$BTC Still cautious about going long, CPI is excellent, then a rebound to 62800, and it immediately turned down! Going high, high, high, old traders die at super lows, take profits on longs and run, yesterday XAU blocked the rebound and didn't sell, lost terribly!

│ 🎯 Main strategy: wait for a rebound to short (Scenario B preferred) │
│ │
│ Order 1 (Main): $61,800 limit short │
│ Stop loss: $62,500 │
│ Target: $61,000 → $60,500 → $60,000 │
│ Overall R:R ≈ 2.5:1 ✅ │
│ Position: 70% │
│ │
│ Order 2 (Backup): $61,500 limit short │
│ Stop loss: $62,100 │
│ Target: $60,500 → $60,000 │
│ Overall R:R ≈ 1.7:1 🟡 (odds not ideal, use less) │
│ Position: 60% │
│ │
│ ⏰ Time window: │
│ 08:00-12:00 Asian session: high probability of sideways or small rebound ($61,300-500) │
│ 12:00-16:00 Before European session: bears may start adding positions │
│ 16:00-18:00 European session: direction choice window │
│ 21:30 US stock market open: watch if NASDAQ continues to fall │
│ │
│ 📉 Accelerated decline trigger conditions (if they occur, do not chase shorts): │
│ ① Break below $61,037 and not recover in 15 minutes │
│ ② Taker continuous 2H R<0.85 │
│ ③ OI suddenly drops >3% │
│ → Indicates a stop-loss tide is coming, let the bullets fly, do not wait for rebound to short again │
│ │
│ 🚫 Ban list: │
│ ❌ Short during Asian session (low liquidity, easy to be squeezed) │
│ ❌ Short below $61,200 (R:R too poor) │
│ ❌ Any trend-reversal long operations │
│ ❌ Heavy position吊 (over 80%) │
│ ❌ No stop loss set │
│ │
│ 🟢 Rules for moving stop loss after short position is filled: │
│ Floating profit $500 → move stop loss to entry price (break-even) │
│ Floating profit $1,000 → move stop loss to $61,200 │
│ Floating profit $1,500 → close 50%, remaining stop loss moved to $61,200 │
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