Where will Bitcoin's bear market bottom be?



That's the question everyone's been asking.

There are many ways to get a glimpse of where $BTC might bottom.

But, here's a simple price action method that has worked for the past 15 years.

The RSI indicator on the monthly timeframe.

Historically, once it reaches oversold levels of 40-50, Bitcoin bottoms out.

But wait, that's the level it's at now.

Taking a bigger look, the RSI appears to be in a slight decline, forming a downward bearish channel.

The RSI is currently at 43.58. Based on the trendline, the next bottom should be around 35-38.

So we're probably not there yet, but we're very close. And even at current price, BTC is already interesting.
BTC1.75%
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GateUser-ced0257a
· 40m ago
43 to 35, the space isn't large but the time could be very long, grinding the bottom is the most uncomfortable
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GateUser-665eb149
· 58m ago
Monthly RSI 43.58, definitely not at extreme panic yet, let's wait a bit longer.
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AirdropSidequest
· 1h ago
Did this indicator become invalid in March 2020? I remember it directly reversed at that time.
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EraPuzzleMaster
· 1h ago
I go all-in on the 35-38 range, and I stake my claim as proof.
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GateUser-4590f4c6
· 1h ago
RSI lower channel at 35? That still means a drop of about 20%, get your wallet ready.
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GateUser-76dcd439
· 1h ago
Is the institutional era here? Are retail investor indicators still useful? I doubt it.
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GateUser-26f91b48
· 1h ago
I am gradually building my position; regardless of where the bottom is, this level offers a good value.
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CoconutWaterChillSquad
· 1h ago
Fifteen years of data samples are not really many; only 3-4 cycles have experienced true black swan events.
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RetroRadioEcho
· 1h ago
Range 35-38? I'll place an order and give it a try; anyway, I'm not losing money now.
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TheHiddenRisksBehindApy
· 1h ago
The RSI monthly chart is indeed a classic move, but history won't simply repeat itself. This time, with ETFs and institutional funds involved, the bottom structure might be different.
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