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As of July 29, the bullish $66,000 scenario accounts for 44%, the bearish $62,000 scenario accounts for 41%, and their expectations are highly close; the bearish $60,000 scenario is only 16%, the lowest-probability direction in market consensus. In the short term, bullish-bear disagreement is extremely high, with no one-sided expectations.

7.29 Er Bing$ETH short-selling analysis
Entry: 1920 - 1930 short with a light position
Defensive stop-loss: 1975
First target: 1880
Second target: 1820
Er Bing’s intraday high touched 1928.90. After the push up, it turned into a continuous choppy downward move. Each rebound peak gradually declined. The upward rebound momentum kept weakening, and the overall market clearly showed a bearish dominance. During the rally, bulls lacked incremental capital follow-through throughout the entire process, so they couldn’t form an effective and sustained push higher. In the pullback phase, bearish sellin

Kingdee Shengjia~ The dung beetle International Alliance community is awesome!

Good morning, everyone.
The main focus in the current market is centered on the progress of the US-Iran negotiations and the Fed’s upcoming rate decision.
Trump said that both sides of the US-Iran talks are in “good negotiations.” The related news pushed international oil prices down in the short term, temporarily easing geopolitical risk, and also relieving the crypto market’s safe-haven pressure.
As for the Federal Reserve, the market currently expects there is a 69.5% probability that this meeting will keep interest rates unchanged, and a 30.5% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike. In

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Whale alert: $SKHX shorts piling up as price slides, with 0xEbE1 up over $10M and $1.23M in funding fees earned. 🚨 If the trend persists, watch for continued short pressure and potential liquidity hits. $SKHX

$ZIL Signal | Go Long · Deep Negative Funding Rate + 4H Bullish
$ZIL The 4H MACD histogram is still expanding, but the 1H shows the early formation of a double top. After the spike to 3.16, funds quickly withdrew; the 1H closed with a large bearish candle, with sell pressure actively pushing the price down. Deep imbalance at -11.6%—buying-side defense is weak—but the funding rate at -0.5869% is an extreme negative value; shorts need to pay high fees, and short-squeeze momentum is building.
🎯Direction: long
⚡Entry/Orders: 0.00266697 - 0.00267500
🛑Stop-loss: 0.00264825
🚀Target 1: 0.00271512
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$BEAT Signal: 1H fund inflow drives a breakout; the bulls continue
$BEAT In the 4H Bollinger midline around 3.39, a pullback was completed. On the 1H MACD, there is a golden cross and the histogram bars expand; buyers actively push the price to above 3.46. The funding rate is 0.005%, which is relatively low, and sell pressure is limited. Last week, three tests of 3.28 were quickly pulled back each time; there is a clear willingness to absorb below.
🎯 Direction: long
⚡ Entry / orders: 3.45859 - 3.46900
🛑 Stop-loss: 3.43431
🚀 Target 1: 3.52103
🚀 Target 2: 3.54705
🛡️ Trade management: - Ex

Iranian missiles wake up crude oil! $CL surged from 80 to 83—just as Trump had called for a ceasefire, he got slapped in the face. How high can the bulls push this move?
Brothers, crude oil’s script is more thrilling than a movie.
Last night it was still hovering around the 80 level; this morning, Iran directly threw four ballistic missiles at the U.S. military bases in Jordan. WTI crude oil within 10 minutes jumped from $78.5 straight to $83.3, with a rise of more than 5%. Trump only just hit the pause button last Friday and said they should give negotiations a chance—then Iran turned around

Ionic Digital jumps 26% on Nasdaq debut, closing at $62.90 and a roughly $2.8B market cap. Potential signal of renewed investor appetite for Bitcoin miners and AI infrastructure plays. $ICD

Ethereum staking entry queue swells to 2.53M ETH as exit queue holds zero.

$ETH Signal | 1H bulls continue, funds backstop for long positions
$ETH 1H MACD golden cross continues, with the current price holding above EMA20. Buy-side depth is stronger than 1.20, and selling pressure is quickly absorbed. RSI 51.47 is neutral but slightly strong; the Bollinger middle band at 1902 provides support. Although the 4H MACD is a death cross, buy-side demand keeps pushing higher; a short-term break above 1928 will open room.
🎯Direction: long
⚡Entry/Orders: 1905.7456 - 1911.4800
🛑Stop-loss: 1892.3652
🚀Target 1: 1940.1522
🚀Target 2: 1954.4883
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution

#SECChairOptimisticOnCLARITYAct
SEC Chair Optimistic on Clarity Act, But Senate Clock Is Running Out ✨
SEC Chair Paul Atkins expressed optimism that Congress will pass the Clarity Act and that the SEC is providing technical support. However, the legislative window is rapidly closing, and the numbers tell a story of dwindling odds.
The Bill and the Sticking Points
🔹 The Clarity Act aims to create a comprehensive federal regulatory framework for digital assets, splitting oversight between the SEC and CFTC based on whether the token is classified as a security or a commodity.
🔹 The House vers

【$BTW Signal】After a break above in the 1H timeframe, a pullback confirmation; bullish momentum is still there
$BTW RSI 1H 60.26, the 4H MACD histogram bars are expanding without weakening, but the bid/ask order-book depth ratio is only 0.50, with sell-side limit orders showing more weight. The funding rate is extremely low at 0.0249%, OI remains stable, and squeeze conditions are not yet mature. For the short-term, bulls have support in the 0.0947-0.0950 range; a stop loss at 0.0903 is acceptable. The risk-reward ratio is 1.5, placing it in a moderately stable trading range.
🎯 Direction: Go

I don’t understand Changxin on Hyperliquid.
At the open, you said there was a premium for T+0.
Why is it trading at such a big discount now?
Who exactly is shorting it?
$CXMT

Today’s thoughts for 2Bing this morning
Operations:
Short on the rebound around 1920–1930
First target: 1900–1850
Second target: 1800–1750
Set a proper stop-loss
2Bing’s intraday rebound is clearly being capped by the moving-average cluster above; the swing highs keep stepping lower, and sell pressure remains near the upper Bollinger Band. After a death cross at a high MACD level, the green histogram bars continue to expand, while bearish strength is steadily increasing. The RSI has slipped into a weak zone, and rebound momentum is shrinking. Overall, the market is still in a downward channel—

LATEST: Michael Saylor says Bitcoin’s biggest threat is internal consensus rule changes, not external competition, warning they could erode scarcity and long-term network security.
#StrategyInitiatesSTRCBuyback #saylor