AriaNaka

$BTC My Current Market Thesis,
Price swept the range highs (81256), formed the SFP and rejected pretty strongly.
Now the market dynamics are leaning more towards bearish side,
With tons of liquidity stacked below us which imo should be taken out soon.
From my POV, what can happen next is that:
We could see a retest of 78.5k or TWO (78.9k), then form a lower high around there,
And head towards the lower POIs, which are monL (76.6k) and current range lows (75.6k).
Overall, so far our first major pivot worked out pretty well and now looking to see how price develops further.
Till then enjoy weeke

$BTC Shorts have been pretty aggressive over the past 24h, leaving behind $2.5B in potential short liquidations.
The largest cluster currently sits just above 78K, making it a likely target for a liquidity sweep.

$BTC First signs of weakness.
So far, this rally was driven by spot buying.
This, however, has now changed.
Spot CVD is declining while perps are pushing price higher.
This makes the move less sustainable and more vulnerable to leverage flushes.
We might see a pullback soon.

$BTC Halving Cycles Are Pointing Toward A Critical 2026 Turning Zone
Bitcoin has historically followed a striking rhythm around its four year halving cycle. The chart maps previous cycle tops, accumulation phases and major drawdowns against the November halving dates, showing how market structure repeatedly transitions from expansion into distribution and then back toward accumulation.
The technical signal here is not simply “BTC will repeat history.” The more interesting pattern is the timing of momentum exhaustion. Previous cycles saw explosive upside accelerate after the halving, followed

$BTC Update & Hyblock Heatmaps
+7% daily candle for Bitcoin, 17% for ETH. $NET is going parabolic and sitting at 3x from our entry. Finally, we're back!
BTC broke range high in a blink and just needed some hours for the daily SMA200 - but in the end, it is holding above.
Think the next real resistance is the box. We should have a quick bullish retest of one of the levels below after this pump.
But the real question comes in the box. 72k area is my target for some time as you know. Will look for shorts there.
But if 72k area holds, it's time to aim for 82k. Check chart.
Absolutely not sure whet

$BTC The current structure looks very similar to what we saw around the 2022 bear market bottom.
If the bottom is in, this pump should continue toward the mid-70Ks without breaking back below the previous 67K high.
This is the first time we’ve seen an impulse of this strength to the upside throughout this bear market. Moves like this don’t happen out of nowhere after such a prolonged period of consolidation.
I told you the bottom was in months in advance.
Now, everything will start to line up for those who faded the early signs.

$BTC Price pumped and squeezed all the shorts,
We had one of the biggest shorts liquidation event in a long time.
But we still have longs left to be rekt.
We are seeing a lot of FOMO longs entering and things are not gonna keep up like this for long.
I will be looking to build shorts in the manipulation zone (Entries will be shared in Discord),
And aim for the downside liquidity to be hunted.
Remember we are in the mFVG and I am not gonna fade a HTF fvg, which has worked the entire bear market.
+ We still have like 40-60 days left for the bear market compared to historical data,
Considerin

The $BTC CVD indicator shows buying by whales.
Retail investors sold during the short-term decline. However, buying by whales continues to maintain an increase trend.
There are still no large-scale sell or buy walls. Furthermore, large-scale selling by whales has not been confirmed.
The positive trend is continuing.

$BTC
Monday pivot low.
Wednesday pivot high.
Monday formed a low, meaning that if the intra-week pattern holds, Wednesday should form a pivot high.
The Wednesday pivot typically drives price into Thursday.
Last week, the mid-week pivot failed to play out, so the algos may be shifting...
This intra-week pattern has played out 12/16 times.

$BTC From the past 1.5 months, price has been forming these un-swept levels,
Which are engineering liquidity on the downside,
And looking at the overall structure now, I think we are ready to break below and hunt all that liquidity.
Price also cleared the internal liquidity at 65.4k and rejected from there.
Now the next major hunt is gonna be, price breaking below that trendline and collect all the liquidity below.
On the LTF, we still have EQHs at 64.5k, so it's still possible we might see a push to there and then dump straight down after sweeping it,
But those EQHs can also be frontrun, tha

Although $BTC is showing a downtrend, there is almost no selling pressure in the spot market.
The CVD indicator shows that net buying is increasing during the downtrend. Spot investors are actually buying.
There are still no large-scale buy or sell walls.

$ETH This Adam & Eve Double Bottom setup looks perfect.
The standard confirmation for an Adam & Eve bottom is acceptance above the neckline, which in our case sits at 1848.
We're also seeing a handle forming right above the neckline, further confirming acceptance and making this look more like a re-accumulation schematic before expansion to the upside.
As long as we continue holding the neckline, It's extremely likely we see a push all the way into the 2157-2278 region over the coming weeks, where we have an Untapped Weekly FVG.
The invalidation for this particular Adam & Eve idea would be a

$BTC Capitulation already happened.
Looking at the past two bear markets, we can see that the weekly RSI entered extreme oversold territory both times.
In 2018, it marked the exact bottom, while in 2022, one final leg down followed.
This time, the RSI once again reached extreme oversold territory, and since then we’ve seen additional downside just like in the previous cycle.
Does that mean the bottom has to be in?
No, but it does suggest that the remaining downside is limited, while the upside offers a much better RR from here.
Time to bid, imo.

Last cycle, $BTC started its recovery before any major good news hit the market.
Even before the ETF rumours and the big catalysts appeared, BTC had already recovered from the lows.
So it makes sense that we could see something similar this time around. The real question is what catalyst will drive it.
Right now, the narrative forming seems to be the clarity act. Timing an approval, or even predicting when it might happen, is difficult.
But if it does become the catalyst, it would likely mark the beginning of BTC’s first meaningful leg up after the first bear market recovery, with the approval

The $BTC CVD indicator shows a net buying trend.
Buying is reviving after the decline. Red whales are leading the buying. Additionally, buying by the retail investor group is also increasing.
There are still no large buy or sell walls.
Furthermore, largest whales have shown no movement in this month. They are very quiet.