🇺🇸 The US FY26 budget deficit is at its third-highest level in history


🔴In the first 8 months of the fiscal year, the US has a budget shortfall of 1.2 trillion USD — the third-largest ever. This level is only surpassed by FY21 (the period of massive COVID stimulus) and FY24.
And there are still 4 months left until the fiscal year ends (September 30). In fiscal year 2021, the large deficit was due to the US launching emergency relief packages during the pandemic.
🔴The large deficit this year occurs in the absence of any clear crisis. The deficit is reinforced by a trio: increased spending + tax revenues not keeping pace + high interest rates are pushing debt costs to risky levels.
🔴Persistent deficits are putting pressure on the Fed to keep interest rates high longer, but at the same time, the Treasury must issue large amounts of debt. Market liquidity is more complex than ever.
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