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The Fed releases June FOMC minutes at 2:00 AM tonight!
June kept rates unchanged at 3.5-3.75%, new chair Warsh emphasized "firm control of inflation", SEP raised 2026 inflation forecast to 3.6%. Energy/tariff supply shocks + labor resilience are core
Rational scenario:
✅ Baseline (60%): Neutral-to-hawkish, inflation risk discussion dominates → BTC range-bound (62-63.5k)
✅ Dovish surprise: Sees shocks as temporary → short-term breakout above 63k+
❌ Hawkish: Stronger tightening signal → test 60k support
7/14 CPI is the highlight. Position discipline first, let data speak!
What's your take on BTC's reaction tonight? [Poll]
A. Mostly range-bound
B. Bullish breakout
C. Pullback to test support