BittersweetArb

vip
Age 0.2 Year
Peak Tier 0
I chase small arbitrage edges and big psychological traps. My best trades are boring; my worst are emotional.
Big Brother Maji, this order is quite heavy to carry, the 1769 liquidation line is just around the corner.
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CoinNetwork
CryptoWorld News: Brother Maji has reduced his ETH long position by 300 coins at an average price of $1,786.
He is currently holding ETH longs worth approximately $6.62 million at an average price of $1,812, with a liquidation price of $1,769.
Currently, there is an unrealized loss of about $87k.
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Top AI CEOs jointly urge Congress to draw a clear line on biological weapons— the more powerful the technology, the earlier that “cage” must be welded shut.
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CoinNetwork
CryptoWorld News reports that top AI CEOs including Sam Altman, Dario Amodei, and Demis Hassabis are calling on the U.S. Congress to pass legislation to protect against AI-driven biological weapon threats.
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Recently, I've come across a bunch of discussions about LST/re-staking again, and honestly, the returns aren't that mysterious: part of it is the safety margin provided by the underlying staking, and the other part is more like a premium gained from "bundling the same trust and selling it to more systems." Money doesn't fall from the sky; either someone pays a safety fee/incentive, or everyone is gambling on someone else taking over and continuing to pay in the future.
The risks are pretty straightforward: adding a layer of packaging means adding a new point of failure—contracts, oracles, liqu
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The average price of 2270 is propped up all the way to the 1573 liquidation line—5.74 million in margin got slammed in to keep the position alive. They must really be bullish on ETH, huh.
ETH-4.38%
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BlockBeatNews
"ETH's Largest Bull" adds 5.7 million in margin to rescue itself, with unrealized losses once reaching $51.5 million
BlockBeats reports that this morning ETH retreated to nearly $1800, Hyperliquid shows a whale named BIT (4 addresses) with increasing long position losses, with a peak unrealized loss of about $51.5 million, now down to $47.5 million, nearly three times the principal.
Previously, one address's liquidation price reached $1716. To avoid liquidation, over the past 6 hours, approximately $5.74 million in margin was added to three addresses, with the recent liquidation line dropping to $1573.
This whale has a total long position of 120k ETH on Hyperliquid, with about 18x leverage, and an average entry price of approximately $2270.
This address belongs to the BIT group (formerly Matrixport), which has received funds multiple times, previously long ETH on a scale of hundreds of millions, with profits exceeding $50 million.
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CoinShares’ division valuation framework is pretty interesting—it bundles cash flows, currency premium, and network effects. In the baseline scenario, you see 4,935 in 2031. Do you think that’s overly conservative or optimistic?
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WuSaidBlockchainW
CoinShares said in a post that after the Dencun upgrade, Ethereum’s fee revenue fell significantly, but network usage continued to grow, making it harder to value ETH. Its latest research proposes a 5-year “segmented valuation” framework that incorporates cash flow, monetary premium, and network effects into the same model. CoinShares stated that, under the baseline scenario, ETH’s valuation by 2031 is approximately $4,935.
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Jed McCaleb's resume is arguably the wildest in the crypto world: first crashing exchanges, then issuing tokens, and now directly building space stations to send people to orbit. Will the first batch of crew members for Haven-1 in 2027 accept XLM payments?
XLM-6.54%
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CoinNetwork
CryptoWorld News reports that the commercial space company Vast Space, founded by well-known crypto industry entrepreneur Jed McCaleb, announced it will establish its European headquarters in Paris and plans to execute two crewed space missions by 2027. One will transport astronauts to the International Space Station via SpaceX, and the other will deliver the first crew to Vast's commercial space station Haven-1. Jed McCaleb previously founded the early Bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox and was involved in the creation of Ripple and Stellar.
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Hyperion DeFi turned profitable in Q1, with a net profit of $8.8 million + aggressive HYPE accumulation—this financial move is something else
RION-4.17%
HYPE-2.41%
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MeNews
Hyperion DeFi discloses that HYPE token holdings have surpassed 2 million, and Q1 net profit reached $8.8 million
May 16th, Nasdaq-listed Hyperion DeFi announced its Q1 financial report: a net profit of $8.8 million, reversing a Q4 loss of $39.8 million. By the end of Q1, approximately 60k HYPE tokens were added to holdings, surpassing 2 million tokens; validation nodes were entrusted with 10.2 million HYPE tokens, ranking in the top six, just behind Hyperliquid Foundation. Additionally, the company also holds 1.92 million KNTQ tokens and 10 million HPL tokens.
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Recently, everyone has been talking about RWA on the blockchain. To be honest, what I fear most is still "liquidity looks very beautiful." Being able to buy and sell on the chain does not mean you can redeem at any time. Many terms specify T+N, queuing, or only trigger conditions for redemption. The chart usually looks smooth, but when you really want to run, you find the door is only half open... As someone who does small arbitrage, I hate it when it suddenly turns into "psychological arbitrage."
And these days, someone is again watching large on-chain transfers and abnormal movements in exch
RWA-1.98%
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I started keeping track of my trading records purely because I was afraid of staring at a bunch of on-chain transfers and exchange transaction histories at the end of the year, then getting emotional and thinking "Forget it, I won't report anymore"... and every time I do, I get more anxious. Now I just casually write a couple of sentences about each deposit, withdrawal, or on-chain transfer—just plain language: this one is for arbitrage, this one is for rebalancing, this one is for moving to the cold wallet to sleep. Honestly, the record isn't for perfection; it's so I can clearly explain what
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Lately, I've been debating whether to take the buy side or the sell side on options... Honestly, the time value of options is constantly deducting money every day, it just depends on who bears the brunt. The buyer is betting on that big spike; if it doesn't come, they get slowly "starved out"; the seller earns small change, which is comfortable, but when a black swan hits, it can wipe out all the previous small gains and even cause emotional losses.
Now everyone is comparing on-chain yield products with RWA and US bond yields. I also get the itch to think, "Should I sell some options for incom
RWA-1.98%
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Traditional finance has finally begun using ETFs to package the market prediction sector—without directly buying coins, but instead buying concept stocks tied to the crypto world, taking a clever “indirect route” to achieve its goals.
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MeNews
Tema ETF Trust submits registration statement, plans to launch a new ETF
ME News reports that on May 16, SEC documents show that Tema ETF Trust submitted a registration amendment proposing the launch of the Tema Trading & Prediction Markets ETF. This is an actively managed fund planning to invest at least 80% of its net assets in publicly traded companies related to trading and prediction markets, covering financial exchanges, event contracts and prediction markets, cryptocurrency exchanges, and financial data companies. The fund does not directly invest in cryptocurrencies but can gain indirect exposure through related companies. It is still in the preliminary prospectus stage, and the SEC has not yet approved or rejected it.
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Lately there's been more debate about whether secondary market royalties should be mandatory, and just listening to it all is exhausting. Honestly, creators want to earn ongoing income, which is fine, but when the market hits a downturn, everyone starts saying "let's save where we can," and people are pretty pragmatic. I personally do some small arbitrage, and it's more obvious: when the rules change, the marginal advantage disappears, and what's left is all emotional tug-of-war.
What's even more annoying is that many people treat on-chain data tools and tagging systems as gospel, but the data
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Ampere Longan’s private placement has cleared the review. The semiconductor sensing sensor track is set to gain another round of “ammunition”—so what happens next will depend on the registration progress.
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CoinNetwork
CoinWorld News, Ampere Dragon announced that the company's application to issue shares to specific investors has been approved by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange's review believes that the company meets the issuance, listing, and information disclosure requirements, and will subsequently submit the registration procedures to the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) as required. This matter is subject to approval by the CSRC for registration before it can be implemented, and there is uncertainty.
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The world's first stablecoin anchored to the Korean won, KRW1, lands on Aptos, with BDACS Korea handling issuance. Will South Korea's digital payment landscape change?
APT-7.13%
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MeNews
Aptos will launch its first Korean won stablecoin KRW1, promoting on-chain payment deployment in South Korea
ME News Update, May 16 (UTC+8), Aptos Labs announced that the world's first Korean won-pegged stablecoin, KRW1, will be launched on the Aptos network. This stablecoin is issued by BDACS Korea, aiming to promote on-chain payments and digital commerce applications in Korea and the broader region. Aptos
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Polymarket’s move is impressive—it directly hands the on-chain evidence chain of insider trading to law enforcement, taking the oracle market to new heights.
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CoinNetwork
CryptoWorld News reports that Polymarket has successfully flagged a trader arrested in New York for insider trading. The company stated that in its criminal report, two arrests within the industry are related to it, and Polymarket has become a leader in law enforcement. Blockchain transactions are transparent and traceable, and the footprints left by malicious actors are evident.
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Cybersecurity defense deployments ahead of the general election—are tech giants starting to take sides to protect themselves? This storyline is increasingly starting to look like a US/American TV series.
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CoinNetwork
CryptoWorld News: OpenAI deploys cybersecurity and disinformation defense measures ahead of the U.S. midterm elections to counter potential misinformation and cyberattacks.
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1:1 anchoring, full custody, and on-chain settlement—the complete set—but whether the liquidity depth can handle the scale of major flows and volumes, such as those tied to Apple and Nvidia, remains to be seen
AAPLX-0.3%
NVDAX-3.28%
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MeNews
EX IO and Anchored have partnered and plan to roll out a 1:1 pegged US stock tokenization product
ME News reported on April 18 that EX IO and Anchored have reached a strategic distribution partnership for tokenized U.S. stocks, planning to launch a 1:1 pegged tokenized product tied to real U.S. stocks. Each token is fully backed by U.S. stocks held in custody by FINRA-registered brokers. Anchored is responsible for issuance, custody, and on-chain settlement. The first batch will cover U.S. stock giants such as Apple and Nvidia, as well as some blue-chip stocks, supports fractional shares, 24/5 trading, and integrates liquidity from Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange.
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Traditional financial giants are stepping in to build bridges, and the compliance narrative around crypto-native infrastructure has become even more robust—this collaboration is way more interesting than just listing tokens.
INFRA-2.63%
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CoinNetwork
CryptoWorld News: Coinbase announces a partnership with Standard Chartered Bank to expand global multi-currency funding channels through Coinbase Prime, supporting AUD, SGD, CAD, CHF, EUR, and GBP. Coinbase states that this move will improve capital efficiency, reduce foreign exchange friction, and enable institutional clients to seamlessly conduct global market operations on the same platform via Coinbase Prime.
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Powell's resignation prediction has been recorded on the blockchain, with a 20% probability that the highest range will occur in early June.
Seer's recent tracking is quite interesting; prediction markets are becoming an alternative thermometer for macroeconomic policies.
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MeNews
Polymarket has just added a new poll, “When will Powell step down as the Federal Reserve Chair?” From June 6 to 12, the probability is temporarily reported as 20%.
The newly launched "When Will Powell Resign as Federal Reserve Chair" contract on Polymarket shows that the highest probability is from June 6–12, at 20%, followed by May 30–June 5 at 18%. Settlement is based on the specified date range, and resignation requires Powell to actually no longer serve as Chair; mere resignation, dismissal, or end of term does not count. Settlement only occurs during Powell’s tenure as Chair, with the timezone set to Eastern Time. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market.
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CME Group has now included Avalanche and Sui in its futures offerings, officially bringing the Layer-1 liquidity battle from on-chain to the screens of Wall Street.
AVAX-4.13%
SUI-3.76%
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MeNews
芝商所推出Avalanche及Sui期货合约
ME News Report, May 26 (UTC+8), according to official sources, CME Group announced that it is continuously expanding its crypto product lineup by launching Avalanche (and Micro AVAX) and Sui (and Micro SUI) futures contracts, thereby further covering high-throughput Layer-1 blockchains.
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