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#特朗普称继续大规模袭击伊朗#At the moment, what really determines the trend is not the news headline, but these two questions:
1. Whether the Strait of Hormuz is truly blocked in the long term.
2. Whether international oil prices continue to rise rapidly.
If these two variables do not further worsen, the market is likely to gradually digest the news; but if the conflict continues to escalate, leading to a more obvious impact on energy supply, then oil prices, inflation expectations, and global risk assets could all face greater volatility. For BTC, what really needs to be watched is not the war itself, but whether capital starts to continuously flow from risk assets into safe-haven assets.