls below 500, go all in. Buy some spot ETH, and start buying spot BTC if it falls to around 75000. All in all, it's still worth building spot positions in quality assets in this market!
#美股史诗级抛售

2026.10.22 Morning BTC/ETH/XAU/SNDK Analysis
The market wiped out $310 million overnight, with 83,601 people liquidated. The amount dipped slightly while the number of people rose slightly, indicating major players are pulling back and more retail traders are entering, creating a perfect liquidity swap;
First, XAU: I took a trade in XAU again last night. Whether you traded XAU the night before or last night, just follow last night's strategy;
BTC support/resistance levels: 87550/85150/81000/78425
Near the 85000 level, it accelerated downward in the morning session. With no further news on the US-Iran front, the market remained cautious and did not push on to the next key support/resistance level at 85150. Giving it some time to maintain a 1-hour trend of sideways volatility is a good thing;
ETH support/resistance levels: 2850/2695/2403/2345
Following BTC, it reached around 2525 before pulling back, which is perfectly normal. Given market expectations for BTC and ETH at these levels, that was already about right;
SPCX also pulled back after surging last night;
In short: The market has had enough of the bear market and is eager for a violent reversal, so whenever signs of hope emerge, the reaction can be intense, like the explosive single-week rallies in August and September, though they also pull back quickly; this kind of price action is precisely a sign of weak liquidity, with major players able to take what they want. Keep positions controlled and trade lightly; spot traders can take some medium-term swings, but futures traders must strictly follow their trading plans!
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2026.10.3 The market continues to see intense two-sided volatility, with both bulls and bears taking losses: BTC/ETH/XAU analysis
$580 million vanished overnight, leaving 110,452 people bankrupt and wiped out. Both the liquidation amount and the number of people increased, with the number especially tripling and rising by 65%. Clearly, there are many impulsive market participants: one piece of news or a sudden indicator move sends everyone rushing in, only for the market manipulators to turn their guns around and plunder them—it is practically free money;
Are you one of the impulsive ones? Have you still not learned position management?
BTC support/resistance: 87550/85150/78425/75475
After two consecutive days of slight bullish strength, the market surged to 87250 last night. Although it has now pulled back below 85150, the 1h/2h/4h charts still retain a slightly bullish trend;
ETH support/resistance: 2750//2525/2400
Following BTC's trend;
XAU surged to around 4220 last night, and I immediately advised reducing the position again. The small remaining position can be held for now; wait for Monday's opportunity and see whether it will break below 4100 to test 4065 or spike down to 4015. If it does not break below, then it should basically stabilize above 4100. Give it some time and see what the major players choose; no short-term trading over the weekend for now;
The operational suggestions do not constitute any investment basis: For BNB, simply execute last night's order strategy—it is either a loss or a profit. Do not open any new positions for the other orders in hand after they were stopped out at breakeven; wait patiently for new lower-level opportunities. It is recommended to hold no more than 2 futures positions at a time (orders without breakeven stops set are counted; those with breakeven stops set are not). For spot positions, there is no need to rush—place orders for adding to positions and wait patiently; add if filled, and do not worry if they are not filled!
##美国9月非农新增2.9万

On the second day of the 2026.10.2 holiday, the market continued to experience intense volatility.
The market wiped out $195 million overnight, with 67,378 people going bankrupt and being reduced to zero; the lack of liquidity is visible to the naked eye, with both the amount and number of people declining. Generally, the first few days of a holiday torment you back and forth, and just when you are ready to enjoy your vacation, the market makes a move and takes away the liquidity; therefore, position sizes must be properly controlled, otherwise you can still be hit by the competition if you are not careful.
For XAU/XAG, keep only one order and do not open both. XAU provided a 4200 scale-out T position; as of this morning, all three attempts reached around 4190, just $10 short. The narrow-range volatility featured sharp rises and falls, with clear shakeouts. Control position sizes and strictly execute adding and reducing positions; after a breakout, positions must never be allowed to grow while trapped.
BTC support/resistance levels: 87550/85150/78425/75475
It is currently within the broad 85150–78425 range. On the short-term 1h/2h/4h timeframes, bulls and bears are balanced. It touched around 85150 again overnight, and bulls are still slightly stronger at present.
ETH support/resistance levels: 2750//2525/2400
The outlook is consistent with BTC!
MU dipped to 1024 last night, then reached a high of 1096 and produced a 7% range, which was also normal indicator volatility.
These trading recommendations do not constitute any basis for investment: at present, quality assets across the three major markets—crypto, gold, and U.S. stocks—are all ranging, and the market has broadly entered a low-liquidity wait-and-see phase. Tonight’s major nonfarm payrolls report should provide a boost to the market and help break this deadlock. Stay patient and control position sizes; for spot, set up your add-on orders, while futures positions must be tightly guarded—do not take excessively large positions and give yourself a chance to be liquidated!
#OneGate见证计划

On this joyous day of nationwide celebration, I nailed the most badass HYPE with one shot last night—Sao-ge paid the bill for you!
Happy birthday to my great motherland. May the people grow wealthy and the country grow strong, and may all you bros’ parents, wives, husbands, and children stay on the road to moderate prosperity without ever looking back!
After XAU surged to 4226 last night, the first T was completed successfully, and most people’s average entry price has been lowered to around 4250. If it gives the 4120-4150 range intraday today, the lower the better. A high-volume break below the previous low means cutting losses; one more T can still be made;
XAG: If given an opportunity below 60.5, freely put 1% in—the lower, the better;
BTC support/resistance levels: 87550/85150/78425/75475
It is currently within the broad 85150-78425 range. Short-term 1h/2h/4h bulls and bears are balanced, while 5min/15min need to establish a base. Last night, the ultra-short-term trend reached 85632, with no breakdown and retest. For now, bulls are slightly stronger across multiple timeframes;
ETH support/resistance levels: 2750//2525/2400/2225/2100
The approach is the same as for BTC!
MU’s Micron earnings beat expectations across the board. Although there was no major downward wick in the market, there was also no capital chasing it. Overall, the performance was average, and there were even signs of funds slightly exiting after the positive news materialized. So when this happens, just take a look—don’t always think one piece of news can change your capital class, and don’t use your old A-share mindset to view the US!
Trading advice does not constitute a basis for investment: If the market offers opportunities during this holiday, it will be an excellent time to position; I remain bullish on the expected rebound at the end of October and in November!
#OneGate见证计划

2026.9.28 Morning Intraday Analysis of BTC/ETH/XAU/U.S. Stocks
The market started dumping early Monday, forcing longs into a squeeze. After an extended sideways period without gains, the China-U.S. talks failed to generate any substantive sentiment-driven positive catalyst, while the U.S.-Iran conflict has been starting and stopping. The market has not seen the expected sentiment, and a wave of short-term positions has fled;
XAU first: the average price for the 4310 long and the 4225 add-on position is around 4268. If 4185-4200 breaks and the decline continues with increasing volume, reduce the position by 70% decisively, lowering the add-on position and part of the 4310 position; afterward, there is no need to rush to add. The 4255 XAU long and XAG 63.4 long were already advised over the weekend to be reduced to preserve principal and limit losses; nothing wrong with that;
BTC support/resistance levels: 87550/85150/78425/75475
It is currently within the broad 85150-78425 range. A minor short-term downtrend is emerging. Do not go long for now today. If there is no strong reclaim of 85150 tonight, this week will temporarily focus on shorting rebounds with stop losses; do not rush into longs;
ETH support/resistance levels: 2750//2525/2400/2225/2100
The intermediate support/resistance zone is 2600-2625; the minor short-term downtrend in the current pullback is gradually emerging across the 1h/2h/4h charts; do not buy the dip. Assess market conditions tonight; the approach is consistent with BTC!
U.S. stocks are under pressure today, with a high probability of opening lower tonight; I will assess after the opening;
Reduced SUI again; the remaining position is around 1/3. Reduced TRUMP to around 1/5 remaining; in short, reduce profitable altcoin positions in batches and in sequence!
Trading suggestions do not constitute any investment basis: this is not about abandoning expectations for a November rebound, but short- and medium-term upward momentum is temporarily weak and short-term indicators have deteriorated. Controlling position sizes, reducing holdings, and locking in most profits is never a wrong trade! Moreover, the originally estimated first November target of 85150-87550 was completed ahead of schedule last week, so not a single bit of the planned reduction should be skipped!
#GateBTC现货交易量跻身前三

Happy Mid-Autumn Festival, everyone! Let’s briefly talk about the market.
Last night, apart from XAU/XAG making those on the sidelines smash a cup, there was no opportunity for those already holding positions to do anything. XAU was around 4255 and XAG around 63.4—hold these two levels; likewise, hold the XAU at 4310. Don’t rush; in the current market, haste makes waste!
For TRUMP, I waited until 23:30 last night for a rebound to breakeven or a hit of the expected 2.1 target. It reached 2.096 at the highest during the livestream, but I didn’t exit in the first wave. Before ending the stream, I advised reducing the position around 2.06. Who knew it would surge immediately after the stream ended, with three bullish candles reaching 2.132 at the high? No problem—the remaining position is left there, watching the 1.9 area, waiting to take profit around 2.8!
BTC support/resistance levels: 87550/85150/78425/75475/
The long position opened at 75000 last week, with the core position’s stop loss moved to breakeven—hold it for now; it’s the core position, after all. Yesterday, BTC basically followed our script: low-volume bullish divergence and consolidation during the day, brewing a rebound overnight. Don’t rush to operate BTC today either, but if it first touches 82550, taking a quick 1% trade is fine;
ETH support/resistance levels: 2750//2525/2400/2225/2100
Hold the core position from 2385 last week for now;
For the SNDK long entered at 1530-1540 last week, setting the breakeven stop at 1600 means it can be held for now;
Hold last night’s XAU long at 4255, the 4310 long from the night before last, and last night’s XAG long at 63.4; set take-profits properly. If given a chance around 4225, consider adding; only consider stopping out if there is a decisive, high-volume break at 4185-4200. Be patient and see how it performs tonight;
Trading advice does not constitute any basis for investment: the market is currently pausing its advance and entering a correction phase, which is very good and won’t affect our holiday. Perhaps once the holiday is over, the correction will have ended and a new wave of market action will begin. There is nothing much left to worry about in our current positions! Enjoy the holiday with peace of mind!
#GateBTC现货交易量跻身前三

2026.9.24 intraday BTC/ETH/XAU/SNDK analysis
The market wiped out $550 million overnight, leaving 126,823 people bankrupt and wiped out!
Amid the rapidly rising expectations of rate hikes following emphasis from Federal Reserve officials, as well as the market’s accelerated rally since last week’s rate hike, a sharp plunge last night reversed market sentiment. However, after the first wave of sharp declines last night, the current low-volume consolidation is waiting to see whether the market can stabilize today?
BTC support/resistance levels: 87550/85150/78425/75475/
The long position opened at 75000 last week, with the stop loss at breakeven, can continue to be held for a while; it is the core position anyway. The key zone right now is around 84000/82550. If the intraday market consolidates on low volume, an oversold rebound may build up in the evening. If it continues to fall on rising volume intraday, stop out the positions that need to be stopped; if not, watch the strength of the evening rebound and exit promptly, or take a small loss and stand aside first!
ETH support/resistance levels: 2750//2525/2400/2225/2100
The core position opened at 2385 last week can continue to be held for a while;
For the SNDK long position opened at 1530–1540 last week, the breakeven stop has been moved to 1600, so it can continue to be held for a while;
Hold the XAU long position opened at 4310 last night for a while and set the take-profit order. If given a chance around 4225, consider adding to the position; only consider stopping out if it breaks decisively on rising volume through 4185–4200. Be patient—at least remain patient for the next two days;
TRUMP is the only idiot this week without a breakeven stop set. If it breaks below 1.9 on rising volume and continues to fall intraday today, stop out the entire position or reduce it by 60–80% to allow one opportunity to average down;
Trading advice: Last night, expectations for TRUMP’s meeting with Trump were too high. Although no stop-loss action was triggered, the position went from a floating profit of 400%+ to a floating loss of 600%+. Let’s see whether following BTC’s direction today can help recoup some of the losses;
Overall, things remain controllable. At present, only last week’s low-level core long positions, last night’s gold position, and TRUMP remain in hand. As long as gold returns to breakeven or rebounds strongly enough to hit the take-profit level over the next two days, there should be no major issue; it all depends on whether the market stages a fairly strong counterattack tonight;
#Gate資產規模全球CEX第六

2026.9.23 Morning BTC/ETH/XAU/SNDK Analysis
Two small XLM/SNDK long positions were opened last night. The 1540 SNDK small long had already been held, and last night's 1845 long is also up 2%+, so the position can be reduced to ensure zero-risk participation in subsequent profit-taking; the small XLM long can be held appropriately to see whether it can achieve a 3-5% gain today. At this point in the range, consider reducing the position and moving the stop to protection, and try not to leave too many positions without protection;
BTC support/resistance levels: 78425/75475/71300/67135
The 75000 long from last week, with the core position's stop firmly at breakeven, should be held tightly; after testing 85150 yesterday, it rebounded slightly overnight and is now moving toward a second test of the top below 87550. Just watch how it develops;
ETH support/resistance levels: 2750//2525/2400/2225/2100
The 2385 core position from last week, with the stop firmly at breakeven, should be held tightly;
Hold the SNDK 1530-1540 crash-buy long from last week tightly; reduce the 1845 long from last night, leave the core position with the stop at breakeven, and play for subsequent gains;
Pay close attention if XAU falls below 4330 again today; a wick below 4300 is a must-buy 1% long;
Trading advice does not constitute any investment basis: So far this week, 4 crash-buy trades have been opened, all profitable, and basically all except TRUMP have been protected; keep up the good work, pick up as much as possible in this money-making market, and never slacken risk control!
‍$BTC $XLM $TRUMP