June 15 Monday BTC Morning Outlook

Based on the latest data up to June 15, 2026, after two days of震荡 trend over the weekend, Duo Tou started to take the lead early this morning. Bitcoin is currently in a weak震荡 correction phase after a sharp decline, with prices in the $65,000 to $65,500 range, rising slightly about 1% in 24 hours. Short-term resistance levels at $64,600-$65,000 have been broken. Market sentiment is fragile, with approximately $146 million in liquidations across the network in the past 24 hours, with both longs and shorts爆仓.
From a technical perspective, several key on-chain and indicator signals are worth noting. First, Bitcoin has fallen below the average cost basis (around $66,500) for short-term holders (on-chain positions <155 days). Historically, this usually indicates a shift from moderation to cooling. On the 4-hour chart, a potential bullish divergence has appeared — although the price made a lower low than in early May, the RSI low has risen, which is a short-term bullish signal, indicating weakening downward momentum. However, a quick breakout above $66,800 is needed to confirm.
In terms of trading strategy, the core view is "a rebound is not a reversal." As long as the price cannot stabilize above $66,800 (the midline of the daily chart), the overall trend remains bearish. It is recommended to mainly follow the trend and short.
For operational suggestions, look for a rebound at $65,800-$66,300, with a target of $64,000. If broken, look $BTC for $62,500.