The likelihood of the Iran-U.S. agreement/ceasefire extension has significantly increased

According to ME News on June 12 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the event of "The United States announces a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension," the probability of the "Yes" option "The United States announces a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extended until June 30" increased from 35.5% to 78.0%, a single-day rise of 42.5 percentage points.
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