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Song Xiqing: How to view CPI night? One sentence—The rebound continues to be suppressed.
At 8:30 PM, CPI data will be released, with the market expecting the overall annual rate to return to the "4-handle." Non-farm payrolls are already quite strong; if CPI exceeds expectations again, the expectation for interest rate hikes will rise, global assets will be re-priced, and Bitcoin won't escape a sharp drop.
Some might think: Will CPI data landing lead to a rebound? Don't think too much. Right now, Bitcoin is hovering around 61k, with resistance at 62.5k-64k. Even if the data causes a short-term spike, it's just an opportunity to add positions, not a reversal. The downward trend remains unchanged; if 60k can't hold, it will break sooner or later.
My view is simple: CPI won't change the direction. Strong data will only reinforce tightening expectations, and Bitcoin will continue downward. Weak data, and a rebound will still be suppressed.
Wait for the data, wait for the rebound, and act when the time is right.
Personal review, not investment $BTC advice.