🔥Tech is outperforming the market the most since the Dot-com bubble
The Info Tech sector is currently outperforming the overall market by an average of ~9% per year over a 10-year timeframe—the highest level in the entire industry in the US. This outperformance has nearly doubled since the 2020 pandemic.
The ~9% figure matches the peak of the commodities group during the supercycle period of 2008–2011—the last time an industry reached a similar dominance.
For comparison, at the peak of the Dot-com bubble in 2000, tech outperformed the market by ~13% per year; the historical peak of ~15% belon

IBM0.24%

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emilyvuong

07-21 12:34

🔥Midterm year in the presidential term — the stock market adjustment rate is 100% in the last 13 times
Since 1974, the US has had 13 midterm election cycles — all 13 times the S&P 500 saw a sharp pullback afterward (average -19%):
- 1974 Ford: -35%
- 1978 Carter: -15%
- 1982 Reagan: -17%
- 1986 Reagan: -10%
- 1990 George H.W. Bush: -20%
- 1994 Clinton: -8%
- 1998 Clinton: -22%
- 2002 George W. Bush: -34%
- 2006 George W. Bush: -8%
- 2010 Obama: -17%
- 2014 Obama: -10%
- 2018 Trump: -20%
- 2022 Biden: -27%
- 2026 Trump: ???
More evidence against the rise in US stocks’ price momentum:
- The new

SPX500-1.15%

F-1.80%

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07-21 02:33

🔥China is quietly accumulating gold — the real figure is nearly 5 times the official report
Goldman Sachs has just released an estimate that China bought more than 48 tons of gold through London OTC markets in May — the largest monthly purchase in more than 1 year.
Discrepancy between actual figures and announced data
- PBoC officially reported +10 tons for May -> GS’s estimated figure is 4.8 times higher
- In June, PBoC continued to announce +15 tons — the highest monthly level in at least 2.5 years, marking the 20th consecutive month of rising gold reserves
- Cumulatively since the start of

GS-2.18%

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emilyvuong

07-20 12:20

🔥The current S&P 500 bull run is the strongest surge in history since 1928
The S&P 500 has risen +95% since the end of 2022, putting this current upcycle into the strongest bull markets in history.
For comparison, the top 25% of bull markets in history have gained only about +50% over the same time period, while the median bull market has reached just ~35% after 3.5 years. Specifically, from the April 2025 low, the S&P 500 has surged +51%.
This rally is driven by expectations that S&P 500 EPS will grow 23% in 2026, the strongest since 2021. But because it has run faster than 90% of historical

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07-19 10:18

📍South Korea rewrites its national asset law after 76 years—crypto is recognized as an asset
The South Korean Ministry of Economy and Finance has announced the National Asset Basic Act, replacing the 1950 National Asset Act. From here, crypto + intellectual property will officially be included in the state asset category valued at about ~$940B.
South Korea will also pilot tokenized government bonds in 2027, connecting with the BOK’s CBDC. The Digital Asset Basic Act in the second half of 2026 will start with won stablecoins + pave the way for spot BTC ETFs.
On the same day, Japan passes

BTC-1.66%

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07-17 11:14

🔥US consumer credit continues to fall: Have Americans run out of confidence to swipe their cards?
The Fed’s G.19 report for May has raised concerns in the market:
- Total consumer credit fell $182M times, the first decline since November 2024, while the market expected an increase of $17.5B
- Revolving credit (mainly credit cards) dropped sharply by $5.3B, fully reversing after 2 months of consecutive gains above $10B months
- Non-revolving credit (auto loans + student loans) only rose by $5.1B, the weakest since the beginning of the year
- The average credit card interest rate climbed to 2

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07-16 08:24

🔥The U.S. economy is dependent on AI spending: More than $1 in every $4 of growth
Data has confirmed what has been suspected since the AI bubble began: AI investment has truly become the largest driver of growth in the U.S. economy.
- AI investment (software + IT equipment + R&D + data centers, per the Fed methodology) contributes more than 25% of nominal GDP growth—the highest in history (since 1947)
- The scale of AI spending reaches ~8% of GDP, exceeding the Dot-com bubble peak of ~6.5% in 2000
- Q1/2026: Business investment contributes 1.48 percentage points to growth, for the first time

MSFT-2.24%

AMZN-4.56%

META-3.35%

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07-16 03:52

📍Warsh testifies before Congress: "Inflation is a choice, and the Fed chose to end it"
🔴On 14–15/7, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh held his first semiannual testimony before Congress since taking office. The message throughout was: The mission on inflation is not yet complete.
🔴Warsh vowed to end five years of high inflation, reiterated the 2% target, and affirmed that the FOMC is "unrelenting toward persistent inflation".
CPI released in time for the testimony: -0.4% M/M, Y/Y down to 3.5% from 4.2%, core 2.6%.
-> Warsh said: "Some people look at the data this morning and say the job is done. That i

BTC-1.21%

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07-16 01:48

🔥Jito releases JIP-38: commits 100% of JTX revenue to repurchase and burn JTO
🔴Jito has just posted a proposal for JIP-38 on the governance forum, officially positioning the network under a “token-centric” model—consolidating all ecosystem value into the token $JTO .

🔴Key contents of the proposal:
- 100% of the DAO revenue share received from the JTX marketplace (equivalent to 80% of total platform fees) will be used to buy back JTO on the open market and burn it permanently, lasting at least 1 year from the launch of JTX through Q4/2027
- The remaining 20% of fees will be reinvested into

JTO-0.48%

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07-15 13:12

🔥Strategy raises an additional $467M, third consecutive week without buying Bitcoin
An 8-K filing on 13/07 confirmed that Strategy continues to stay out of the BTC market, focusing all efforts on strengthening its cash reserve fund:
- Sold 4.8M MSTR shares via the ATM channel in the week of 06–12/07, netting $466.7M — all deployed into the USD Reserve, lifting the fund from $2.55B to $3B (+18% in just 1 week)
- Did not buy more BTC for the third consecutive week. The most recent purchase was on 22/06 with only 520 BTC (~$35M)
- The $3B fund is currently sufficient to cover 20.4 months of pre

MSTR-6.30%

BTC-1.21%

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07-15 12:22

🔥Short-term holders are willing to let go with $BTC : 32.8K BTC pushed to exchanges at a loss
🔴In just the past 24 hours, the short-term holder group (STH — holding $BTC <155 days) transferred 32,800 BTC to trading exchanges at a loss, equivalent to about $2B based on the current price. This is the largest stop-loss event in the last 2 weeks (previously, ~50K BTC was sold at a loss when BTC broke below the $60K range).
🔴The average cost basis of the STH group is ~$69K , while the LTH group’s is still around ~$49.7K and has not yet been threatened.
🔴What’s important is that this sell-

BTC-1.21%

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07-14 14:00

🔥U.S. CPI in June beats expectations unexpectedly well
🔴BLS has just released June inflation data, which is so good for the market it’s almost unbelievable:
- Headline falls 0.4% MoM (forecast -0.2%), bringing annual inflation back to 3.5% from 4.2% in May—the sharpest month-over-month decline since April 2020
- Core CPI is flat at 0.0% MoM (forecast +0.2%), taking the 12-month increase to 2.6% from 2.9%
- Energy tumbles 5.7% during the month; gasoline falls 9.7% after crude oil drops more than 20% thanks to the U.S.-Iran ceasefire order on 17/6
- Especially, Shelter rises only 0.1%, food +0

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07-14 13:26

🔥Korea’s stock market goes through a “black Monday,” with KOSPI shedding nearly 9%
KOSPI fell 669 points (-8.95%) to 6,806.93, wiping out ~$310B of market capitalization. South Korea’s stock market triggered the trading halt mechanism for the 7th time this year—in the history of KOSPI, it has only been triggered a total of 13 times.
Focus on SK Hynix
- Down 15.37%—its worst session in 17 years—losing ~$200B in value, and down 38% from the peak on 25/06
- The plunge came just 3 days after its ADR debuted on Nasdaq, raising $26.5B—the largest-ever U.S. IPO by a non-U.S. company.
-> The price

SK Hynix4.86%

SKHY2.54%

SKHYV-0.98%

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07-14 06:36

🔥Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF inflows return after 8 weeks: Has the bottom come close?
For the week ending 10/07, spot ETF flows in the US officially turned positive again after a streak of long, record-breaking capital outflows:
- BTC ETF: +$197.4M — first positive week since early May, ending an 8-week consecutive negative streak (the longest since launch)
- ETH ETF: +$84.4M — also ends an 8-week outflow streak
-> Total net assets rebound: BTC ETF up to $77.42B, ETH ETF up to $9.59B as Fed Warsh signals that inflation risks are cooling, alongside a weaker jobs report that reinforces expectation

BTC-1.66%

ETH-2.59%

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07-14 01:25

🔥Top 10 US stocks now account for 43% of the S&P 500
The current top 10 largest companies account for 43% of the S&P 500’s market cap, near the all-time high. This figure has stayed above 40% for the past 12 months.
A decade ago, this share was only about 18–20%, meaning it has doubled within just 1 decade. By contrast, the smallest 250 companies in the index now account for only ~7% of market cap, the lowest since at least 2014, down by half versus 10 years ago.
-> The top 10 are valued at more than 6 times the total of the smallest 250 companies combined. At the peak of the dot-com bubble i

SPX500-1.15%

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07-13 07:30

🔥Bitcoin breaks a record as it trades at a level far below gold: The signal that previously marked the start of a 660% surge in $BTC
the BTC/Gold ratio has just hit the deepest oversold level in history:
- The BTC/Gold oscillator is at -1.81 standard deviations from its long-term trend—lower than the 4-year average (-1.42), and the deepest since 2010.
- 1 BTC currently buys only ~15.9 oz of gold, versus more than 30 oz at the start of 2025 and a long-term average of ~63 oz.
-> The double cause is that BTC is down ~32% since the start of the year (with June alone down 20%—the worst in 4 years)

BTC-1.21%

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07-13 01:08

🔥Is the Fed doing “stealth QE”?
The Fed’s balance sheet has risen again:
- The latest peak ~$6.74T at the end of June — the highest since April 2025, up ~$200B (+3.1%) from the trough ~$6.53T at the beginning of December 2025
- Before that was 3.5 years of QT: From the peak ~$8.97T (04/2022) down to $6.53T, withdrawing ~$2.4T from the system
-> Official QT ended on 01/12/2025. From 12/12/2025, the Fed began buying T-bills via the “Reserve Management Purchases” (RMP) program, starting at $40B/month. The reason is that in Q4/2025 the repo market was under strain, the SRF was withdrawn sharply

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