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🏆 World Cup 2026: Polymarket's Latest Prediction
With the quarterfinals underway, the prediction market is starting to form a clearer consensus.
📊 Semifinal favorites:
🇫🇷 France – 78%
🇪🇸 Spain – 76%
🇦🇷 Argentina – 74%
🏴 England – 66%
🏆 Current World Cup winner probabilities:
🇫🇷 France – ~19%
🇦🇷 Argentina – ~14%
🇪🇸 Spain – ~14%
🏴 England – ~11%
Prediction markets don't guarantee outcomes, but they do aggregate thousands of participants putting real money behind their views. That's often more informative than a single expert opinion.
The market currently sees France as the team
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ONDO shorts have a 95% win rate—don't miss this move?
$ONDO /USDT - SHORT
Trading Plan:
Entry: 0.3151 – 0.3165
SL: 0.3224
TP1: 0.3109
TP2: 0.3076
TP3: 0.3026
Why this setup?
- 4H trend is clearly bearish, 1D bearish confirms the bigger direction.
- RSI 15m is only 40.28, weak bounce, bearish momentum continues.
- ONDO is currently around 0.3158, hugging EMA resistance—prime entry opportunity.
- Targets TP1 0.3109, TP2 0.3076, stop loss 0.3224, risk is manageable.
Discussion:
Do you bet it hits TP2 first, or fakes a bounce before dropping?
ONDO0.45%
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Fam, who gets it? With this one candle, the chart straight up stops pretending everything’s fine 📉🔥 A few days ago, before bed, it was grinding at a high level. A lot of people thought it could still push—when I watched that rebound, I knew something was off.
Back then, what I saw was clear suppression above $ASTEROID . The volume didn’t follow through. When it went up, nobody was stepping in to buy, so I tipped that you should open a long, and the position was set around 0.0000886—no chasing, no lingering. Just wait for it to expose itself 👀🎯
Now it’s gone from 0.0000886 down to 0.0000544,
ASTEROID-6.91%
BTC1.32%
ETH-0.05%
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crypto market update
gate liveLIVE
1,887
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This trend is really a bit insane! 🔥📉 A few days ago, in the early morning, it was still pretending to be strong. Every time $STG tried to push up, it always fell short—volume didn’t keep up, and the order book didn’t look like a real breakout.
Before the chart fully took off, I saw clear pressure overhead, and I judged this move was more like a bull trap—at the time, I signaled to open long/short positions right around 0.3479. Now the price is at 0.1675, with a return of +514.29%. Those on the train should be laughing by now 🎯💰👏.
When it’s time to cash in, don’t act calm.
This trade is s
STG2.54%
BTC1.32%
ETH-0.05%
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SOL is going sideways around $78—are we seeing a follow-through drop after buildup, or a fakeout?
$SOL /USDT - SHORT
Trading Plan:
Entry: 77.89 – 78.17
SL: 79.39
TP1: 77.01
TP2: 76.33
TP3: 75.31
Why focus on this setup?
• The 4-hour timeframe issues a SHORT signal, but the 1-day trend is ranging—no extreme directional bias.
• RSI on the 15-minute chart is 50.07, neutral-to-weak, with no overbought pressure.
• The current price of 78.03 is near EMA support, but ATR is only 0.567, indicating low volatility—before a break above 79.39, shorts should be cautious.
• Why now? Low volatility + the upp
SOL0.36%
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Guys, who understands this?! I opened the market screen this morning and instantly felt awake 🚀 — this round of long orders on $ZEC finally gave an answer. It wasn’t just shouting; it was patiently waited out step by step during the bottom-grinding in the middle of the night a few days ago.
Back then, when I saw the key level hadn’t been broken, the bottom was still ranging, and the sell pressure was clearly lighter 📌 — there were always people buying down below. I then signaled to go long, with the entry right around 407.20. Don’t wait until it pumps and then slap your thigh.
Now the price
ZEC2.94%
BTC1.32%
ETH-0.05%
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GN CT and FT
We continue tomorrow. Good night
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🔥 HISTORY: On this day 16 years ago, Satoshi explained Bitcoin scarcity: The more someone tries to buy, the more expensive it becomes. #harrycrypto
BTC1.26%
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Venüs_:
To The Moon 🌕
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Woke up and instantly sharpened up! 📢📉 A few days ago in the afternoon it was still oscillating, but today the chart just dropped the act, $JTO this wave of shorts cashed out very cleanly.
While everyone was still watching, what I saw was a weak rebound, no buyers on the way up, clear lack of support👀 In this kind of position, the scariest thing is not that it doesn't fall, but that it first lures you to chase, so at that time I was more inclined towards a long strategy.
Looking back now, from the entry at 0.8102 to the point at 0.6392, it has already played out, with the gain showing +149
JTO-0.68%
BTC1.32%
ETH-0.05%
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JUST IN: US-Iran talks remain ongoing; no deal yet and no change to nuclear stance. Crypto markets watch for potential geopolitical risk signals and flow reactions from policy headlines. $BTC $ETH
BTC1.26%
ETH-0.05%
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Everyone, who understands this! I opened the chart this morning and instantly felt energized 🚀 A few days ago before bed, it was still grinding, $ADA constantly being held down without moving, and many people were almost out of patience.
When the market was grinding for the bottom, I kept my focus on one thing: the key level hadn’t broken—if it pulled back, it could still hold. The sell pressure was clearly lightening 📌 So at that time, the reminder was: go long—don’t wait until it starts pumping before you remember to board.
Now it’s moved from 0.1514 to 0.1661, +689.42%—it’s already been
ADA-0.60%
BTC1.32%
ETH-0.05%
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SKYAI 4-hour short signal activated, are you in?
$SKYAI /USDT - SHORT
Trading Plan:
Entry: 0.03608 – 0.03724
SL: 0.04221
TP1: 0.03250
TP2: 0.02973
TP3: 0.02557
Why focus on this structure?
• SKYAI currently at 0.03666, 4H EMA bearish, 15-min RSI at 37.61, indicating short-term oversold but trend remains weak.• Why now? 1H ATR at only 0.002311, volatility narrowing. Once 0.03608 support breaks, room opens to TP1 0.03250.• Stop-loss at 0.04221 is clear, risk is manageable. Until trend reverses, the short thesis dominates.
Discussion:
Will it hit TP2 0.02973 first, or fakeout and bounce?
SKYAI14.95%
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This short position finally paid off. $LYN came down from the high, and the rhythm was even cleaner than I expected. I opened at 0.05161, and now the price has dropped to 0.03503, with floating profit of +787.3%. This is not luck — the high-level resistance was too obvious earlier.
At the time, I wasn't focused on how much it had dropped, but on the fact that every rebound failed to hold. As soon as buying pressure chased in, it got crushed. The structure had clearly changed. Many were still waiting for it to keep pumping, but the chart gave the answer first — to put it bluntly, the bull chain
LYN-2.03%
BTC1.32%
ETH-0.05%
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$ORDI , a man can only dream!!
ORDI5.12%
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XLM 4H Short Setup, 95% Win Rate Can You Believe It?
$XLM /USDT - Short
Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.18455 – 0.18547
SL: 0.18944
TP1: 0.18169
TP2: 0.17947
TP3: 0.17615
Why focus on this structure?
- Short signal locked: EMA trend 1D bearish, RSI 15m only 47.39, weak bounce.
- Current price 0.18501, right at 4H resistance zone, short entry already activated.
- Why now? Tight time window, TP1 0.18169 is close, missing it could lead to a rebound.
Discussion:
Will this short run reach TP2 0.17947 first, or fake a pump to 0.188?
XLM2.42%
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Your HORRIBLE strike price is why you get smoked with options...
(how to fix it right now)
Most retail investors sell puts with a strike price 5% ish below the current market price to "build a margin of safety"
(bad)
They also usually do this with monthly contracts.
(bad again)
Here's the BIG problem.
5% is not a good enough margin of safety, especially with a 1 month contract where you have no tailwinds of growth behind you.
(as EPS climbs, the stock will follow that up)
The solution is to sell 1+ year portfolio secured puts.
You can pick a strike price 20% below the money, get great premium,
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Don’t say it—this wave is really giving face. 🚀 While everyone is still watching and waiting, $NES the price action has been grinding away in a way that’s really annoying, but I saw the key level never broke. There’s a feeling that capital is quietly getting in, and the buy orders have started to take over—so I went ahead with the “open long” rhythm to watch it.
Chasing after it often feels uncomfortable. 👀
Now, from 0.2034 to 0.2704, the return is +651.97%. This big gain has finally been realized. 📈🎯 It wasn’t that nothing happened before—it's that it was building up the rhythm. When it
NES-5.68%
BTC1.32%
ETH-0.05%
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Got to say, this one really delivered. 📉😎 A few days ago, before bed, the chart was still hovering high, many thought it would keep going up, but I saw no one buying at the top — the higher it went, the weaker it got 👀
Before the move fully started, $BTC gave a short window around 75,848.4. I was watching for weak absorption and obvious fake-out signs — if it couldn't push through, it would get smashed down 📌
Now the price is at 63,189, and the gain has hit +2,899.82%. This one gave a very direct answer 🎯💰. It was a grind at first, but once it broke out, it felt great. The short positio
BTC1.32%
ETH-0.05%
SOL0.36%
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WORLD CUP PREDICTION
gate liveLIVE
962
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