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QCP: U.S.-Iran conflict causes Strait of Hormuz blockage, CPI expectation breaks 4.2%

DeepFlowTech
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Deep Tide TechFlow news. On June 10, according to a market report released on June 10 by QCP Capital, the current cross-asset sell-off is driven by multiple factors resonating together: First, on the geopolitical front, the escalation of the military conflict between the U.S. and Iran, and the unclear outlook for the passage through the Strait of Hormuz, are simultaneously being priced in by the market as military risk and energy disruption risk. Second, on the macroeconomic front, last week’s non-farm payroll data came in stronger than expected, reigniting inflation concerns; expectations for the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes in 2026 have clearly risen. The CPI data released that day (market expectation: headline inflation above 4.2%) has become the biggest macro variable, and if it again comes in above expectations, it will further strengthen a hawkish path. Third, on the AI trading front, Oracle’s earnings face the dual pressure of high expectations and low tolerance for mistakes. The market reaction to Broadcom last week has already sent a warning—any disappointment in forward guidance or profit margins could drag down the stock market. The crypto market is highly correlated with the risk sentiment above; before CPI and Oracle earnings are released, the market is expected to remain fragile and highly sensitive to developments in the news cycle.
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