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Go with the trend. For example, SanDisk’s trend will turn bearish again only if it breaks below 1440; around 1500, it is not suitable to reopen shorts and chase downward. New shorts should set stop losses at 1520-1550—this is the next step, so take note in advance. For the new shorts opened today, take profits on the way down in batches. Only add to the position and chase if it breaks below 1440.

The big move is coming, the really big move is coming this time.
There should be volatility tonight or tomorrow,
Just short in the 64000~64500 btc range. Or go long below 62000. Whichever level comes first, you can get in. At least a $2,000 move.
Just follow ETH in sync. I won't give too many levels. 1810~1790 is still a range where you can enter freely,
A $2,000~$3,000 move should count as big volatility, right?

Saturday, August 15, Bitcoin market
Bitcoin has been ranging for two months
It is still ranging within the 62000-66000 range
As long as it does not break below 62000, it cannot be considered fully bearish
Once it breaks below 62000, there is no bottom below
If it does not break below 62000, it can still rebound to 65000 and range
Endless ranging; the real crash will come in September and October
So, for those scalping Bitcoin's range-bound market
Long positions must have a stop loss at 62000
Short positions also need a stop loss at 64500
#我的七夕交易分享

BTC is currently priced at approximately $63,355. According to the latest liquidation heatmap:
The $64,050-$64,080 area above is a heavy short liquidation zone. It is both a potential pool of short liquidity and a possible short-term resistance level for BTC. If BTC breaks through it on strong volume and holds above it, short covering could be triggered, further amplifying the upside.
The $62,750-$62,780 area below is a heavy long liquidation zone. It is likewise both a potential liquidity pool and a short-term support/defense area. If BTC breaks below it and continues to weaken, concentrated

The broader market has once again reached an agonizing stage. It hit 64,400 twice and has dropped to around 63,300.
Whether it breaks lower or continues rebounding is impossible to know. But it should be close to choosing a direction,
I don’t trade in any particular direction. I just trade swings: short when it looks like a pullback is coming, and go long when it looks like prices are about to rise.
If you can’t understand the market, stay on the sidelines. If you’re wrong, cut your losses. It’s that simple.
There is no bottom in a bear market and no top in a bull market. If you insist on bott

If the data is favorable, watch whether the rebound can break above and hold 65,400; if the rebound fails, continue to expect a pullback. If the data is unfavorable, BTC will accelerate its pullback. If the pullback begins, the focus will then be on when it can successfully stop falling and rebound effectively, followed by determining how complete the bottom-building range is. In the short term, stimulated by the favorable nonfarm payrolls data, it briefly broke through the resistance of the 4-hour descending channel, then retested after the breakout, while overall remaining within the daily a

DOGE: Could there be a massive buying spree? Hard to say. It is still the meme coin with the highest market cap, and usually these kinds of coins become super-high-liquidity / low-volatility choices. It is still highly liquid, and you can enter and exit with large positions. But because it is “too expensive,” there is not much interest.
It is really hard to say. I think the difficulty here is that there are other options with cheaper market caps. ETH season? Buy PEPE. SOL? Buy Fartcoin. Things like that.
I think DOGE will eventually have another run, but it may still need some time. Personally

Markets stopped operating independently of one another a long time ago. If you look closely, you’ll find that crypto, stocks, and commodities are constantly influencing one another. When you focus on just one market, you often miss important details. Strong moves in one market almost always show up in another, just a little later or with slightly less intensity. My overall impression of the market right now is this: we’ve entered another period of temporary chaos, brewing beneath the surface and requiring the right timing, conditions, and people to ignite.

Bitcoin will see its final drop over the next 3 months
Jiang Zhuoer: There are no signs of a bull market starting in terms of liquidity; a rebound to $68,000–$70k may usher in the final drop
I don't know Jiang Zhuoer, but I share his view
We are currently in a deep bear market
Only the final drop of a deep bear market marks the true bottom

This year’s market has indeed been very difficult to trade: crypto hasn’t finished its correction, gold and silver entered a correction at the start of the year, the US and Iran have been locked in a tug-of-war, the macro picture and the Fed have also been fucking pulling in opposite directions, and even the strongest bright spot is no longer shining. Markets stopped operating independently of one another a long time ago. If you observe carefully, you’ll find that crypto, stocks, and commodities are constantly influencing one another. When you focus on only one market, you often miss important

During the day today, BTC’s nearest support is right at the arrow. Yesterday I mentioned that the golden cross on the 1-day chart was about to form, so the pullback has been weak. 64400 is enough to enter a long position, with a stop-loss of around 100 points, targeting a rebound of roughly 1100 points. Only after breaking below here will there be a chance to buy the dip between 63666 and 62555.
Precisely because BTC is biased bullish after breaking above 64400, as I said last night, the resistance near 64700 can be exited on a pullback to around 64300. Therefore, these consecutive moves are c

In the crypto market, for now, only build spot positions in batches, buy on dips, and let time do its work; with futures, only trade positions—be sure not to trade at high frequency; the days of passionately going long and short every day are gone. In August, seek modest profits in sectors with relatively low volatility, and be cautious about trading or watching sectors with relatively high volatility. For now, protecting against drawdowns > attacking; when the market truly warms up, attacking > protecting against drawdowns.

8.3 Key week
1. ETH’s performance in this bear market cycle has been very standard: each time it first plunges by 40%, then rebounds back to around the weekly 20-day moving average, before repeating the next leg of another plunge.
2. Now ETH’s rebound has reached a critical point. Once the daily K-line body breaks below 1840, it will confirm that the rebound is over. The next wave of plunges will target ETH breaking below 1380, and BTC breaking below 49,000.
3. Many people are calling that the bear market has bottomed out. My view is that BTC’s current 60k is equivalent to the previous cycle’s

As discussed the previous week: as long as BTC does not break down out of the 63,300–62,000 range (this is a strong resistance zone above the 60,000 level; from top to bottom it becomes a strong support), the daily chart will not flip bearish. The bulls’ low-range defensive long is 62,000. If 62,000 breaks, buy the dip at 60,666/60,455. The defense is clear: take profit/avoid liquidation risk far away, and just look to buy the pullbacks. If liquidation is close, cut near losses—if stopped out, re-enter at the next low.
Resistance: 64,450 (short), defend at 64,700. Take profit at 63,333–62,666;

BTC is expected to peak in October 2025, with a maximum drop of 53%.
Gold is expected to peak in January 2026, with a maximum drop of 30%.
Korean stocks are expected to peak in June 2026, with a maximum drop of 43%.
What’s next—the Nasdaq?
The U.S. Dollar Index is the last line of defense. Once the U.S. Dollar Index tops, all financial products will fall again—that’s when the final bear market arrives.

July 30
I’m a greenhorn, and I can’t handle volatility like this from Hynix.
So I don’t have the ability to make this kind of money.
I’m honestly shorting Apple at 340.
People move if they can live, and trees die if they can’t—Apple with a market cap of $50 trillion.
I’ve said it many times: it’s worth shorting.
Where else can you find a target with a market cap of $50 trillion?
The only one is Apple Inc. AAPL with a market cap of $50 trillion

It’s down a lot: when the broader market is good, it only rises a little; when it rises a little and the broader market isn’t good, it falls a little. And at the moment, overall market sentiment is being driven by hard factors. What’s most worrying isn’t bad news, but the fact that good news that isn’t spectacular enough will also turn into bad news. This 67,000 rebound is very likely to end. The big coin has completed a pullback and confirmed it; it has already effectively increased sell volume and broken down out of the upward channel, just like what happened in June. If the big coin still c

It fell too much: when the overall market is good, it will rise a little; when the overall market is bad, it will fall a little. And at the moment, overall market sentiment is driven by hardware. What’s most feared isn’t bad news, but the fact that good news that isn’t compelling enough will also turn into bad news. This rebound from 67,000 will very likely end; BTC has completed the pullback and confirmed it, with a valid breakdown below the rising channel on increased volume—just like what happened in June.
If BTC still can’t reclaim above the 64,500 daily line Bollinger Band middle track wi