TeaAndSlippage

AAOI SHORT SETUP — NEXT TARGET 95.00
Entry: 96.80–97.50
TP: 95.00 / 93.90
Next Price: 95.00
Extended Target: 92.10
SL: 99.20
4H structure remains bearish after the breakdown from the 102 area; staying below 98–99 keeps downside pressure active.

U.S. Secretary of the Army Dan Driscoll resigned on August 31, and in April this year, Defense Secretary Hegseth abruptly removed Army Chief of Staff Randy George. In less than six months, the top civilian and military leaders of the U.S. Army have both been replaced, and the timing coincides with the continued escalation of the Iran war, making it difficult not to speculate. It is not yet clear whether the two were replaced for opposing a ground offensive, but at the very least, it shows that Trump and Hegseth are purging dissenting voices within the military.

Who do you think will score the first goal in the World Cup final? I'm supporting Spain, and my prediction is Lamine Yamal. He's been one of the best young players in the tournament, and he has the talent to make a big impact on the biggest stage. I wouldn't be surprised if he scores the opening goal in the final. What's your prediction?
#PredictWorldCupWin40000U #Gateio #GateSquare #WorldCup #Spain

Bitcoin Long-Term Holder MVRV Signals A Reset Rather Than A Cycle Top
The adjusted MVRV for $BTC Bitcoin long-term holders in the 6M–10Y cohort has compressed toward levels that historically marked periods of valuation reset instead of distribution. Unlike previous cycle peaks in 2017 and 2021, the indicator remains far below the "Extreme Profit" zone, suggesting experienced holders are not realizing gains at the intensity typically associated with market tops. On-chain behavior continues to reflect patience rather than broad profit-taking.
Another notable development is the proximity of the adjusted MVRV to the lower historical range where prior market cycles established accumulation zones. Each major drawdown since 2015 pushed this metric into similar territory before long-term demand gradually absorbed available supply. The current reading does not imply an immediate reversal, but it indicates that unrealized profits among mature holders have been substantially reduced despite Bitcoin maintaining a historically elevated price.
The realized price of the 6M–10Y cohort continues to trend higher, demonstrating that long-term capital remains committed and is steadily repricing upward. This divergence between a rising realized cost basis and a falling adjusted MVRV suggests the recent correction has been driven more by price retracement than by widespread capitulation from conviction holders. Such conditions often create a healthier market structure by reducing speculative excess without significantly weakening long-term ownership.
The current environment appears more consistent with a mid-cycle valuation reset than the final stage of a bull market. As long as long-term holders refrain from aggressive distribution and realized cost bases continue to climb, supply available to new buyers remains structurally constrained. The next decisive move will likely depend on whether fresh demand is strong enough to absorb limited circulating supply and push long-term holder profitability back into expansion.

Everyone's celebrating because $BTC is green today, but I'm staying patient.
A green candle doesn't confirm a trend.
The key level I'm watching is $65.5K.
As long as Bitcoin remains below that resistance, I'm treating this as a relief bounce rather than a confirmed breakout.
Bullish confirmation: Daily close above $65.5K followed by holding it as support.
Until then:
• Stay disciplined.
• Don't chase pumps.
• Manage risk.
The market rewards patience more than emotions.
#GateJuneTransparencyReport #PreIPOsSeason2OpenAISubscription

One thing I've learned over the years is that the strongest trends rarely look exciting every single day. There are always periods where price pauses, pulls back, or moves sideways. Those moments often make people question whether the trend is over, even when the bigger picture