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Since the U.S. midterm elections, the crypto world has already seen a shift in climate. How will things develop from here?
Some personal observations:
1️⃣ After the U.S. midterm elections, changes in the political landscape will lead to a reshuffling of interests across many industries, with crypto among the most affected.
2️⃣ It’s not that Republicans are inherently pro-crypto and Democrats inherently want to crack down on it. Much of the support within the Republican Party comes from free-market, anti-regulation, and anti-big-government ideologies, though there are many conservatives. The De
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Spending two days in Macau during the National Day holiday, my most direct impression was that there weren’t as many people in the casinos as I had imagined, with more than half of the seats empty.
I checked the data: Visitor numbers in 2025 have recovered to pre-pandemic levels, but gaming revenue is only around 70% of what it was before the pandemic.
The key is that the customer mix has changed significantly: there are fewer high-spending VIPs, while more casual mass-market visitors are coming.
Mainland visitors account for 70% of Macau’s tourists, which also shows that the mainland economy
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@ricardogee @predictdotfun Hahaha, professional
The wind doesn't really concern ordinary people, and there's no need to be anxious about the current AI boom.

DeepSeek is hiring in 2026 with an average annual salary of 1.6 million yuan, but can ordinary people get in?

The requirements from various AI companies are also quite high.

Looking back at previous booms:

Bitcoin in 2011—did you buy it? Back then, those who understood Bitcoin were mostly internet tech enthusiasts who were sensitive to new things and even willing to hold it until now.

Real estate in 2004—did you buy it? Those who could afford to buy multiple properties back then w
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BTC-0.67%
# Yesterday, a friend who has worked at Pinduoduo for many years reached out to chat with me.

He is currently facing a career path choice:

One option is to stay in his current peripheral department, where he can be promoted to team lead soon. This would represent entering management, no longer being a regular contributor, gaining team leadership experience, and being able to advance to the next level when job-hopping later.

The other option is to transfer to the AI department to work on large language model-related business, but still as an individual contributor. This means joining the cor
# Can Prediction Markets Really Win Big with Small Stakes?

Can you really make money buying low-probability events long-term?

In prediction markets, there's a group of users who like to bet big on small stakes, buying low-probability events like lottery tickets, hoping to catch a big wave of gains.

For example: Will the US announce the discovery of aliens this year? The probability on Polymarket is 17%, and many people can't resist betting on this probability.

Based on backtesting historical trading data from the US-compliant prediction market Kalshi, you'll find that the actual win rates
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I was born in 1996, and this year I turn thirty. It seems like my life is about to reach a turning point.

The ten most golden years of life from age 20 to 30 are about to end, and I feel a bit anxious and confused now.

Please, men over 30, give me some life advice. Anything is fine, I beg everyone🙏
@0xzheng888 哈哈哈确实
The wedding is done, and I gifted my wife a pink castle. Life is stepping into the next stage!

After being busy for several days, I finally have time to quiet down and reflect. I feel there is so much to express, and I think it is worth recording. These are more of my thoughts on marriage.

1️⃣ A wedding is like a large team-building event for two families, where everyone gets involved to do one thing together.

Although it is a wedding for two people, it is supported by the efforts of all family members from both families.

So I am really very grateful and even moved by the efforts and contr
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"Is $100,000 BTC the end or the beginning? Where are we now? Where will we be in the future?"

In recent months, BTC has been fluctuating around $100,000, and has even dropped below $90,000. Some people suspect that the bull market has ended, but it's time to recharge some faith.

I tend to think this is the last drop now.

Witness the true believers at dusk.

BTC reaching $100,000 is a certainty and a starting point. I have always believed that BTC is a risk-free asset with stable returns, but BTC will not stop there. Traditional financial capital will not lack such vision.

At this point, we
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