Yang Guang bit | June 16 $ETH Precise Strategy Full Trend Control

Entry Timing
Initial Position Range: When the price rebounds to the 1835-1845 zone
Adding Positions: 1855-1865 zone
Stop Loss Setting
Set above 1885
Tiered Take Profit
First Target: 1800
Second Target: 1780
Today’s Outlook
Core Logic: Exhaustion of the rebound momentum and profit-taking at high levels
Recently, the easing of US-Iran geopolitical tensions has led to a macro risk appetite recovery, Ethereum followed the market to experience a pulse-like rebound, with the 4-hour level rising over 12% from the low point of 1653. Short-term market sentiment has been fully priced in, and the bullish upward momentum is gradually weakening. On-chain data shows that as the price breaks through the $1800 level, exchange net inflows continue to rise, and early low-position profits are being realized and exited at highs. On a larger scale, ETH spot ETFs still maintain a net outflow trend, and institutions have not increased their positions during the rebound. This round of rise is mainly driven by retail investors chasing gains and short covering, with a lack of sustained incremental capital support. The derivatives market’s open interest remains high, funding rates continue to rise, and bullish sentiment is overheated, indicating a need for a correction to clear leverage. Technically, the 1-hour chart shows volume contraction and stagnation after reaching a high of 1848.78, with consecutive bearish candles, indicating heavy selling pressure above and a clear short-term divergence between volume and price. It is expected that today’s market will enter a wide-range consolidation and decline phase, mainly trading between 1780 and 1850. $ETH