Yang Guang bit | June 15 $ETH Precise Strategy Full Trend Control

Core Conclusion
ETH follows the market, driven by expectations of the US-Iran agreement implementation, experiencing an oversold rebound. The short-term price has surged to around 1730, a strong resistance zone. The major downward trend has not reversed. This rebound is purely emotion-driven, lacking fundamental support. After the positive sentiment is digested, the decline will resume, once again testing the 1600 integer level.
Today’s Outlook
Entry Timing
Gradually build short positions in the 1725-1735 range, add positions near 1740 if the price rises
Stop Loss Setting
Set stop loss above 1760 uniformly
Tiered Take Profit
First target: 1695-1705
Second target: 1675-1685
Third target: 1655-1665
Market Logic Breakdown
News
The US-Iran memorandum of understanding is nearing implementation, and the risk aversion sentiment continues to cool, driving a recovery in risk assets. The market has already fully priced in the positive expectations. A “buy the rumor, sell the fact” pattern could occur at any time. Although there are still uncertainties before the agreement is finalized, the momentum for further upward movement is clearly weakening.
Funds
ETH spot ETF continues to see net outflows, and institutions are not entering the market on the rebound; instead, they are reducing positions at high levels for cashing out. The rebound without additional capital support is unlikely to sustain.
On-chain data shows that whale addresses above 1700 are increasingly transferring out chips, with high-level selling pressure concentrated, making it very difficult to break through the 1730-1750 range. Resistance from trapped positions is very strong.
The contract market’s recent surge was accompanied by a large number of short liquidations, typical of a short squeeze. Currently, long positions are rapidly increasing, and retail traders chasing highs are overly enthusiastic, increasing the risk of concentrated long liquidations.
🚀 The market never lets prepared people down. What you lack is never the trend, but a clear strategy to precisely identify turning points. $ETH ‌#我的Gate交易时刻