【ONDO Price Trend Analysis】

Analysis Time: June 11, 2026, 13:40
Current Price: ONDO/USDT 0.3448

 

I. Core Conclusions from Multiple Timeframes

ONDO is currently in a technical consolidation phase of a high-level pullback on the daily chart, generally trading below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a weak trend. Although there are short-term signs of stabilization and recovery, upward momentum is insufficient, and it remains in a weak correction zone. The future direction is most likely to maintain a narrow range of oscillation.

1. Weekly Chart

- Weekly Bollinger upper band 0.4137, middle band 0.2957, lower band 0.1778, current price 0.3448 is above the middle band, still in an upward trend at the weekly level, with strong support.
- Weekly MACD green bars are shrinking, bearish momentum is weakening, showing signs of stabilization and recovery. Resistance above is in the 0.41-0.43 range, with strong support at 0.29-0.30.

2. Daily Chart

- Daily Bollinger upper band 0.4388, middle band 0.3748, lower band 0.3109, current price 0.3448 is between the middle and lower bands, breaking below the middle band into a weak zone.
- Daily MACD has a death cross downward, red bars are disappearing, green bars are emerging, indicating a clear short-term bearish trend. Key resistance is at 0.3748 (daily middle band), support at 0.3109 (Bollinger lower band).

3. 4-Hour Chart

- 4-hour Bollinger upper band 0.3780, middle band 0.3552, lower band 0.3325, current price 0.3449 is below the middle band, Bollinger channel is narrowing, indicating decreasing volatility.
- 4-hour MACD has a death cross and is flattening, in a short-term weak recovery state, with limited rebound potential. Resistance at 0.3552-0.3780, support at 0.3325-0.3131.

4. 1-Hour Chart

- 1-hour Bollinger upper band 0.3572, middle band 0.3419, lower band 0.3266, current price 0.3449 is above the middle band, MACD shows a golden cross, indicating some short-term upward momentum.
- Key support at 0.33-0.327 (24-hour low), resistance at 0.35-0.36. Only a breakout above this range can open upward space.

 

II. Next Price Movement Forecast

1. Short-term (12-48 hours)

- Primary Path: Narrow Range Oscillation + Weak Recovery and Rebound
Current price around 0.34 relies on 0.33 support for a slight rebound, targeting 0.35-0.36. After rebound, likely to face resistance and pull back, testing 0.33 support again.
- Two Scenario Branches:
1. Stabilization and Rebound: Hold above 0.3552 (4-hour middle band), break through 0.36, test daily middle band at 0.3748, continue the rebound, aiming for 0.40-0.43.
2. Weakening and Breakdown: Fall below 0.33 support, increase volume to test 0.31-0.3109, support at daily Bollinger lower band. If it breaks below 0.31, further decline to 0.29-0.30, the weekly middle band support.

2. Mid-term (3-10 days)

- Key Support: 0.3109 daily Bollinger lower band
- Hold above 0.31: Daily chart completes bottoming consolidation, relying on support to recover upward, aiming for 0.37-0.43, initiating a rebound trend.
- Break below 0.31: The current low-level consolidation fails, resuming a downtrend, with first support at 0.2957 weekly middle band, second support near previous low at 0.24.

 

III. Key Operations and Risk Control Reminders

1. Spot Holders:
- Do not break below 0.31-0.33; continue holding. During rebound to 0.37-0.40, reduce positions gradually to lower costs.
- If effectively breaking below 0.31, reduce holdings to avoid deep losses, and consider adding positions in the 0.28-0.30 range.

2. Contract Traders:
- Short-term longs: trade small positions within 0.33-0.335, with stop-loss at 0.327, take profit at 0.35-0.36.
- After rebound to 0.355-0.36 faces resistance, open small short positions, with stop-loss at 0.365, take profit at 0.33-0.327.

3. Risk Reminder:
- This rebound is heavily influenced by market sentiment and overall market movements. If BTC continues to weaken, ONDO is likely to decline in tandem and test support zones.
- 0.31 is the lifeline for this round of daily bottoming; breaking below it invalidates the rebound logic and requires reassessment of the market trend.