#加密市场观察 Oil market outlook: multiple parties’ interests converge—only one path remains to break the deadlock downward
Oil has rapidly fallen back from above $94, and is currently ranging around the $80 level and looks increasingly unstable—validating the earlier judgment: the uptrend in oil prices driven by Middle East geopolitical conflict can no longer be sustained, and rapid pullbacks have become the market’s choice.
From a global perspective, the current standoff over shipping lanes has reached a predicament where all sides lose: continued lane deterrence and de facto navigation being obst

The Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be released at 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on July 30!
Please take precautions against risks.

BTC is now around 63.8 thousand, up slightly by 0.3% today. After the past two days smashed down to that key support at 63.5 thousand, this time it seems to have held and not continued to break down.
Over the week, it’s still down, down 4%, but looking back over a month the upside has actually expanded: it’s up to 8.2%. This suggests that the monthly chart’s base is firmer than previously thought. The 24-hour high is 64 thousand, the low is 62.8 thousand. Today it first dipped down and then rebounded, a typical bottoming reversal.
That support area I’ve been watching—between 63.5 thousand and

Only 300 and you already hit a bottleneck? Is there anyone here who can help an old friend break through?

7.29 Morning Market Outlook
After consolidating from the high point and then drifting steadily lower, the earlier short (sell) trend has been fully realized. After probing down to the 62,680 low last night, a rebound and corrective repair followed. This rebound is still a repair phase; the key resistance overhead remains, and the sustained strength of the bulls is yet to be tested.
On the 15-minute cycle, the market is currently oscillating and moving upward in a corrective repair. This is merely a rebound buffer after the sell-off, and it has not yet fully overturned the prior large bearish s

Daily iFVG gave the bias.
NY Low was the DOL.
15m liq sweep + SMT with XAG.
1m Asia entry off iFVG & FVG.
Price closed into the move.
Top down. No guesswork. 📉

7.29 BTC Analysis
Analysis: Short near the rebound at 64,000–64,500, defend at 65,000, and watch 63,000–62,000.
For BTC from the hourly chart: after a rally to 65,700 in the early stage, it then fell sharply, with the low probing down to 62,600. After the drop, this is only a technical rebound and rebound repair. In the short term, the rebound price has hit moving-average resistance, and the rebound momentum is gradually fading; overall, the bigger picture remains weak. Volatility on the board is increasing—don’t chase the move up. Wait to enter at the rebound resistance level; strictly contro

The Final Chapter of the Bitcoin Bear Market: A Data-Driven Breakdown
【Plain-Language Intro】On-chain data indicates that Bitcoin has entered the late stage of the bear market. The historical high concentration of holdings among long-term holders reached 84%, and the near end of short-term capitulation shows the market is shifting from “pain” to “accumulation.”
Although a bottoming framework is starting to take shape, key momentum and institutional capital flows have not yet broken through resistance; in the short term, downside risk still needs to be watched closely, and a full recovery will t

A few days ago, during the afternoon session, the market repeatedly whipsawed—watching it made people a bit sleepy. The real move was actually hidden at the high level. $LTC It didn’t look like there was any clear breakdown, but in reality, every rebound failed to follow through with volume. The moment sell orders came in, the price immediately lost the key level.

At the time, I wasn’t misled by the apparent sideways range. After re-checking LTC, I found that selling pressure above kept holding down consistently, and the lack of adequate bids became increasingly obvious. So around 53.67, I

7.29 SOL order book analysis

Direction: The high point meets resistance with choppy consolidation and a pullback. The short-term trend is weak. Use rallies to place positions while controlling risk.
Control: Around 73.60-73.85. Stop-loss above 74.10. Targets: 72.90 / 72.40.

After SOL pushed up and hit the 74.55 high, the breakout momentum gradually ran out. The price then moved into a downward oscillation. Current price is 73.26. Repeated tests of the upper high fail to break through. In the near term, the moving averages have turned downward, forming resistance. Attempts to push higher re

As of July 29, 2026 (Wednesday), Bitcoin futures technicals show a choppy but bearish-leaning setup. After the price fell from last week’s high point and then rebounded from oversold conditions, it is now facing a critical choice of direction. The key takeaways are as follows:
📉 Trends and patterns
· Overall trend bearish: Since the high of $66,924, the pullback has confirmed a “bull trap,” and the daily EMA is in a dead-cross configuration (50 EMA < 200 EMA), with the downward trend unchanged.
· Key resistance: Heavy pressure above is concentrated in the 64,200-64,800 range, near the interse

Listen, my Korean girl friend said that the flights to Hefei for Koreans are fully booked for the next two months…
They dumped their ex-boyfriend who works at Hynix $SKHY and flew to Hefei to go on blind dates…
Looks like $CXMT has brought in the next generation of Korean mixed-blood kids for people in China—especially the guys in Hefei…
Tag your Hefei guys and make sure you go to the upcoming blind-dating events, okay

$DEXE is already at the bottom—buy more the more it drops

Ondo has been charting the path of making RWA on-chain for two years
Now they’re moving on—private high-speed transaction networks are more reliable
This isn’t a small team turning around
Ondo is the biggest banner in the RWA narrative
BlackRock’s BUIDL followed their route
They found something
Real institutional trading doesn’t care about decentralization
What they want is speed, privacy, and certainty
Blockchain can’t deliver all three
What’s interesting is that BlackRock and Fidelity just co-backed the Clarity Act
One side is legislating to push compliance; on the other,

The market has really left people scratching their heads lately. The moment the policy direction shifts, traders are like ants on a hot pan, scrambling to find an exit route for themselves. Look at that August federal funds futures contract—its open interest has jumped straight to over 900,000 positions, higher than last October by a noticeable margin. Behind this number is everyone’s complete uncertainty about what the Federal Reserve will do next. Some people are betting on rate cuts, others are betting on rate hikes—the disagreement is so huge it’s almost unbelievable, and even old hands sa

JUST IN: Caixin reports that in Zou Shiming’s debt case, P2P and virtual currencies are among the few assets with potential recovery if platforms aren’t liquidated or wallets remain traceable. $BTC ? $ETH ?

July 29, 2026 Market Analysis:
XAU: Yesterday, the “yellow fish” longs entered at 4040 and 4020 respectively. They only ate a small move of 10 points each, totaling 20 points. As in yesterday morning’s analysis, with this kind of market, you basically can only trade short-term scalps on the 5-minute timeframe. Today’s market is similar: both longs and shorts are not easy to play, so the main focus is still scalping around key levels on the 5-minute timeframe. For longs, you can try at 3985 and 3960. For shorts, it’s more prudent to look around 4055.
ETH: Yesterday the community calls were long