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The 100 and 200 averages still represent important macro resistance levels.
👉 The 1.20 – 1.39 USD zone continues to act as a major resistance cluster.
📐 Fibonacci and market structure
Fibo 1.0 (cycle peak): $3.3800
Fibo 0.786: $2.8718
Fibo 0.618: $2.4728
Fibo 0.5: $2.1926
Fibo 0.382: $1.9123
Fibo 0.236: $1.5656
Fibo 0 (cycle bottom): $1.0051
XRP remains well below the key Fibonacci 0.236 level ($1.5656).
The price is currently trading just above the cycle bottom support zone.
The market structure continues to form lower highs and lower lows.
No significant bullish reversal has been confirmed.
👉 Staying below the 0.236 Fibonacci level maintains the overall bearish trend decisively.
🧠 Market structure overview (ICT concepts)
XRP continues to respect a long-term downward trendline.
Previous rallies were sharply rejected from supply zones.
The recent collapse wiped out nearby sell liquidity and pushed the price toward cycle lows.
The current structure reflects:
Continuous bearish order flow
Weak recovery attempts
Ongoing formation of lower highs
Strong supply pressure overhead
The price is now approaching a critical support zone where buyers may attempt to defend the market.
👉 Breaking below the cycle bottom zone could lead to another significant downside expansion.
📉 RSI momentum
RSI (14): 35
Momentum remains weak despite a small bounce from oversold levels.
RSI is still trading below the neutral 50 zone.
The bearish momentum continues to dominate the overall trend structure.
👉 Short-term rebounds are still possible, but trend confirmation remains absent.
📊 Key levels
🔴 Resistance
$1.20 — Immediate resistance / 20 EMA
$1.29 — 50 EMA resistance
$1.39 — 100 EMA resistance
$1.57 — Fibonacci 0.236 resistance
$1.59 — Macro 200 EMA resistance
🟢 Support
$1.13 — Current support zone
$1.10 — Local demand zone
$1.005 — Cycle bottom / major support
$1.00 — Psychological support level
📌 Summary
XRP remains under significant pressure with the price trading below all major moving averages and key Fibonacci resistance levels. The recent collapse maintains the overall bearish trend, while the price is near the cycle bottom zone.
✅ Reclaiming the $1.20 – $1.39 range could improve short-term sentiment and open the way toward $1.57.
❌ Losing the $1.10 – $1.00 support zone could trigger another wave of selling and a new cycle bottom.
👉 Overall, XRP remains in a defensive market structure. Bulls need a confirmed breakout above the EMA resistance cluster and the downtrend line to shift momentum in their favor.
$XRP
XRP continues trading within a strong bearish structure after breaking below multiple support levels and failing to reclaim key resistance zones. Price is currently consolidating around the $1.13 support area, with sellers maintaining dominance across higher timeframes.
The broader market structure remains defensive, and bullish momentum is still absent unless XRP can reclaim major resistance levels overhead.
📈 EMA Structure (Strongly Bearish)
20 EMA: $1.2040
50 EMA: $1.2907
100 EMA: $1.3860
200 EMA: $1.5942
XRP remains below all major EMAs
Bearish EMA alignment persists (20 < 50 < 100 < 200)
Recent recovery attempts continue facing rejection from the 20 EMA
The 100 EMA and 200 EMA remain significant macro resistance levels
👉 The $1.20 – $1.39 zone continues acting as a major resistance cluster.
📐 Fibonacci & Market Structure
1.0 Fib (Cycle High): $3.3800
0.786 Fib: $2.8718
0.618 Fib: $2.4728
0.5 Fib: $2.1926
0.382 Fib: $1.9123
0.236 Fib: $1.5656
0 Fib (Cycle Low): $1.0051
XRP remains well below the key 0.236 Fibonacci level ($1.5656)
Price is currently trading just above the cycle-low support region
Market structure continues printing lower highs and lower lows
No meaningful bullish market structure shift has been confirmed
👉 Remaining below the 0.236 Fib keeps the broader trend decisively bearish.
🧠 Market Structure Insight (ICT Concepts)
XRP continues respecting a long-term descending trendline
Previous rallies have been aggressively rejected from supply zones
Recent breakdown swept nearby sell-side liquidity and pushed price toward cycle lows
Current structure reflects:
Persistent bearish order flow
Weak recovery attempts
Continued lower-high formation
Strong overhead supply pressure
Price is now approaching a critical support zone where buyers may attempt to defend the market.
👉 A breakdown below the cycle-low region could trigger another significant downside expansion.
📉 RSI Momentum
RSI (14): 35
Momentum remains weak despite a small bounce from oversold levels
RSI is still trading below the neutral 50 zone
Bearish momentum continues to dominate overall trend structure
👉 Short-term relief rallies remain possible, but trend confirmation is still lacking.
📊 Key Levels
🔴 Resistance
$1.20 — Immediate resistance / 20 EMA
$1.29 — 50 EMA resistance
$1.39 — 100 EMA resistance
$1.57 — 0.236 Fibonacci resistance
$1.59 — 200 EMA macro resistance
🟢 Support
$1.13 — Current support zone
$1.10 — Local demand area
$1.005 — Cycle low / major support
$1.00 — Psychological support level
📌 Summary
XRP remains under significant pressure as price continues trading below all major moving averages and key Fibonacci resistance levels. The recent breakdown keeps the broader trend bearish, while price hovers near cycle-low territory.
✅ Reclaiming $1.20 – $1.39 could improve short-term sentiment and open the path toward $1.57
❌ Losing the $1.10 – $1.00 support region could trigger another wave of selling and new cycle lows
👉 Overall, XRP remains in a defensive market structure. Bulls need a confirmed breakout above the EMA resistance cluster and descending trendline to shift momentum back in their favor.
$XRP