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- Price Analysis: XRP Trades Amid Weak Momentum:
XRP's price hovers around $1.23 while remaining under a bearish bias in the short term as it stays below the 50-day exponential moving average at $1.28, with the 100-day EMA at $1.38 and the 200-day EMA at $1.58, reinforcing a multi-layered overhead supply zone.
The descending resistance line, with its main breakout level around $1.32, limits the recovery. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has turned positive on the daily chart, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 51, indicating an improvement in bullish momentum but still fragile.
Daily chart of the XRP/USDT pair
In the bullish trend, initial resistance is at the 50-day EMA around $1.28, followed by a breakout level near $1.32. Sustained突破 of these barriers is required to reach the 100-day EMA at approximately $1.38, then the 200-day EMA near $1.58.
If supply and demand surpass each other, pullbacks from current levels could make XRP vulnerable to further declines toward $1.00 on the daily chart until demand stabilizes.
$XRP
Ripple (XRP) remains above $1.23 at the time of writing this report on Tuesday, affected by a slight dip in potential gains. Although overall market sentiment has improved driven by news of a peace agreement between the United States and Iran to end the war in the Middle East, capital inflows remain notably weak.
The official peace agreement is scheduled to be signed on Friday, with the United States expected to lift the maritime blockade on Iranian ports while Iran reopens the Strait of Hormuz, which has been constricted since the outbreak of the war.
- Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) for XRP recorded modest capital inflows.
Institutional interest in XRP stabilized on Monday, with ETFs recording slight inflows of $2.82 million. Total assets under management have risen again to over $1 billion, while total inflows reached $1.44 billion, according to SoSoValue data.
If demand remains weak, the continued absence of large capital flows through ETFs could keep price performance pressured downward.
XRP ETF Capital Flows | Source: SoSoValue
Open interest in XRP futures contracts is gradually increasing but remains significantly low compared to the record open interest volume of $10.94 billion in July. Data from CoinGlass indicates that the average open interest volume was $2.77 billion on Tuesday, up from $2.54 billion the previous day.
Derivatives data also highlight a direct relationship between the derivatives market and XRP price, which could often increase the chances of an extended rebound as long as retail demand expands.
$XRP