June 15–19 Auntie Tai Long-term Analysis and Poetry Viewpoint

1. Long-term Forecast $ETH
Overall Bitcoin shows weak oscillation with coordinated movement, in the range of 1580-1750.
Strong support at 1580-1620, stabilization here is a long-term low-buy opportunity; strong resistance at 1700-1750, an effective breakthrough could see prices above 1800.
Next week, first retest the bottom and then follow with a rebound, closely watch the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on 6.17 and Bitcoin’s movement rhythm.

2. News Outlook

Bullish: Geopolitical sentiment warms, Bitcoin drives market recovery, repeatedly building a bottom around the 1600 level, combined with Ethereum upgrade expectations supporting the long-term trend.
Bearish: Ethereum funds continue to flow out, high interest rate environment suppresses the market, competing public chains divert funds, and there is heavy short-term pressure above 1700.

3. Trading Suggestions

1. Retest 1580-1620 and stabilize to buy on dips in batches, target 1700-1750.
2. Cut losses immediately if below 1550 to prevent further decline towards 1500.
3. If 1700-1750 faces resistance but does not break, consider small-scale high-position rolling trades.
4. Follow Bitcoin’s rhythm throughout, adopt light positions, avoid chasing highs and holding large positions, and strictly manage risk.