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HurryTrade

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HurryTrade

2h ago

I saw @MatthewHyland_ 's analyses on #BTC Dominance and wanted to re-do it to see for myself, so here it goes.
In 2017, Bitcoin had a 185% run from November 12th to December 7th from $5871 to $16734. During this run, Bitcoin dominance crushed the altcoins as it run from 48.94% to 71.33%.
After December 8th, Bitcoin had new ATHs in the following days, but Bitcoin dominance fell rapidly to 60% and below. On the day of the BTC ATH, BTC.D was in the 59.xx%.
In 2021, Bitcoin dominance was slightly above 60% as Bitcoin was making new ATHs that were only slightly above the prior one (57.5k, 61k, 63.

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HurryTrade

19h ago

Another #BTC Statistical Analysis : The Death Cross
Bitcoin usually finds a bottom around the day of the death cross and has a rally from that point onwards. The last death cross was 1 day prior to the April low. The previous one was 3 days after the August 2024 low.
50 days ago Bitcoin price was around 116k. Today it is around 101k. This change drops the 50-day SMA by ~300 dollars per day.
Meanwhile, 200 days ago, Bitcoin just started its fast recovery from the April lows. 200 days ago it was at 85k, 199 days ago it was at 88k and 198 days ago it was at 93k. This means that the 200-day movin

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HurryTrade

11-05 00:28

#BTC# Expansion from the 50W SMA?
The last 2 days were devastating for most people. We all need some hopium now. First of all, I should say that it is still too early to speak but I will make a statistical analysis on the BTC expansions in this cycle that started after re-testing the 50W SMA.
First of all, the bear market ended when BTC broke above the 50W SMA.
In April 2023, it didn't re-test the 50W SMA but came very close. Then, it expanded 196.17% from that point in 26 weeks.
In August 2024, it wicked below the 50W SMA, and expanded 122.75% from that point. It also had another touch in Se

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HurryTrade

11-04 01:03

#BTC# Update
BTC bounced off the extension of the last move up today. If this level stays as the bottom, Bitcoin will likely head to the extension on the other side between 111,767 and 112,265.
The Monday range extension is between 111,353 and 111,907. In case BTC recovers, we can say that the first target will be between 111.5k and 112k.
In case it makes a new low, the target will be between 103,992 and 104,546.
In order to break out of this descending structure, BTC first has to flip 108k and then 111k into support.
One more thing to note is that Bitcoin closed the day about $150 above the

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HurryTrade

10-31 04:13

#BTC# Update
The focus was on the end of QT in the FOMC and it was fulfilled however Powell dropped a bomb and talked about the uncertainty ahead for future rate cuts. The media exaggerated it as they were supposed to announce the next rate cut in every meeting.
After that, Trump had a successful meeting with Xi, however the expectation was a full-fledged trade deal. The market didn't like the end result.
Cool story, right?
In fact, it was the last Thursday before option expiry and the markets had to do that. Also there were the technical warnings before everything happened.
Personally I wa

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HurryTrade

10-30 02:22

The ones who bet on a long handshake on Kalshi won big lol.

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HurryTrade

10-26 14:48

#ETH# Update
Ethereum is also at an important S/R zone after the bounce from the 20W SMA and the AVWAP. The zone between 4050 and 4100 has worked as support and resistance many times on different timeframes.
On the HTF, in 2024 it has been rejected 2 times from this zone. In August 2025, the zone has worked as support.
On the LTF the market structure is bullish and hasn't printed a lower low since finding the bottom. I think the positions can be watched with the AVWAP from the bottom currently at 3908 and the session VWAP at 4010.
The AVWAP from the ATH is at 4265. It will likely work as a re

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HurryTrade

10-20 00:32

#BTC# Quick Update
BTC left a CME gap over the weekend at 107,220.
After a close above the PoC, Bitcoin is now heading down to sweep the weekend lows and close the CME gap.
Considering there is a 300-600 difference with the Perp price, BTC may sweep the Sunday liquidity at 106,600 while closing the gap.
Or it may go just below 106k to sweep the weekend low which in my opinion is the least probable scenario.
Going lower first to close the gap and to sweep the lows is generally a sign that BTC will go higher after closing the gap.
Technically 106.9k is the support and 109.5k is the resistance.

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HurryTrade

10-17 08:53

They cracked the economy with their shitty policies and now they opened the "trade war" case just to find someone to blame. No matter what they do, they will probably be cooked in the mid-terms.
If the Fed intervenes especially to save private banking, we will definitely see the continuation of rate cuts and possibly an end to QT in this meeting and signs of QE.

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HurryTrade

10-16 21:23

#BTC# Quick Update
Whale vs Retail Delta is at the lowest value in 2025, even lower than February and April.
Funding Rate is extremely negative, almost as negative as April.
Retail long ratio is at an extreme, last seen just before the September bottom.
BTC bounced off the 200-day SMA which is also 2/3 of the 4h wick. At the same are, there is also the 3.618 extension of the Monday range (which is less important).
Most probably bottom is in for now. However my idea gets invalidated below 106.5k.
They broke things in the economy, so more rate cuts are on the way and QT is going to end soon.

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HurryTrade

10-14 10:18

#BTC# Quick Update
Less than $500 until the CME gap close.
BTC is at the 21W EMA - bull market support band. And it also covered 1/3 of the way from the top to the wick. Also it is at an AVWAP support.
I'm xpecting a potential bounce from 110xxx.
The main support is at 109,500, the confluence of the AVWAP from the April low, 2.618 level of the Monday Range, and also the weekend low (excluding the wick).

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HurryTrade

10-12 15:25

#BTC and #Altcoin Update
As per my last update, BTC re-tested the AVWAP from the April low and bounced from that level. It closed the day at the 21W EMA level and is now above it.
In normal conditions, I would consider this very bullish. However we just had the biggest crypto crash in the history. So, there is no need to FOMO.
The resistance is at 115k. Watch that level carefully. I don't advise a short position there if you don't have a long position open at the same time, because most of the people are expecting a second crash and are heavily shorting the market because of that. This may

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HurryTrade

10-11 00:23

#BTC Update
I think noone needs an update right now but here is my 2 cents.
After the huge dump, BTC is sitting above the VAL of the range. However, I am pretty sure it is going to go down to 109k to re-test the AVWAP from the April low.
And there is a strong probability that BTC will re-visit the 106k-107k range which is also the golden pocket of the 4h liquidation candle.
I am not buying anything right now. I will wait until the Monday Range resolves - or at least until BTC re-visits those 2 levels.

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HurryTrade

10-10 22:16

I congratulate everyone who made money on this crash. Personally, I was on the losing side.
However, I'm 100% sure that noone was expecting a correction this deep.
I don't even call it a correction. It was a crime against humanity.
I'm not talking about Bitcoin or Ethereum. It is not normal for #AVAX Spot price to hit 8.50 down from $27 or SUI to hit $0.56 down from $3.26 within seconds.
This was Trump's standard tariff gameplay. He most probably will not put a 100% tariff on China for whatever reason. Things will get resolved in the next 2 weeks. Noone would sell this much of coins for tha

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HurryTrade

10-10 21:45

This is not a normal move. This is pure scam.
The only thing I would consider normal would be BTC and ETH.
BTC down from 117k to 102k within minutes.
ETH down from 4k to 3.4k within minutes.
Still not normal, but that's ok.
What about AVAX?
Down from $27 to $8.50 within minutes. And it is now back at 19.50.
These people are not exchange owners but criminals.
May you all be well.
Leave everything behind. There is nothing to do.

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HurryTrade

10-08 00:56

No, Bitcoin cycle top isn't in. The cycle doesn't end when everyone is pessimistic with their PTSD.
When Bitcoin is close to the cycle top, you will lose your shit. Everyone is gonna call for higher. Saylor will be on the TVs. Blackrock CEO will be on the TVs. Financial institutions will start giving ridiculous targets. You will feel like you are invincible. Every altcoin you touch will moon.
I can easily say that we are not close to the top yet just by looking at the sentiment. Bitcoin dropped by only 5% after printing a new ATH and everyone freaked out.

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HurryTrade

10-06 18:53

#LINK Update
LINK stayed relatively weak since the huge pump from $15 to $27 in August. However, on the BTC pair, it looks like it found support from the bull market support band.
I was hesitant to post this yesterday because I thought it could go as low as the 20W SMA but no, it didn't, and it bounced.
Also, if we draw Fib-based channels, 0.382 level worked as a S/R many times and LINK just bounced off that region. It should now target the top of the channel which is currently between 0.00022-0.00023. This corresponds to an approximate increase of 25% against Bitcoin. With the current dolla

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HurryTrade

10-06 17:44

Some people who were right the whole cycle about Bitcoin dominance and altcoins are going to be wrong for a brief period. However this is going to be costly for some people.
They celebrate like little kids each time BTC dominance goes above 59% but their celebration is short-lived as the next day, it goes back below it.
Do not get obsessed with being right. It doesn't make you money.
Do not try to catch the absolute bottom or the absolute top. Try to catch the meat of the move. In order to do that, DCA in and DCA out.

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wwwH

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HurryTrade

10-06 00:12

#BTC #ETH & #Altcoins Market Update
While many people were expecting sub-100k at the range lows, Bitcoin started a parabolic run last Monday and printed a new ATH today. There is still no excitement in the market as retail was caught off-guard and likely missed the whole move. Retail is not interested in buying Bitcoin at these prices anyway. That's why I think that even though many analysts are expecting Bitcoin dominance to go above 60%, altcoins will catch up as soon as Bitcoin slows down.
In a previous analysis based on cycle bottoms and tops, I predicted the Bitcoin cycle top to come

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LittleTeacher

If there were no such alt season, the cyclical nature of Bitcoin would obviously have ended.

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