#美国5月cpi将公布！预测攀升至4.2%

The published data has already shown:
U.S. May CPI year-over-year 4.2%,
Higher than April's 3.8%
Core CPI year-over-year 2.9%
CPI month-over-month +0.5%
Why hasn't the market collapsed?
Because 4.2% basically meets Wall Street's previous expectations.
The market's biggest fear is:
Expected 4.2%, actual above 4.5%
This would trigger panic selling.
Currently:
Bad news is realized ≠ Unexpected bad news
Impact on $BTC
BTC currently around 61,539.
Key observations:
Bearish scenario
If U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise:
BTC breaks below 60,000
Targeting 59,000
Extreme case 57,000
Neutral scenario (more likely)
The market has already priced in the CPI:
BTC remains between 60,000 and 63,000 with volatility
Waiting for next week's Federal Reserve meeting
Bullish scenario
Core CPI at only 2.9%, month-over-month 0.2%, below some institutions' concerns. Indicates energy prices have driven up overall CPI, but inflation has not yet fully spread.
If the market begins to trade:
“Inflation has peaked, not out of control”
Then BTC could challenge again:
63,000
65,000