## 🪨 Gold Daily | 6/11

### Core Data

| Indicator | Value | Change |
|:---|:---:|:---|
| Spot | **$4,079** | 24h -2.3% |
| 7 Days | -$390 | **-8.7%** |
| ATH Retracement | -27.1% | ATH $5,592 (1/29) |
| RSI | ~25 | Extremely oversold |
| US Dollar Index | 99.95 | -0.08% |

### Last Night's Major Events

1. **CPI confirms bearish bias**: 4.2% three-year high, led by energy. Overnight plummeted 3.3% to $4,050, today during Asian session briefly touched $4,022 (six-month low), then short covering rebounded to $4,079
2. **Trump "I love inflation"** → Market reinforces "geopolitics → oil prices → inflation → rate hikes" chain, safe-haven prefers USD over gold
3. **Big 5 banks collectively cut forecasts**: JPMorgan average $5,708 → $5,243; Citi 3-month target $4,300 → $4,000; UBS $5,900 → $5,500
4. **ETF continues to flee**: Global outflows for two consecutive months, about $2 billion out in May; record outflows from India + import tariffs raised to 15%
5. **Technical bear market confirmed**: Broken 200-day moving average, death cross on 10/200-day, algorithmic stop-loss cascade

##美国5月CPI创三年新高
- Resistance: $4,155-$4,180 → $4,200 → $4,300
- **Current price $4,079**
- Support: $4,040 → **$4,000 critical level** → $3,928 (Fibonacci) → $3,886

##**Bearish dominance, $4,000 defense imminent**

- Short-term: Rebound is a selling point, below $4,180 bears control, no bottom fishing
- Mid-term: **Tonight at 20:30 PPI is key** — consensus +0.7% MoM / +6.4% YoY, if better than expected, likely to lose $4,000 and test $3,928; if cooling significantly, technical rebound to $4,150-$4,200
- Long-term: $4,000-$4,100 in batches (20-30%), $3,886-$3,928 add positions (40-50%), but wait for stabilization signals, avoid catching falling knives

##
| Date | Event |
|:---|:---|
| **Tonight at 20:30** | **May PPI** |
| 6/12 | Spacean listing