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Why Can a High-Win-Rate Trading Strategy Still Lose Money Over the Long Term?

Many traders like to pursue a high win rate.

A 70% win rate sounds pretty good.

An 80% win rate seems even better.

But one easily overlooked issue is this: if each loss is much larger than each gain, you can still end up losing money even if you’re right most of the time.

Win rate determines how many times you win, but it cannot, by itself, determine how much you ultimately make.

I. A Simple Mathematical Example

Suppose two strategies each make 100 trades.

Strategy A: High win rate, low reward-to-risk ratio

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$JCT SHORT SETUP — SELLERS STILL IN CONTROL!

Entry: 0.006265
SL: 0.007200

TP1: 0.005800
TP2: 0.005300
TP3: 0.004900

$JCT remains under bearish pressure after a sharp rejection from higher levels. Recent recovery attempts have struggled to hold, while sellers continue defending resistance. A break below 0.005800 could open the way toward deeper downside targets.

Invalidation: A sustained move above 0.007200 weakens the bearish setup.
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JCT-3.26%
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Trenches
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AGT
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Dacity
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Dacity
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HOLD
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DacityCoin
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Close $KORU for a profit of 👍
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KORU-1.22%
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Looking to die!!
Driving at 212 km/h in the city!
You can tell he’s no ordinary guy from that full-sleeve tattoo.
What a pity for the girl in the car.
🚀 #ALTCOINS ARE LOADING FOR A MASSIVE EXPLOSION!
The next big rally could be closer than you think. It's only a matter of time before the bulls take over! 📈🔥
ALTSEASON IS COMING! 👀
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Arc added $804 million in stablecoin supply growing 161%, while the broader market lost $14 billion.
Still a small player, but that's a pretty interesting divergence.
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ARC-4.26%
December 2021
Back then, at 97, I lost over 10 million in a single day, which threw me off balance. Over the next three months, I lost another 10 million...
Starting from -250,000, I made 30 million in one bull market, then ultimately lost 20 million+ in a single quarter.
That was the second low point in my trading career.
During this third low point in my trading career,
I just want to tell myself:
I believe the game in the first half of my life has been more exciting than that of 99.9% of people.
But the game in the second half of my life has only just begun.
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#RedBullDoublePodiumInBrazil
Celebrating Innovation Beyond the Track: Gate and Red Bull Racing Forge the Future of Web3 and Motorsport Excellence

In the high-stakes world of Formula 1, where precision engineering meets relentless competition, partnerships that transcend traditional sponsorships stand out as true catalysts for progress. Gate, a pioneering force in the digital asset ecosystem, continues to exemplify this through its deep and evolving collaboration with Oracle Red Bull Racing. The recent Racing the Future Vol.5 event at the team headquarters in Milton Keynes, United Kingdom, ma
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If BTC rebounds from here, it would be anything but a surprise.
STH Cost Basis, 200-day average and 128dma. 👇
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BTC-0.67%
Google uses Veo to fill gaps in Esther Mahlangu’s memories from before 1980
Google Arts & Culture launched the first online retrospective of South African artist Dr. Esther Mahlangu to mark her 91st birthday. Curator Dr. Nontobeko Ntombela writes that the collection contains almost nothing about her life before 1980, so the team accordingly used memories narrated by Mahlangu herself to generate still images, then turned them into videos with Veo, filling the gap between her starting to paint at age 10 and her first documented works.
【The archive breaks off in 1980】
Ntombela has long researched
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GOOGL+1.11%
Since Mid Term Election Day we’ve had...
The Dow’s best day after a midterm since 1982
The S&P’s worst day since April 2025
Retail’s biggest selling day since March 2020
The S&P’s best day in 7 months
A board investigation into Nvidia’s CEO
& a hot inflation report
If you slept through ALL of it, your S&P500 $VOO is down about 1%
That’s it
Now think about everyone who traded each one of those headlines. Sold Thursday, bought back Monday, sold again on CPI... paying taxes & stressing the whole way
I made zero panic moves in that stretch. Same base, same 1+ year puts & calls, ratios in check. Ca
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SPX+0.33%
NVDA+2.12%
VOO+0.81%
🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸 X and NYSE owner ICE are reportedly launching a 24/7 TOKENIZED STOCK TRADING platform on November 23! 🚀
Eligible U.S. investors will be able to trade over 70 digital securities, including $COIN , $HOOD , $CRCL , $MSTR , and dozens of ETFs.
The platform is expected to operate under the SEC's temporary innovation exemption, enabling blockchain-based stock trading and settlement.
COIN+1.24%
HOOD+2.30%
CRCL+2.46%
MSTR-0.39%
$SNXX Up 15.63% in a day to 4.118, then plunged back to 4.02; the 24h low was 3.18. This is a classic shakeout that flushes both longs and shorts. Trading value of 432M shows that funds are changing hands, not that the market is dead.
My plan is set: place limit orders to buy the pullback in the 3.55–3.68 range, with a stop-loss at 3.14 (if it breaks below the previous low, I’ll admit I’m wrong). Take profit by selling half near the first target of 4.10, around the previous high; the second target is 4.45. Keep the position size under 20%; don’t chase the current price.
The bullish case is a p
SNXX-0.43%
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BTC | ETH | Gold | Crude Oil
live-cover
LIVE3,824
🤩 Still cropping screenshots to share your trading results? Gate Square's “Trade Sharing” feature is here!
Show off your positions and asset overview with just one tap!

✨ Show off your trading results in 4 easy steps:
1️⃣ Tap the “Trade Card” icon on the post creation page
2️⃣ Choose a sharing type (positions/asset changes)
3️⃣ Select the data you want to display
4️⃣ Generate and post your personalized trading results card in seconds

Want to know how good your trades are? Show them off! Share your savvy moves and exchange strategies with top traders across the crypto community!
Try it now �
GateSquare
🤩 Still cropping screenshots to share your trading results? Gate Square's “Trade Sharing” feature is here!
Show off your positions and asset overview with just one tap!
✨ Show off your trading results in 4 easy steps:
1️⃣ Tap the “Trade Card” icon on the post creation page
2️⃣ Choose a sharing type (positions/asset changes)
3️⃣ Select the data you want to display
4️⃣ Generate and post your personalized trading results card in seconds
Want to know how good your trades are? Show them off! Share your savvy moves and exchange strategies with top traders across the crypto community!
Try it now 👉 https://www.gate.com/post
💡 Friendly reminder: Update the Gate App to v8.41.0 or later to try the new feature.
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Market update
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LIVE5,654
$ETH historical structure ✍️
- 2016: short consolidation after the 2016 top
- 2019–2020: 2-year consolidation after the 2018 top
- 2022–2026: 4-year consolidation after the 2021 top
Same pattern, bigger base.
Next: 2027 could be the next cycle top and another ATH 🔥
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ETH-1.26%
Why do some traders review their trades every day and trade for a long time, yet their performance never improves?

They record every trade, study every loss, and even constantly adjust their strategy parameters.

But months pass, and the problems remain: losses keep recurring, trading rules are repeatedly revised, historical backtests look increasingly impressive, yet live trading shows no noticeable improvement.

The problem may not be a lack of effort in reviewing trades, but a flawed review method.

I. Remembering only profitable trades while overlooking the details of failures

People eas
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Jensen Huang went to college at 17. There were only 3 women in his class, one of whom was Lori, who later became his wife.
If you’ve seen photos of Lori when she was young, you can probably understand why Jensen Huang fell in love with her at first sight!
With her long, slightly wavy blonde hair and sweet, sunny smile, she looked just like a leading lady straight out of a 1990s Hollywood movie.
Their campus romance turned into a marriage after they graduated.
After the affair involving Jensen Huang and Huang Le came to light, Lori, his wife, has remained silent to this day.
The statements attr
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