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6.15 Monday BTC Evening Outlook
Boosted by the easing of US-Iran negotiations in Doha, BTC rebounded from lows during the day, currently trading around 66,200. On the macro level, Middle East geopolitical risks have significantly cooled, oil prices have weakened, easing inflation pressures, and market expectations for rate cuts have warmed, providing emotional support for risk assets; but the daily chart remains in a downward overall trend, with prices under pressure at the 20-day moving average of 66,686. In the evening, upward momentum gradually diminishes, the hourly MACD bullish momentum weakens, and short-term rebound strength is limited.
In the evening, focus on the resistance zone of 66,500-66,700; failure to stabilize may lead to profit-taking and pullback; key supports below are 64,600 and 63,600. Holding above 64,600 maintains the short-term consolidation pattern; once broken, the rebound trend ends. This round of rally is a short-term correction driven by events, and the medium- to long-term bearish structure has not reversed. Evening trading should not blindly chase longs, and a range-bound approach should be adopted, continuously monitoring the progress of the US-Iran agreement. Trading suggestion: watch 66,200-66,500 for a rebound, target 65,000, and if broken, $BTC look for 64,000.