Ah, I misjudged this time. I originally thought Trump wouldn't take action against Iran for the midterm elections, but he still struck back. As a result, both the US stock market and Bitcoin have fallen.



If there was no attack on Iran, Bitcoin wouldn't have risen to around 627; but after this move, it stopped at 622 and started to decline. Plus, tonight's CPI is likely to exceed expectations, as oil prices remain high. Even if it meets expectations, the overall inflation level will increase, which is still bearish in the long term.

However, the live stream yesterday showed a relatively strong stance, with a momentum to become the future DeFi leader. I think it's worth paying attention to. If it grows rapidly with capital support, I might switch from Aave to Morpho.

It has already fallen to around my predicted 55. I have closed my position according to my trading plan. I summarized that this hype from building the position to closing it was all based on my predictions and strict execution. Making gains was expected; what was unexpected was the US's quick move to cause a sharp decline.

I'm a bit worried that tonight's CPI data might be manipulated by the US. Trump might take the opportunity to hype the market, with resistance in the 627-630 range.

Recently, the US dollar index has fallen, US stocks have declined, and Bitcoin is dropping—everything is falling. We must stay highly alert for a potential crash at any moment. The 612 SpaceX launch requires close attention to capital movements; after a pump, there might be a dump, especially since the market cap is too high.

Looking at my holdings in EDU, APT, and Auction, they are all trapped. I haven't added to my positions for now. Once the decline is thorough, I will add more. Because I made a trading plan when building the positions, the unrealized losses aren't too dramatic. Just follow the plan.

I'm indifferent to the prediction that the World Cup fan tokens will rise; I don't plan to build positions—just $HYPE watch.
HYPE-10.11%
MORPHO7.17%
BTC-2%
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